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Khimki M. vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-84
30-18 15-25 24-14 16-27
Position#13
Record4-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#16
Record1-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game85.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H18/11
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A23/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A06/12
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A09/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A13/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H16/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
23-22
20-15
19-23
26-20
26-17
14-18
19-22
18-17
27-13
20-24
20-15
19-26
18-13
21-18
26-26
29-25
19-19
11-7
17-17
16-16
12-15
22-23
15-18
24-14
30-19
18-23
25-18
17-24
23-25
13-26
21-13
24-25
16-19
25-24
15-25
18-16
13-19
11-26
21-18
156.5Avg total
78.3Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.280.2157.4-3.131%
Season at home (6)79.778.0157.7+1.750%
Season away (7)75.082.1157.1-7.114%
Last 10 (10)78.378.2156.5+0.150%
Last 5 (5)75.881.2157.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.881.9159.7-4.231%
vs Similar (5)76.673.8150.4+2.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.872.0157.8+13.892%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A20/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H22/11
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
96-93
96
93
+3
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H06/12
Euroleague
Besiktas
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A14/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
27-21
19-22
23-32
23-19
23-23
14-32
28-19
25-20
25-27
21-16
25-30
25-22
19-12
12-23
15-18
15-20
22-23
24-19
18-22
17-17
25-19
20-15
9-22
19-18
18-24
15-23
20-16
16-22
16-21
21-14
14-18
14-17
28-10
22-14
18-24
19-15
20-18
14-16
18-26
159.0Avg total
77.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.085.9160.9-10.98%
Season at home (7)76.479.4155.9-3.014%
Season away (6)73.393.5166.8-20.20%
Last 10 (10)77.681.4159.0-3.820%
Last 5 (5)72.673.8146.4-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.487.8163.2-12.40%
vs Similar (12)75.274.8150.0+0.533%
vs Weaker (6)91.782.3174.0+9.367%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
Khimki M.Darussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A15/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H18/11
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A06/12
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A09/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H16/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A19/12
Euroleague
79.3Avg total
41.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.478.8+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.578.6+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)40.738.479.1+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.379.3+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.477.0+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.843.179.9-6.215%-
vs Similar (5)38.036.474.4+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.234.279.5+11.083%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H22/11
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H29/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H06/12
Euroleague
Besiktas
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A14/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H19/12
Euroleague
79.9Avg total
40.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.980.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.338.678.9+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)40.541.481.9-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.379.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.274.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.043.482.4-4.433%-
vs Similar (12)37.836.574.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (6)48.339.888.2+8.583%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.2
52.8%
52.7%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.1
34.7%
37.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.813.5
80.4%
76.7%13.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.2
48.2%
52.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.15.7
29.8%
37.0%17.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.1%
76.7%13.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LLLWLWWWWL
Darussafaka
LWLLLLLWLL
#13
League position
#16
-1.4
Net rating
-17.4
109.4
Offensive rating
100.8
110.8
Defensive rating
118.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
47.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
29.8%
68.1%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 100.8Defence110.8 · 118.2Shooting52.4% · 47.1%3-point %34.7% · 29.8%Ball care16.8% · 18.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Khimki M. wins
0
Darussafaka wins
No previous meetings.
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv63-79
16/12/18HNizhny Novgorod80-93
13/12/18ACSKA Moscow74-88
09/12/18AZielona Gora97-74
06/12/18ABayern65-72
30/11/18HPanathinaikos76-68
23/11/18AZalgiris Kaunas84-83
21/11/18HBuducnost85-69
18/11/18HSaratov85-77
15/11/18AReal Madrid74-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18HZalgiris Kaunas71-75
16/12/18ABanvit82-65
14/12/18APanathinaikos67-75
09/12/18ABesiktas72-81
06/12/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-73
04/12/18HGalatasaray79-84
29/11/18HGran Canaria71-75
25/11/18AAfyon Belediye96-93
22/11/18HAnadolu Efes88-93
20/11/18AFenerbahce79-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL31%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game77.279.775.0
Allowed / game80.278.082.1
Point differential-3.1+1.7-7.1
Avg total157.4157.7157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game75.076.473.3
Allowed / game85.979.493.5
Point differential-10.9-3.0-20.2
Avg total160.9155.9166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1413193%84.975.5+9.4
2 Real Madrid1311285%89.877.2+12.6
3 CSKA Moscow1411379%88.881.9+6.9
4 Anadolu Efes149564%87.682.6+5.1
5 Olympiacos149564%81.076.9+4.1
6 Bayern137654%80.280.2+0.0
7 Barcelona147750%75.977.6-1.7
8 Zalgiris Kaunas136746%82.781.8+0.8
9 Olimpia Milano136746%85.585.2+0.2
10 Panathinaikos136746%77.979.4-1.5
11 Baskonia146843%80.580.9-0.4
12 Gran Canaria145936%81.889.4-7.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv134931%77.279.2-2.0
14 Khimki M.134931%77.280.2-3.1
15 Buducnost1431121%71.483.6-12.2
16 Darussafaka131128%75.085.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.3015241685
Darussafaka1825142784
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