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Khimki M. vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-84
20-17 12-24 16-26 22-17
Position#18
Record0-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2
European cup2020
Meetings · Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas
10 Oct 2020
KHM70
ZAL84
31 Jan 2019
KHM74
ZAL64
20 Oct 2017
KHM85
ZAL77
29 Jan 2016
KHM111
ZAL80
03 Dec 2011
KHM83
ZAL72
06 Jan 2011
KHM78
ZAL76
23 Dec 2010
KHM93
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#13
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A26/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
A02/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#11
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H10/02
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A14/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H09/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H05/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
19-15
21-26
30-23
27-23
20-23
29-25
22-17
29-31
26-20
22-26
21-17
24-24
23-13
29-22
15-29
21-16
22-19
24-13
12-26
15-18
20-19
20-14
12-28
16-21
23-30
21-13
25-32
20-23
23-20
25-15
24-19
17-24
22-17
23-18
14-19
28-24
23-22
19-10
22-18
170.0Avg total
87.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.078.0154.0-2.00%
Season at home (1)76.078.0154.0-2.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.282.8170.0+4.470%
Last 5 (5)82.480.8163.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)71.578.5150.0-7.00%
vs Similar (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (26)93.980.7174.6+13.292%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H26/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
92-63
92
63
+29
A09/02
LKL
CBet
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A01/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A08/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H20/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
95-62
95
62
+33
A23/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H27/09
LKL
Olympiacos
#12
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A01/10
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A04/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-14
26-10
16-20
19-17
27-24
14-22
13-14
23-14
17-13
32-16
25-13
18-21
27-15
30-22
18-14
19-28
21-19
26-16
23-18
21-29
23-21
22-11
24-7
20-17
25-17
27-11
22-13
21-21
19-13
17-20
11-29
14-10
23-18
11-19
13-21
21-9
20-21
21-11
25-21
15-14
150.2Avg total
81.9Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.067.0135.0+1.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.067.0135.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.968.3150.2+13.690%
Last 5 (5)78.864.8143.6+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)68.067.0135.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)87.768.9156.6+18.790%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Khimki M.Zalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A26/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A02/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H10/02
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/09
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/10
VTB United League
86.0Avg total
44.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.840.186.8+6.783%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.238.684.8+7.683%-
Last 30 away (12)47.642.289.8+5.383%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.886.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.685.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (2)42.046.088.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (26)47.939.787.6+8.292%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H26/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A09/02
LKL
CBet
#6
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A01/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A08/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H20/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A23/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/09
LKL
Olympiacos
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A01/10
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/10
LKL
77.1Avg total
43.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.835.280.0+9.670%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.636.179.7+7.569%-
Last 30 away (17)45.734.580.2+11.271%-
Last 10 (10)43.833.377.1+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.474.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.235.180.3+10.072%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.0
48.8%
52.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.3
32.7%
38.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.717.4
76.7%
79.3%17.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.2
56.6%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
38.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.912.9
81.1%
79.3%12.9
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
WLWLLWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWWWWWW
#18
League position
#11
-5.2
Net rating
+2.3
104.0
Offensive rating
107.7
109.2
Defensive rating
105.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
55.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
20.6%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.7%
3-point %
35.0%
70.3%
Assist %
63.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 107.7Defence109.2 · 105.4Shooting48.9% · 55.0%3-point %32.7% · 35.0%Ball care15.9% · 20.6%Off. rebounds26.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Khimki M. wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/20HBC Kalev/Cramo92-74
02/10/20HPanathinaikos76-78
28/09/20AEnisey92-77
23/09/20ANizhny Novgorod85-96
20/09/20HZenit Petersburg67-79
09/03/20HSaratov79-74
14/02/20AAstana91-88
10/02/20HNizhny Novgorod98-94
02/02/20AUnics Kazan98-88
26/01/20AMinsk94-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/20APieno Zvaigzdes81-67
01/10/20AOlympiacos68-67
27/09/20HLietkabelis61-72
23/09/20AAlytaus Dzukija95-62
20/09/20HSiauliai89-56
08/03/20AJuventus91-82
01/03/20ACBet94-79
09/02/20ANevezis92-63
01/02/20APieno Zvaigzdes77-74
26/01/20HRytas71-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential-2.0-2.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game67.0-67.0
Point differential+1.0-+1.0
Avg total135.0-135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce220100%78.567.0+11.5
2 Valencia220100%79.070.0+9.0
3 Olimpia Milano220100%84.076.0+8.0
4 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%68.067.0+1.0
6 Bayern21150%84.576.5+8.0
7 Barcelona21150%73.070.0+3.0
8 Olympiacos21150%72.569.5+3.0
9 Crvena zvezda21150%76.575.0+1.5
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv21150%76.074.5+1.5
11 Baskonia21150%74.576.5-2.0
12 Panathinaikos21150%74.577.0-2.5
13 CSKA Moscow21150%71.074.0-3.0
14 Khimki M.1010%76.078.0-2.0
15 Anadolu Efes2020%70.076.5-6.5
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%68.076.0-8.0
17 Alba Berlin2020%72.585.0-12.5
18 Real Madrid2020%70.084.5-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.2012162270
Zalgiris Kaunas1724261784
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