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Bayern vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-65
16-16 15-12 23-22 18-15
Position#12
Record4-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.5
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record4-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11
European cup2018
Meetings · Bayern v Khimki M.
04 Dec 2020
BAY80
KHM77
06 Dec 2018
BAY72
KHM65
11 Jan 2017
BAY90
KHM74
22 Oct 2015
BAY69
KHM60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
108avg 106
A01/11
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
96-71
96
71
+25
no box
A04/11
BBL
Darussafaka
#16
W
116-70
116
70
+46
149avg 106
H08/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#2
W
95-74
95
74
+21
no box
H11/11
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
108avg 106
H16/11
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
A18/11
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
62-72
62
72
-10
86avg 106
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-74
89
74
+15
117avg 106
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
71-95
71
95
-24
93avg 106
A29/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
22-23
17-14
19-23
24-18
33-28
17-18
22-7
21-17
33-18
33-15
29-20
20-19
22-18
26-17
27-20
23-30
17-26
25-21
14-16
21-19
15-16
25-17
20-14
15-15
12-16
16-14
19-27
21-17
25-25
15-20
28-12
21-16
25-24
21-25
27-14
17-27
12-20
26-20
16-28
164.9Avg total
86.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.281.5161.7-1.340%
Season at home (6)80.879.2160.0+1.750%
Season away (4)79.285.0164.2-5.825%
Last 10 (10)86.778.2164.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)79.477.2156.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.090.3168.3-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.479.3160.6+2.155%
vs Weaker (15)89.972.9162.7+17.093%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormM.
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
H28/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
87-72
87
72
+15
113avg 106
H02/11
Euroleague
Astana
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
A05/11
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
105avg 106
H09/11
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
75-51
75
51
+24
no box
H12/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
103avg 106
A15/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/11
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
85-69
85
69
+16
115avg 106
H21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
111avg 106
A23/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
76-68
76
68
+8
106avg 106
H30/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
17-17
27-14
19-22
25-21
24-12
28-20
10-19
17-15
23-13
21-21
15-18
23-19
15-19
21-29
21-20
17-15
23-12
22-11
13-13
12-19
23-22
20-15
19-23
26-20
26-17
14-18
19-22
18-17
27-13
20-24
20-15
19-26
18-13
21-18
26-26
29-25
19-19
11-7
17-17
151.8Avg total
80.0Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.180.4160.5-0.340%
Season at home (6)79.778.0157.7+1.750%
Season away (4)80.884.0164.8-3.225%
Last 10 (10)80.071.8151.8+8.280%
Last 5 (5)80.875.2156.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.383.1164.5-1.833%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.574.2153.8+5.275%
vs Weaker (11)85.872.8158.6+13.091%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
BayernKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A01/11
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A04/11
BBL
Darussafaka
#16
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/11
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H11/11
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H16/11
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/11
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
Euroleague
84.5Avg total
42.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.280.6+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.237.081.2+7.271%-
Last 30 away (13)40.239.779.9+0.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.084.5+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.750.392.0-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.736.776.5+3.055%-
vs Weaker (15)43.537.180.6+6.387%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H28/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H02/11
Euroleague
Astana
#6
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A05/11
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/11
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A15/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H18/11
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/11
Euroleague
76.2Avg total
41.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.981.7+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.639.680.2+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)43.040.183.1+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.634.676.2+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.281.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.744.383.9-4.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.537.878.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker (11)45.234.679.8+10.591%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.3
53.9%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.97.8
39.2%
37.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.711.4
77.6%
76.7%11.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.215.9
56.4%
52.7%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.9
36.5%
37.0%35.7
🏀 Free throws16.211.8
72.8%
76.7%11.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWLWLWWWL
Khimki M.
WWWWLWLWWW
#12
League position
#13
-1.3
Net rating
-0.4
113.0
Offensive rating
112.8
114.3
Defensive rating
113.2
55.5%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.2%
3-point %
36.5%
58.8%
Assist %
68.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 112.8Defence114.3 · 113.2Shooting55.5% · 55.5%3-point %39.2% · 36.5%Ball care15.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds29.7% · 26.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
0
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
08/02/17Khimki M. v Bayern74-96 OT
11/01/17Bayern v Khimki M.90-74
26/11/15Khimki M. v Bayern70-81
22/10/15Bayern v Khimki M.69-60
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-95
25/11/18HGiessen94-79
22/11/18AGran Canaria89-74
20/11/18HOlympiacos62-72
18/11/18AMitteldeutscher81-66
16/11/18HCSKA Moscow79-93
11/11/18HOldenburg95-74
08/11/18HDarussafaka116-70
04/11/18ACrailsheim Merlins96-71
01/11/18AFenerbahce84-88
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/18HPanathinaikos76-68
23/11/18AZalgiris Kaunas84-83
21/11/18HBuducnost85-69
18/11/18HSaratov85-77
15/11/18AReal Madrid74-79
12/11/18HVEF Riga75-51
09/11/18HBarcelona80-87
05/11/18AAstana76-67
02/11/18HGran Canaria87-72
28/10/18HUnics Kazan78-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game80.280.879.2
Allowed / game81.579.285.0
Point differential-1.3+1.7-5.8
Avg total161.7160.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game80.179.780.8
Allowed / game80.478.084.0
Point differential-0.3+1.7-3.2
Avg total160.5157.7164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce109190%84.876.3+8.5
2 CSKA Moscow109190%90.583.4+7.1
3 Real Madrid108280%90.278.8+11.4
4 Anadolu Efes108280%87.481.4+6.0
5 Olimpia Milano106460%86.284.2+2.0
6 Olympiacos116555%79.978.0+1.9
7 Barcelona116555%78.377.8+0.5
8 Panathinaikos105550%80.179.5+0.6
9 Zalgiris Kaunas115645%83.382.3+1.0
10 Khimki M.104640%80.180.4-0.3
11 Bayern104640%80.281.5-1.3
12 Baskonia103730%81.683.3-1.7
13 Gran Canaria103730%80.889.9-9.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%76.880.5-3.6
15 Buducnost113827%71.180.1-9.0
16 Darussafaka111109%76.187.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1615231872
Khimki M.1612221565
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