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Keravnos vs Apop Paphou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-76
23-24 26-8 25-20 20-24
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWWLL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game68.0
Keravnos 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Apop Paphou
Cyprus
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game83.0
CyprusDivision ARound 4· Costas Papaellinas Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keravnos v Apop Paphou
28 Oct 2023
KER94
APOP76
01 Apr 2023
KER103
APOP63
28 Jan 2023
KER105
APOP64
29 Oct 2021
KER78
APOP69
23 Dec 2020
KER86
APOP68
19 Oct 2019
KER94
APOP52
27 Jan 2018
KER86
APOP72
05 Jan 2018
KER88
APOP63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apop Paphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
55-85
55
85
-30
no box
A10/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
96-87
96
87
+9
no box
H14/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H22/05
Division A
Feniks 2010
#52
W
107-60
107
60
+47
114avg 80
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
63avg 80
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
106-69
106
69
+37
116avg 80
H10/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 80
A14/10
Division A
Varese
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
65avg 80
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TSU
#41
L
60-63
60
63
-3
48avg 80
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
15-14
11-27
18-25
20-20
26-26
24-18
26-23
26-12
7-20
17-11
19-21
15-14
16-20
17-21
22-17
19-13
29-21
40-17
19-9
15-22
19-26
24-17
16-28
27-15
35-21
30-13
14-20
17-18
25-19
26-11
12-19
15-23
16-28
25-15
24-29
16-11
22-15
7-17
15-20
155.2Avg total
79.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.068.0161.0+25.0100%
Season at home (1)106.069.0175.0+37.0100%
Season away (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.775.5155.2+4.250%
Last 5 (5)80.077.4157.4+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.087.2158.2-16.217%
vs Similar (7)75.176.1151.3-1.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.569.4160.9+22.2100%
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaphou
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A07/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H11/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A19/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
59-54
59
54
+5
no box
H05/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
57-92
57
92
-35
no box
A21/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
63-103
63
103
-40
no box
A01/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
H05/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
H06/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 74
A16/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
65avg 74
H22/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
17-28
16-18
18-19
19-14
18-9
23-18
19-25
18-18
19-30
19-13
25-21
13-16
15-10
17-18
14-10
14-30
10-18
16-14
17-30
11-29
19-23
6-26
27-25
7-19
10-25
16-24
15-23
14-17
17-27
24-12
23-22
23-15
24-23
13-31
31-25
29-22
16-14
9-23
20-8
154.6Avg total
72.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.383.0168.3+2.367%
Season at home (2)82.577.5160.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)91.094.0185.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)72.182.5154.6-10.440%
Last 5 (5)73.488.6162.0-15.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.779.8145.5-14.124%
vs Similar (8)71.579.2150.8-7.838%
vs Weaker (1)91.094.0185.0-3.00%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
KeravnosApop Paphou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A10/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H14/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/05
Division A
Feniks 2010
#52
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H10/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/10
Division A
Varese
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TSU
#41
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
76.8Avg total
39.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.380.0+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.937.883.7+8.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.436.876.2+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.776.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.681.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.344.278.5-9.817%-
vs Similar (7)38.935.974.7+3.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.235.582.6+11.794%-
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A07/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H11/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/02
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A21/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A01/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
17-44
17
44
-27
H05/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A16/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H22/10
Division A
75.0Avg total
34.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.541.472.9-9.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.239.170.4-7.931%-
Last 30 away (14)31.843.975.7-12.17%-
Last 10 (10)34.041.075.0-7.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.042.876.8-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.741.872.5-11.114%-
vs Similar (8)31.640.672.2-9.025%-
vs Weaker (1)47.038.085.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.4
52.3%
51.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.8
35.3%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws13.09.4
72.3%
71.2%9.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apop Paphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apop Paphou: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.014.5
43.9%
51.0%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.512.5
34.2%
32.6%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.015.0
83.3%
71.2%15.0
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
LLWWLWLWWL
Apop Paphou
WLWLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#9
-3.1
Net rating
+1.9
102.0
Offensive rating
102.6
105.1
Defensive rating
100.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
47.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
19.8%
Turnover %
13.5%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
34.2%
64.9%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 102.6Defence105.1 · 100.7Shooting52.6% · 47.8%3-point %35.3% · 34.2%Ball care19.8% · 13.5%Off. rebounds25.9% · 24.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Keravnos   ■ Apop Paphou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Keravnos wins
0
Apop Paphou wins
DateGameScore
05/04/23Apop Paphou v Keravnos48-91
01/04/23Keravnos v Apop Paphou103-63
28/01/23Keravnos v Apop Paphou105-64
18/11/22Apop Paphou v Keravnos53-81
30/01/22Apop Paphou v Keravnos97-101 OT
29/10/21Keravnos v Apop Paphou78-69
23/12/20Keravnos v Apop Paphou86-68
07/11/20Apop Paphou v Keravnos78-79
07/12/19Apop Paphou v Keravnos57-94
19/10/19Keravnos v Apop Paphou94-52
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ATSU60-63
18/10/23HVarese80-95
14/10/23APAEEK80-67
10/10/23HApollon106-69
05/10/23ARostock74-93
03/10/23HFeniks 2010107-60
22/05/23HAEK Larnaca70-72
17/05/23AAEK Larnaca69-64
14/05/23HAEK Larnaca96-87
10/05/23AAEK Larnaca55-85
Apop Paphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HPAEEK74-67
16/10/23AApollon91-94
06/10/23HETHA Engomi91-88 OT
05/04/23HKeravnos48-91
01/04/23AKeravnos63-103
21/03/23AAEK Larnaca57-92
05/03/23HParalimni59-54
19/02/23AETHA Engomi81-82
11/02/23HAchilleas K.79-66
07/02/23AApoel BC78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.0106.080.0
Allowed / game68.069.067.0
Point differential+25.0+37.0+13.0
Avg total161.0175.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apop Paphou
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.382.591.0
Allowed / game83.077.594.0
Point differential+2.3+5.0-3.0
Avg total168.3160.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos220100%93.068.0+25.0
2 Apoel BC330100%74.369.7+4.7
3 Anorthosis43175%83.269.0+14.2
4 AEK Larnaca32167%83.075.7+7.3
5 Apop Paphou32167%85.383.0+2.3
6 AEL42250%86.885.0+1.8
7 Apollon42250%86.290.8-4.5
8 ETHA Engomi31233%80.083.3-3.3
9 PAEEK2020%67.077.0-10.0
10 Achilleas K.3030%70.086.7-16.7
11 Paralimni3030%70.390.0-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keravnos2326252094
Apop Paphou248202476
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