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Keilor Thunder vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 98-89
19-32 25-19 22-16 32-22
Position#16
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Position#14
Record4-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game91.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Kilsyth
24 May 2025
KEIL78
KILS94
25 May 2024
KEIL76
KILS65
06 May 2023
KEIL98
KILS89
02 Jul 2022
KEIL87
KILS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kilsyth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H14/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A29/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
66-102
66
102
-36
A30/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
24-17
21-18
20-37
23-25
24-19
25-15
26-15
18-26
16-15
18-18
23-8
6-21
18-25
23-22
24-17
14-20
29-25
13-30
17-13
33-24
23-26
28-15
11-27
23-15
29-19
16-14
16-24
26-31
22-30
19-16
15-29
22-25
26-21
18-21
27-18
18-25
19-29
17-25
12-23
167.7Avg total
81.7Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.290.8173.0-8.750%
Season at home (3)84.084.0168.0+0.067%
Season away (3)80.397.7178.0-17.333%
Last 10 (10)81.786.0167.7-4.350%
Last 5 (5)84.091.4175.4-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.586.7166.2-7.238%
vs Similar (11)76.679.6156.3-3.027%
vs Weaker (4)74.566.2140.8+8.275%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A19/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
H26/08
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A28/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H01/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H06/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
112-84
112
84
+28
H14/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A19/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
92-108
92
108
-16
A22/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A29/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-28
27-22
19-20
16-30
26-17
23-19
18-17
13-24
19-19
16-15
21-16
24-31
25-28
25-14
23-22
31-12
24-19
23-16
15-31
31-19
28-24
32-15
21-26
26-14
35-17
12-27
15-23
26-15
23-31
12-24
26-27
20-29
18-29
25-22
29-28
23-25
23-26
20-23
26-20
180.0Avg total
90.7Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.491.0185.4+3.457%
Season at home (3)100.785.7186.3+15.0100%
Season away (4)89.895.0184.8-5.225%
Last 10 (10)90.789.3180.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)94.292.8187.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)87.988.9176.8-1.050%
vs Similar (8)89.988.0177.9+1.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.575.8159.3+7.771%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
Keilor ThunderKilsyth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A29/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A30/04
NBL1 South
88.3Avg total
42.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.041.181.2-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.241.483.6+0.957%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.978.8-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.588.3-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)48.249.097.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.544.486.8-1.954%-
vs Similar (11)37.540.978.5-3.436%-
vs Weaker (4)39.031.270.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A19/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H26/08
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A28/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H01/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H06/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H14/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
61-31
61
31
+30
A15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A19/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A22/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/04
NBL1 South
93.0Avg total
46.9Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.243.689.8+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.841.189.9+7.764%-
Last 30 away (16)43.945.889.7-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)46.946.193.0+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)50.645.896.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.146.891.9-1.638%-
vs Similar (8)47.446.593.9+0.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.140.186.2+6.171%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keilor Thunder wins
0
Kilsyth wins
DateGameScore
02/07/22Keilor Thunder v Kilsyth87-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23AEltham66-102
29/04/23ADiamond Valley93-85
22/04/23AMt Gambier82-106
15/04/23HMelbourne Tigers84-72
14/04/23HBallarat95-92
02/04/23HKnox73-88
14/08/22AKnox71-85
13/08/22HCasey Cavaliers75-67
06/08/22HGeelong98-74
30/07/22ASandringham Sabres80-89
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23ABendigo Braves92-94
22/04/23ANunawading92-108
19/04/23ARingwood87-97
15/04/23AKnox88-81
14/04/23HSandringham Sabres112-84
06/04/23HDandenong93-78
01/04/23HGeelong97-95
28/08/22AHobart Chargers69-74
26/08/22HBendigo Braves93-88 OT
19/08/22AMt Gambier84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.284.080.3
Allowed / game90.884.097.7
Point differential-8.7+0.0-17.3
Avg total173.0168.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game94.4100.789.8
Allowed / game91.085.795.0
Point differential+3.4+15.0-5.2
Avg total185.4186.3184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier76186%103.789.1+14.6
2 Frankston75271%95.482.7+12.7
3 Eltham75271%88.678.0+10.6
4 Nunawading75271%91.483.3+8.1
5 Ballarat75271%94.788.9+5.9
6 Kilsyth74357%94.491.0+3.4
7 Hobart Chargers74357%87.086.1+0.9
8 Sandringham Sabres74357%87.491.6-4.1
9 Knox63350%82.073.8+8.2
10 Diamond Valley63350%86.289.2-3.0
11 Keilor Thunder63350%82.290.8-8.7
12 Melbourne Tigers73443%80.082.7-2.7
13 NW Tasmania73443%82.488.6-6.1
14 Ringwood62433%88.792.2-3.5
15 Geelong62433%85.892.2-6.3
16 Dandenong72529%87.690.1-2.6
17 Casey Cavaliers72529%76.783.6-6.9
18 Bendigo Braves82625%85.498.0-12.6
19 Waverley61517%78.787.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder1925223298
Kilsyth3219162289
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