PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Knox vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 75-69
19-19 25-16 9-21 22-13
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game78.3
Knox 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game94.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Knox v Keilor Thunder
10 May 2025
KNOX75
KEIL69
13 Jul 2024
KNOX104
KEIL68
17 Jun 2023
KNOX103
KEIL69
14 Aug 2022
KNOX85
KEIL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#5
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A16/08
NBL 1
Eltham
#4
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H17/08
NBL 1
Mackay Meteors
#2
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H18/08
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H29/03
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-73
104
73
+31
A05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H08/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A17/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
26-28
22-28
22-13
24-20
22-15
22-16
22-15
15-25
27-24
20-15
25-20
16-23
29-18
27-18
16-25
16-16
36-15
28-14
24-28
26-18
30-15
29-30
25-16
17-20
25-22
28-16
24-19
17-25
25-20
12-19
19-21
20-26
23-22
25-16
26-21
21-17
28-15
17-16
22-17
171.4Avg total
92.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.078.3171.3+14.786%
Season at home (4)89.878.2168.0+11.575%
Season away (3)97.378.3175.7+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.778.7171.4+14.090%
Last 5 (5)91.878.2170.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)86.092.6178.6-6.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.777.6171.3+16.076%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
68-104
68
104
-36
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A11/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A25/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
53-98
53
98
-45
A26/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
15-24
20-25
20-22
23-23
16-25
12-28
17-28
26-11
21-24
16-24
34-23
15-28
19-24
20-27
22-21
22-29
12-19
15-17
22-22
24-22
26-31
25-30
28-28
23-19
14-18
31-22
19-25
27-22
33-22
19-21
9-30
13-22
19-24
8-22
13-30
18-37
28-15
26-23
30-25
177.1Avg total
81.2Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.694.6179.2-10.038%
Season at home (3)88.394.7183.0-6.367%
Season away (5)82.494.6177.0-12.220%
Last 10 (10)81.295.9177.1-14.730%
Last 5 (5)86.697.6184.2-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)84.494.9179.2-10.536%
vs Similar (9)87.688.1175.7-0.667%
vs Weaker (7)88.089.7177.7-1.757%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
KnoxKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A16/08
NBL 1
Eltham
#4
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H17/08
NBL 1
Mackay Meteors
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H18/08
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/03
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H08/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H03/05
NBL1 South
87.6Avg total
47.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.339.285.5+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.140.386.4+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)46.637.884.4+8.869%-
Last 10 (10)47.240.487.6+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.086.4+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.645.084.6-5.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.638.085.7+9.680%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A11/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A25/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H03/05
NBL1 South
87.2Avg total
40.6Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.745.888.6-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.945.786.6-4.829%-
Last 30 away (16)44.345.990.2-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.687.2-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)45.046.491.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.148.190.2-5.929%-
vs Similar (9)42.945.388.2-2.433%-
vs Weaker (7)43.742.085.7+1.743%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Knox wins
0
Keilor Thunder wins
DateGameScore
13/07/24Knox v Keilor Thunder104-68
17/06/23Knox v Keilor Thunder103-69
02/04/23Keilor Thunder v Knox73-88
14/08/22Knox v Keilor Thunder85-71
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HHobart Chargers88-65
26/04/25ABendigo Braves94-85
25/04/25HCasey Cavaliers73-85
17/04/25ASandringham Sabres94-77
08/04/25HWaverley110-79
05/04/25ADiamond Valley104-73
29/03/25HKilsyth88-84
18/08/24HMackay Meteors87-84
17/08/24HEltham90-66
16/08/24AMaitland M.99-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HNunawading102-100
26/04/25ANW Tasmania53-98
25/04/25AHobart Chargers88-95
13/04/25HFrankston87-84
11/04/25ADandenong103-111
05/04/25ABendigo Braves71-87
30/03/25HMt Gambier76-100
29/03/25ADiamond Valley97-82
13/07/24AKnox68-104
11/07/24HEltham67-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game93.089.897.3
Allowed / game78.378.278.3
Point differential+14.7+11.5+19.0
Avg total171.3168.0175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game84.688.382.4
Allowed / game94.694.794.6
Point differential-10.0-6.3-12.2
Avg total179.2183.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox76186%93.078.3+14.7
2 Frankston75271%94.087.6+6.4
3 Mt Gambier96367%94.784.0+10.7
4 Bendigo Braves96367%90.292.2-2.0
5 Casey Cavaliers85362%86.180.6+5.5
6 Ballarat85362%85.889.4-3.6
7 Melbourne Tigers74357%86.977.0+9.9
8 Kilsyth95456%83.382.1+1.2
9 Nunawading95456%86.187.6-1.4
10 Eltham84450%88.587.2+1.2
11 Geelong84450%82.285.4-3.1
12 Waverley84450%91.495.9-4.5
13 Hobart Chargers94544%83.784.4-0.8
14 Ringwood83538%93.087.8+5.2
15 Diamond Valley83538%84.193.2-9.1
16 Keilor Thunder83538%84.694.6-10.0
17 NW Tasmania93633%85.684.2+1.3
18 Sandringham Sabres92722%83.092.2-9.2
19 Dandenong81712%86.995.4-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox192592275
Keilor Thunder1916211369
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.