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KFUM Kalmar vs Malbas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-78 (OT)
21-21 15-15 21-15 12-18 10-9
Position#14
Record5-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game82.4
KFUM Kalmar 🏆
Sweden
vs
Malbas
Sweden
Position#12
Record10-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game76.0
SwedenSuperettan· Kalmar Sportcenter (Kalmar)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KFUM Kalmar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malbas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#1
L
81-103
81
103
-22
68avg 68
A16/12
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
70avg 68
A17/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
108-80
108
80
+28
116avg 68
H06/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
79-83
79
83
-4
66avg 68
H13/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
80-94
80
94
-14
76avg 68
A20/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 68
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
102-71
102
71
+31
103avg 68
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 68
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
65avg 68
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H11/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
24-27
20-29
19-24
27-20
19-18
19-15
22-18
33-15
22-21
22-26
31-18
19-19
18-18
19-19
23-27
18-21
28-24
15-27
19-22
19-21
13-21
24-16
20-20
23-11
29-19
24-11
26-30
11-17
14-22
23-27
22-15
21-18
20-18
15-22
15-16
15-12
20-14
20-25
15-19
167.6Avg total
84.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.482.4159.7-5.023%
Season at home (11)85.284.6169.8+0.527%
Season away (11)69.580.1149.6-10.518%
Last 10 (10)84.782.9167.6+1.830%
Last 5 (5)82.479.6162.0+2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)79.288.2167.4-9.023%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.483.6158.0-9.20%
vs Weaker (3)75.368.7144.0+6.767%
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
56avg 59
A09/12
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
63-79
63
79
-16
48avg 59
A10/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
91-87
91
87
+4
82avg 59
H30/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 59
H07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 59
A10/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
69avg 59
H14/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 59
A20/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
66-61
66
61
+5
56avg 59
H28/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
55-62
55
62
-7
38avg 59
H04/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
66-84
66
84
-18
55avg 59
A16/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-19
14-18
13-16
14-21
14-24
13-19
22-15
25-14
24-19
25-28
17-26
22-22
17-20
19-19
33-25
11-19
25-31
20-21
22-13
15-16
22-14
18-18
17-17
17-17
35-21
16-22
15-19
13-9
21-15
18-15
14-22
10-13
16-14
15-16
14-19
18-20
14-32
10-15
24-17
150.0Avg total
73.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.276.0148.2-3.943%
Season at home (12)70.472.1142.5-1.767%
Season away (11)74.180.4154.5-6.318%
Last 10 (10)73.576.5150.0-3.050%
Last 5 (5)68.470.2138.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.083.7152.7-14.725%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.278.6153.8-3.440%
vs Weaker (4)73.869.5143.2+4.275%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
KFUM KalmarMalbas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A16/12
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H06/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A20/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/02
Superettan
79.0Avg total
41.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.043.081.0-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.643.184.6-1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)34.942.977.8-8.019%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.979.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.671.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.444.983.3-6.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.437.073.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker (3)38.038.776.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A09/12
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A10/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H30/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A10/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A20/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H28/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H04/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A16/02
Superettan
76.1Avg total
37.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.176.5-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.736.372.0-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)37.143.981.0-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.576.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.270.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.141.978.1-5.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.239.476.6-2.230%-
vs Weaker (4)35.234.870.0+0.525%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.4
55.7%
50.1%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
31.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.29.7
63.8%
66.9%9.7
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.3
48.6%
50.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.9
31.9%
31.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.911.2
66.3%
66.9%11.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KFUM Kalmar
LLLWLLLWWL
Malbas
LLWWWLWWLL
#14
League position
#12
+1.7
Net rating
-4.4
103.0
Offensive rating
95.7
101.3
Defensive rating
100.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.4%
3-point %
31.9%
56.3%
Assist %
57.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 95.7Defence101.3 · 100.1Shooting53.1% · 48.3%3-point %32.4% · 31.9%Ball care18.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.5% · 21.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ KFUM Kalmar   ■ Malbas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
KFUM Kalmar wins
0
Malbas wins
No previous meetings.
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HNorrort93-94 OT
03/02/24HWetterbygden Stars71-74
28/01/24AHelsingborg70-81
27/01/24HHuddinge102-71
21/01/24AKFUM Fryshuset76-78
20/01/24ADjurgarden80-94
13/01/24HEskilstuna79-83
06/01/24HAIK Basket108-80
17/12/23ARIG Mark87-71
16/12/23AHogsbo81-103
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24AWetterbygden Stars66-84
04/02/24HNorrort55-62
28/01/24HTureberg66-61
20/01/24AEskilstuna83-79
14/01/24HSloga Uppsala72-65
10/01/24AHelsingborg78-84
07/01/24HDjurgarden91-86
30/12/23HHogsbo91-87
10/12/23ASloga Uppsala63-79
09/12/23AOckelbo70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL23%
HomeWLWLL27%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%27%18%
Points / game77.485.269.5
Allowed / game82.484.680.1
Point differential-5.0+0.5-10.5
Avg total159.7169.8149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Malbas
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%67%18%
Points / game72.270.474.1
Allowed / game76.072.180.4
Point differential-3.9-1.7-6.3
Avg total148.2142.5154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo2318578%92.378.4+13.8
2 AIK Basket2217577%84.577.8+6.6
3 Tureberg2415962%77.774.5+3.2
4 Helsingborg2314961%87.880.5+7.3
5 Huddinge2314961%82.378.9+3.3
6 Wetterbygden Stars25151060%80.376.0+4.3
7 Sloga Uppsala22121055%76.779.7-3.0
8 KFUM Fryshuset24131154%87.086.3+0.7
9 Djurgarden22111150%86.585.5+1.0
10 Ockelbo23111248%73.477.3-3.9
11 Malbas23101343%72.276.0-3.9
12 IK Eos2291341%79.381.2-1.9
13 Norrort2381535%73.677.9-4.3
14 RIG Mark2461825%67.175.1-8.0
15 Eskilstuna2151624%75.286.8-11.6
16 KFUM Kalmar2251723%77.482.4-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
KFUM Kalmar211521121079
Malbas21151518978
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