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Kilsyth vs Casey Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 May 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 64-72
15-18 24-22 11-13 14-19
Position#14
Record4-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Position#19
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game86.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Kilsyth v Casey Cavaliers
03 May 2025
KILS61
CASE82
20 May 2023
KILS64
CASE72
30 Apr 2022
KILS73
CASE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A28/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H01/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H06/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
112-84
112
84
+28
H14/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A19/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
92-108
92
108
-16
A22/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A29/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A06/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
80-89
80
89
-9
H13/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
19-19
16-15
21-16
24-31
25-28
25-14
23-22
31-12
24-19
23-16
15-31
31-19
28-24
32-15
21-26
26-14
35-17
12-27
15-23
26-15
23-31
12-24
26-27
20-29
18-29
25-22
29-28
23-25
23-26
20-23
26-20
32-19
19-25
16-22
22-32
20-24
23-18
15-30
22-17
179.7Avg total
89.9Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.291.6183.8+0.744%
Season at home (4)95.586.5182.0+9.075%
Season away (5)89.695.6185.2-6.020%
Last 10 (10)89.989.8179.7+0.140%
Last 5 (5)88.097.2185.2-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.790.4179.1-1.743%
vs Similar (9)88.888.1176.9+0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.678.1162.7+6.664%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#18
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A01/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A14/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A16/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
H21/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H22/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
79-111
79
111
-32
H06/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
85-104
85
104
-19
A07/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H13/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H14/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-28
25-27
18-22
18-20
19-27
17-26
23-24
21-20
13-27
22-23
20-21
9-12
28-13
18-16
22-20
24-11
22-15
29-11
18-15
21-22
22-11
12-18
9-17
17-28
24-27
21-25
21-26
13-33
30-29
19-27
20-18
16-30
17-26
27-13
20-27
8-21
16-20
15-23
18-26
29-21
163.8Avg total
77.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.286.6163.8-9.420%
Season at home (5)82.282.2164.4+0.040%
Season away (5)72.291.0163.2-18.80%
Last 10 (10)77.286.6163.8-9.420%
Last 5 (5)74.893.2168.0-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.287.2165.5-9.024%
vs Similar (12)84.584.7169.2-0.233%
vs Weaker (1)93.080.0173.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.2-4.2
KilsythCasey Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A28/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H01/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H06/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H14/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
61-31
61
31
+30
A15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A19/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A22/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A06/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/05
NBL1 South
93.1Avg total
48.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.444.090.4+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.941.690.6+7.364%-
Last 30 away (16)44.246.090.2-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)48.344.893.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.448.293.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.047.792.7-2.729%-
vs Similar (9)46.946.092.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.940.887.6+6.171%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#18
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A01/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A14/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A16/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H21/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H22/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H06/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A07/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H14/05
NBL1 South
83.9Avg total
40.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.884.3-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.885.3-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.783.4-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.283.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.644.283.8-4.629%-
vs Similar (12)43.341.184.4+2.250%-
vs Weaker (1)54.038.092.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kilsyth wins
0
Casey Cavaliers wins
DateGameScore
30/07/22Casey Cavaliers v Kilsyth70-80
30/04/22Kilsyth v Casey Cavaliers73-66
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23HDiamond Valley80-89
06/05/23AKeilor Thunder89-98
29/04/23ABendigo Braves92-94
22/04/23ANunawading92-108
19/04/23ARingwood87-97
15/04/23AKnox88-81
14/04/23HSandringham Sabres112-84
06/04/23HDandenong93-78
01/04/23HGeelong97-95
28/08/22AHobart Chargers69-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23HFrankston78-90
13/05/23HNunawading72-87
07/05/23ARingwood85-104
06/05/23HNW Tasmania79-111
29/04/23AKnox60-74
22/04/23HGeelong90-63
21/04/23HBendigo Braves92-60
16/04/23ASandringham Sabres64-83
14/04/23AMt Gambier80-97
01/04/23ADandenong72-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game92.295.589.6
Allowed / game91.686.595.6
Point differential+0.7+9.0-6.0
Avg total183.8182.0185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game77.282.272.2
Allowed / game86.682.291.0
Point differential-9.4+0.0-18.8
Avg total163.8164.4163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston108280%95.282.5+12.7
2 Eltham97278%91.079.2+11.8
3 Knox107370%85.276.2+9.0
4 Sandringham Sabres117464%91.988.6+3.3
5 Mt Gambier106460%95.789.6+6.1
6 Nunawading106460%88.683.4+5.2
7 Geelong106460%87.585.3+2.2
8 Hobart Chargers95456%84.784.3+0.3
9 Diamond Valley95456%86.187.0-0.9
10 Ballarat105550%91.791.4+0.3
11 Keilor Thunder84450%85.094.9-9.9
12 Kilsyth94544%92.291.6+0.7
13 Waverley94544%80.885.1-4.3
14 Melbourne Tigers104640%83.184.8-1.7
15 Ringwood93633%87.689.7-2.1
16 NW Tasmania93633%82.089.9-7.9
17 Bendigo Braves93633%85.896.6-10.8
18 Casey Cavaliers102820%77.286.6-9.4
19 Dandenong112918%84.391.7-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kilsyth1524111464
Casey Cavaliers1822131972
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