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Khimki M. vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-68
29-25 19-19 11-7 17-17
Position#13
Record3-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game79.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10
European cup2018
Meetings · Khimki M. v Panathinaikos
02 Oct 2020
KHM76
PAO78
30 Nov 2018
KHM76
PAO68
23 Feb 2018
KHM78
PAO61
27 Sep 2017
KHM73
PAO70
13 Dec 2012
KHM78
PAO77
09 Dec 2009
KHM82
PAO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A25/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H28/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H02/11
Euroleague
Astana
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A05/11
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H09/11
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H12/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H18/11
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A23/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
25-16
17-27
18-15
15-12
17-17
27-14
19-22
25-21
24-12
28-20
10-19
17-15
23-13
21-21
15-18
23-19
15-19
21-29
21-20
17-15
23-12
22-11
13-13
12-19
23-22
20-15
19-23
26-20
26-17
14-18
19-22
18-17
27-13
20-24
20-15
19-26
18-13
21-18
26-26
153.5Avg total
80.4Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.681.8162.3-1.233%
Season at home (5)80.480.0160.4+0.440%
Season away (4)80.884.0164.8-3.225%
Last 10 (10)80.473.1153.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)80.671.8152.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.383.1164.5-1.833%
vs Similar ◀ (3)80.776.3157.0+4.367%
vs Weaker (12)85.573.3158.8+12.292%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
H26/10
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H29/10
Basket League
Buducnost
#15
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A02/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#10
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A05/11
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H09/11
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A12/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H18/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A23/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
20-24
18-14
25-18
21-14
25-14
21-20
21-16
18-15
13-16
19-16
22-20
29-24
17-15
15-11
15-18
21-23
20-25
26-14
26-18
28-20
20-17
18-14
22-16
11-19
17-25
18-16
16-18
15-14
17-15
23-22
24-19
13-10
21-15
21-25
21-20
12-20
20-24
23-29
22-13
153.1Avg total
79.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.479.9161.3+1.656%
Season at home (5)88.681.6170.2+7.080%
Season away (4)72.577.8150.2-5.225%
Last 10 (10)79.473.7153.1+5.770%
Last 5 (5)76.474.2150.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.078.0140.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.881.2164.0+1.750%
vs Weaker (23)87.769.2156.9+18.691%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.8+3.8
Khimki M.Panathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H28/10
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H02/11
Euroleague
Astana
#6
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A05/11
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/11
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A15/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H18/11
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/11
Euroleague
75.4Avg total
41.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.681.3+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.379.4+0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)43.039.982.9+3.169%-
Last 10 (10)41.334.175.4+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.876.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.744.383.9-4.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.035.773.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker (12)45.034.879.8+10.292%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H26/10
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H29/10
Basket League
Buducnost
#15
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/11
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H09/11
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H18/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/11
Euroleague
74.0Avg total
37.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.635.778.3+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.333.176.4+10.275%-
Last 30 away (14)41.838.680.4+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.974.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.870.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.044.072.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.841.078.8-3.250%-
vs Weaker (23)44.533.978.4+10.674%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.615.5
56.2%
52.7%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.3
37.2%
37.0%36.9
🏀 Free throws17.312.6
72.8%
76.7%12.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.922.2
53.0%
52.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.0
32.3%
37.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.2
74.3%
76.7%14.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
WWWLWLWWWL
Panathinaikos
LWWLWWWWWL
#13
League position
#7
-1.7
Net rating
+0.3
114.3
Offensive rating
108.4
116.0
Defensive rating
108.1
55.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.2%
3-point %
32.3%
66.9%
Assist %
53.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 108.4Defence116.0 · 108.1Shooting55.9% · 51.4%3-point %37.2% · 32.3%Ball care15.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.6% · 32.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Khimki M. wins
3
Panathinaikos wins
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/18AZalgiris Kaunas84-83
21/11/18HBuducnost85-69
18/11/18HSaratov85-77
15/11/18AReal Madrid74-79
12/11/18HVEF Riga75-51
09/11/18HBarcelona80-87
05/11/18AAstana76-67
02/11/18HGran Canaria87-72
28/10/18HUnics Kazan78-65
25/10/18AOlimpia Milano80-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/18ABaskonia77-86
21/11/18HBarcelona76-70
18/11/18HOlympiacos79-70
16/11/18AAnadolu Efes62-78
12/11/18APanionios88-67
09/11/18HOlympiacos93-80
05/11/18APromitheas76-68
02/11/18ABuducnost72-67
29/10/18HRethymno88-64
26/10/18HZalgiris Kaunas83-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW33%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game80.680.480.8
Allowed / game81.880.084.0
Point differential-1.2+0.4-3.2
Avg total162.3160.4164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game81.488.672.5
Allowed / game79.981.677.8
Point differential+1.6+7.0-5.2
Avg total161.3170.2150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow109190%90.583.4+7.1
2 Fenerbahce98189%84.977.6+7.3
3 Real Madrid108280%90.278.8+11.4
4 Anadolu Efes97278%86.481.0+5.4
5 Barcelona96367%81.378.3+3.0
6 Olimpia Milano106460%86.284.2+2.0
7 Panathinaikos95456%81.479.9+1.6
8 Olympiacos95456%79.178.3+0.8
9 Zalgiris Kaunas104640%83.383.0+0.3
10 Bayern104640%80.281.5-1.3
11 Baskonia93633%81.281.9-0.7
12 Khimki M.93633%80.681.8-1.2
13 Gran Canaria103730%80.889.9-9.1
14 Buducnost92722%71.780.6-8.9
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%77.281.4-4.2
16 Darussafaka101910%76.689.4-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.2919111776
Panathinaikos251971768
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