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Khimki M. vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-64
19-17 17-20 11-19 27-8
Position#13
Record7-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game79.2
Khimki M. 🏆
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Position#9
Record8-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2018
Meetings · Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas
10 Oct 2020
KHM70
ZAL84
31 Jan 2019
KHM74
ZAL64
20 Oct 2017
KHM85
ZAL77
29 Jan 2016
KHM111
ZAL80
03 Dec 2011
KHM83
ZAL72
06 Jan 2011
KHM78
ZAL76
23 Dec 2010
KHM93
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H24/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H27/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
99-70
99
70
+29
A03/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
H08/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A10/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A14/01
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A17/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H20/01
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H25/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
100-92
100
92
+8
A28/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
17-21
23-8
20-23
19-27
17-16
22-14
19-28
23-30
27-6
23-14
26-20
13-23
25-18
19-13
15-18
16-23
18-13
17-26
21-19
15-21
19-10
11-27
20-17
11-20
11-12
14-23
21-16
18-19
16-11
22-10
14-10
28-10
12-25
10-21
10-15
26-23
24-24
21-23
29-22
151.4Avg total
77.4Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.879.2156.0-2.335%
Season at home (10)78.478.6157.0-0.250%
Season away (10)75.379.7155.0-4.420%
Last 10 (10)77.474.0151.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)70.471.8142.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.181.9156.0-7.89%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.873.3147.2+0.550%
vs Weaker (13)85.372.0157.3+13.392%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skycop
#7
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H30/12
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H04/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
A06/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
58-79
58
79
-21
H08/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A10/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A13/01
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H18/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H20/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A24/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
A27/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
21-14
31-14
18-9
17-28
17-16
25-11
20-29
12-16
28-18
22-21
16-23
14-16
15-24
16-23
13-16
11-19
18-24
15-14
17-21
12-20
17-15
18-13
26-21
13-19
20-18
19-14
30-18
24-18
14-18
26-25
18-18
13-21
17-13
20-18
20-28
21-22
21-21
25-13
31-24
155.3Avg total
78.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.580.0158.6-1.540%
Season at home (11)78.780.8159.5-2.136%
Season away (9)78.379.0157.3-0.744%
Last 10 (10)78.976.4155.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)81.075.4156.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.886.0160.8-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.979.8161.7+2.156%
vs Weaker (16)85.469.2154.7+16.288%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Khimki M.Zalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H24/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A14/01
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A17/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H20/01
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A28/01
VTB United League
75.2Avg total
38.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.477.6+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.437.078.4+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.976.7+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.775.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.071.0+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.340.575.7-5.29%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.336.274.5+2.267%-
vs Weaker (13)45.135.580.5+9.692%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skycop
#7
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H30/12
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H04/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A13/01
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A24/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/01
LKL
71.9Avg total
34.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.073.9+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)37.435.272.6+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)34.837.171.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.071.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.841.476.2-6.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.437.675.0-0.144%-
vs Weaker (16)39.133.472.6+5.762%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.4
53.2%
52.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
37.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.311.4
79.7%
76.7%11.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.6
49.6%
52.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.45.7
37.0%
37.0%17.1
🏀 Free throws22.318.5
83.0%
76.7%18.5
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
WLWLLLWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWLLLLW
#13
League position
#9
-5.9
Net rating
-5.2
104.7
Offensive rating
105.8
110.6
Defensive rating
111.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.3%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.42
32.1%
3-point %
37.0%
65.9%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 105.8Defence110.6 · 111.1Shooting51.1% · 51.3%3-point %32.1% · 37.0%Ball care18.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds31.5% · 25.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Khimki M. wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
23/11/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.83-84
09/02/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.74-84
20/10/17Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas85-77
25/03/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.71-76
29/01/16Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas111-80
12/01/12Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.95-94
03/12/11Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas83-72
06/01/11Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas78-76
23/12/10Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas93-89 OT
18/11/10Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.73-65
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/19ASaratov100-92
25/01/19HBayern60-71
20/01/19HMinsk70-50
17/01/19AOlympiacos57-71
14/01/19ACSKA Moscow65-75
10/01/19AAnadolu Efes72-81
08/01/19HFenerbahce84-78 OT
03/01/19AGran Canaria99-70
27/12/18HBaskonia77-85
24/12/18HZenit Petersburg90-67
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/19AJuventus98-80
24/01/19AOlimpia Milano70-80
20/01/19HNevezis82-79
18/01/19HPanathinaikos82-69
13/01/19ALietkabelis73-69
10/01/19AFenerbahce61-78
08/01/19HAnadolu Efes58-79
06/01/19ANeptunas93-98 OT
04/01/19HCSKA Moscow79-84
30/12/18HSkycop93-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game76.878.475.3
Allowed / game79.278.679.7
Point differential-2.3-0.2-4.4
Avg total156.0157.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWLLW36%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%36%44%
Points / game78.578.778.3
Allowed / game80.080.879.0
Point differential-1.4-2.1-0.7
Avg total158.6159.5157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%9%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %15%9%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2018290%83.974.5+9.3
2 Real Madrid2016480%86.276.0+10.2
3 CSKA Moscow2015575%86.481.3+5.1
4 Anadolu Efes2013765%85.580.2+5.3
5 Olympiacos2012860%80.277.4+2.8
6 Barcelona2011955%78.477.7+0.8
7 Bayern20101050%79.280.2-1.0
8 Olimpia Milano2091145%86.385.6+0.8
9 Baskonia2091145%81.280.9+0.3
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%80.380.1+0.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas2081240%78.580.0-1.4
12 Panathinaikos2081240%77.379.7-2.4
13 Khimki M.2071335%76.879.2-2.3
14 Gran Canaria2061430%77.886.6-8.8
15 Buducnost2061430%74.083.0-8.9
16 Darussafaka2031715%74.584.3-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.1917112774
Zalgiris Kaunas172019864
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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