PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rostock vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-74
22-15 26-19 17-24 28-16
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game72.0
Rostock 🏆
vs
Keravnos
Position#38
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game60.0
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup· Stadthalle Rostock (Rostock)
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 75
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-104
79
104
-25
64avg 75
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-108
76
108
-32
67avg 75
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-70
99
70
+29
97avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
86-116
86
116
-30
76avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
56avg 75
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 75
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
122-113 OT
122
113
+9
no box
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
101-72
101
72
+29
103avg 75
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
24-24
13-18
26-19
25-22
21-29
15-28
18-25
13-25
16-32
28-24
19-27
23-12
22-19
33-20
21-19
29-29
17-22
18-30
22-35
14-12
28-26
17-27
20-14
20-24
19-18
15-21
22-21
23-19
12-20
23-25
23-21
19-25
26-22
27-34
21-12
22-16
25-15
26-21
28-20
183.0Avg total
90.6Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)101.072.0173.0+29.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)101.072.0173.0+29.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.692.4183.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)94.488.2182.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.391.8170.1-13.425%
vs Similar (12)83.984.7168.6-0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)99.084.6183.6+14.480%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Apop Paphou
#8
W
91-48
91
48
+43
no box
A05/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H12/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
97-74
97
74
+23
no box
A19/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
96-71
96
71
+25
no box
H23/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H07/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
55-85
55
85
-30
no box
A10/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
96-87
96
87
+9
no box
H14/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H22/05
Division A
Feniks 2010
#52
W
107-60
107
60
+47
114avg 114
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-7
25-10
24-16
23-15
25-15
21-22
23-17
18-30
23-19
22-26
34-14
18-15
23-16
28-18
20-17
25-20
21-21
23-19
28-24
11-20
11-19
15-14
11-27
18-25
20-20
26-26
24-18
26-23
26-12
7-20
17-11
19-21
15-14
16-20
17-21
22-17
19-13
29-21
40-17
19-9
158.0Avg total
85.1Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)107.060.0167.0+47.0100%
Season at home (1)107.060.0167.0+47.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.172.9158.0+12.270%
Last 5 (5)79.473.6153.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.386.2156.5-15.817%
vs Similar (6)77.778.3156.0-0.750%
vs Weaker (18)92.569.6162.1+22.9100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
RostockKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
86.4Avg total
42.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.583.4-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.341.281.5-0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)41.443.584.9-2.135%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.586.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.481.0+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.247.586.7-8.325%-
vs Similar (12)42.339.882.2+2.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.236.879.0+5.460%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apop Paphou
#8
W
44-17
44
17
+27
A05/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A19/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H23/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H07/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A10/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H14/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/05
Division A
Feniks 2010
#52
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
76.6Avg total
41.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.480.4+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.237.483.5+8.876%-
Last 30 away (13)38.937.576.4+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.276.6+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.872.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.342.378.7-6.033%-
vs Similar (6)39.037.576.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (18)46.635.782.3+10.989%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.8
49.3%
52.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.6
41.7%
33.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
73.0%14.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.8
53.4%
52.2%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.0
32.5%
33.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws12.29.4
76.5%
73.0%9.4
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WWLLWLWLLW
Keravnos
WLWWLLWWWW
#5
League position
#38
-9.0
Net rating
-11.9
110.8
Offensive rating
96.8
119.8
Defensive rating
108.8
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.8%
Turnover %
21.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
41.7%
3-point %
32.5%
62.3%
Assist %
61.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 96.8Defence119.8 · 108.8Shooting54.8% · 51.4%3-point %41.7% · 32.5%Ball care18.8% · 21.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 21.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Rostock   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
0
Keravnos wins
No previous meetings.
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23AFeniks 2010101-72
01/10/23HHeidelberg122-113 OT
29/09/23ACrailsheim Merlins81-85
23/09/23AVechta76-84
07/05/23HLudwigsburg92-87 OT
05/05/23AUlm86-116
30/04/23HBayreuth99-70
26/04/23ABayern76-108
23/04/23AAlba Berlin79-104
18/04/23HGottingen94-85
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23HFeniks 2010107-60
22/05/23HAEK Larnaca70-72
17/05/23AAEK Larnaca69-64
14/05/23HAEK Larnaca96-87
10/05/23AAEK Larnaca55-85
07/05/23HAEK Larnaca83-84
23/04/23HApollon96-71
19/04/23AApollon97-74
12/04/23HApollon87-84
05/04/23AApop Paphou91-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game101.0-101.0
Allowed / game72.0-72.0
Point differential+29.0-+29.0
Avg total173.0-173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Keravnos
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game107.0107.0-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+47.0+47.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos110100%107.060.0+47.0
2 Rostock110100%101.072.0+29.0
3 Bnei Herzliya110100%87.063.0+24.0
4 FC Porto110100%100.084.0+16.0
5 Manisa110100%98.088.0+10.0
6 Sabah Baku330100%82.774.7+8.0
7 Trepca110100%77.069.0+8.0
8 Basket Zaragoza110100%94.088.0+6.0
9 Kormend110100%91.087.0+4.0
10 Jamtland110100%77.076.0+1.0
11 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
12 Kataja21150%83.581.5+2.0
13 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
14 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
15 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
16 Donar Groningen2020%68.572.0-3.5
17 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
18 Parnu1010%62.069.0-7.0
19 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
20 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
21 Rabotnicki2020%69.085.0-16.0
22 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2226172893
Keravnos1519241674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.