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Malbas vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-87
25-14 24-19 25-28 17-26
Position#12
Record5-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game76.1
Malbas 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo
Sweden
Position#1
Record10-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game79.5
SwedenSuperettan· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 55
A21/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
74avg 55
A22/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
67-89
67
89
-22
52avg 55
H29/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
60-81
60
81
-21
47avg 55
H05/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
62-75
62
75
-13
56avg 55
H19/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
70avg 55
H22/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
58avg 55
A25/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
42avg 55
H03/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
56avg 55
A09/12
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
63-79
63
79
-16
48avg 55
A10/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
22-28
28-32
20-18
25-19
17-29
16-18
26-22
12-25
17-17
19-27
19-20
25-26
10-17
15-25
10-13
25-17
17-25
13-12
7-21
14-21
21-11
24-19
16-19
17-23
14-18
13-31
23-13
19-15
17-12
14-12
12-22
23-25
20-19
14-18
13-16
14-21
14-24
13-19
22-15
149.1Avg total
69.2Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.576.1146.6-5.533%
Season at home (7)67.172.0139.1-4.957%
Season away (8)73.579.6153.1-6.112%
Last 10 (10)69.279.9149.1-10.720%
Last 5 (5)67.474.6142.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.286.9155.1-18.716%
vs Similar (8)76.483.5159.9-7.125%
vs Weaker (3)70.766.3137.0+4.367%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
105avg 84
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 84
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 84
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
108-86
108
86
+22
99avg 84
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 84
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
102avg 84
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
103-81
103
81
+22
95avg 84
H16/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
23-17
21-18
29-24
32-17
26-20
14-31
19-12
22-14
16-26
21-31
23-28
21-10
18-19
18-10
23-17
22-21
31-26
23-19
32-20
30-28
19-18
22-23
20-24
23-19
24-22
25-24
30-15
23-17
18-14
31-13
13-23
27-22
27-17
26-17
24-29
23-18
27-24
29-20
24-19
175.1Avg total
94.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.579.5170.0+11.071%
Season at home (8)95.680.4176.0+15.288%
Season away (6)83.778.3162.0+5.350%
Last 10 (10)94.980.2175.1+14.780%
Last 5 (5)97.081.2178.2+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)80.078.0158.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)92.782.4175.1+10.376%
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
MalbasHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A21/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H29/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H03/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A09/12
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A10/12
Superettan
76.2Avg total
35.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.442.577.9-7.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.841.174.9-7.321%-
Last 30 away (16)36.843.880.5-7.019%-
Last 10 (10)35.540.776.2-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.872.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.743.878.5-9.121%-
vs Similar (8)39.042.881.8-3.825%-
vs Weaker (3)29.733.763.3-4.00%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/12
Superettan
86.7Avg total
48.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.941.588.4+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.741.692.3+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)42.641.383.9+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)48.238.586.7+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.888.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)50.046.096.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.841.388.1+5.569%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.8
46.8%
50.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.5
29.8%
31.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.611.3
60.8%
66.9%11.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.3
59.0%
50.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.1
36.8%
31.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.911.6
73.0%
66.9%11.6
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
LLWLWLLLLL
Hogsbo
WWWWLWWLWW
#12
League position
#1
-14.3
Net rating
+20.8
90.6
Offensive rating
117.2
104.9
Defensive rating
96.5
46.0%
Effective FG%
57.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
21.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.8%
3-point %
36.8%
55.3%
Assist %
62.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 117.2Defence104.9 · 96.5Shooting46.0% · 57.6%3-point %29.8% · 36.8%Ball care21.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds27.0% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Malbas   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Malbas wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Hogsbo v Malbas85-67
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ASloga Uppsala63-79
09/12/23AOckelbo70-78
03/12/23HAIK Basket62-61
25/11/23AHogsbo67-85
22/11/23HHelsingborg75-70
19/11/23HWetterbygden Stars62-75
05/11/23HHuddinge60-81
29/10/23HKFUM Fryshuset67-89
22/10/23AKFUM Fryshuset84-88
21/10/23ADjurgarden82-93
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HKFUM Kalmar103-81
30/11/23HHelsingborg104-85
25/11/23HMalbas85-67
19/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset102-80
18/11/23ADjurgarden91-93
11/11/23HDjurgarden108-86
08/11/23ARIG Mark80-56
04/11/23AHelsingborg82-99
28/10/23HHuddinge91-80
21/10/23HNorrort103-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%57%12%
Points / game70.567.173.5
Allowed / game76.172.079.6
Point differential-5.5-4.9-6.1
Avg total146.6139.1153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %71%88%50%
Points / game90.595.683.7
Allowed / game79.580.478.3
Point differential+11.0+15.2+5.3
Avg total170.0176.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1615194%86.876.9+9.8
2 Hogsbo1410471%90.579.5+11.0
3 Tureberg149564%78.474.1+4.3
4 Huddinge1610662%81.876.3+5.5
5 Wetterbygden Stars1811761%79.974.8+5.1
6 Helsingborg1710759%87.577.9+9.6
7 Djurgarden169756%86.284.9+1.2
8 Sloga Uppsala158753%77.380.7-3.4
9 KFUM Fryshuset189950%85.487.4-1.9
10 Ockelbo178947%71.774.2-2.5
11 IK Eos146843%79.681.4-1.7
12 Malbas1551033%70.576.1-5.5
13 Norrort1541127%72.777.8-5.1
14 RIG Mark1541127%69.375.9-6.6
15 KFUM Kalmar1431121%73.182.6-9.6
16 Eskilstuna1221017%71.386.9-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas2524251791
Hogsbo1419282687
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