PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Knox vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Aug 2022
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 85-71
21-6 25-18 22-23 17-24
Position#7
Record11-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.4
Knox 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#14
Record8-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game78.0
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 16
Other2022
Meetings · Knox v Keilor Thunder
10 May 2025
KNOX75
KEIL69
13 Jul 2024
KNOX104
KEIL68
17 Jun 2023
KNOX103
KEIL69
14 Aug 2022
KNOX85
KEIL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A25/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H02/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H09/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A15/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
83-103
83
103
-20
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A23/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H30/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A06/08
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
A13/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
24-26
20-10
18-27
18-23
20-28
29-18
23-28
14-14
28-15
18-19
21-14
18-21
14-16
20-21
20-25
14-16
20-16
16-13
19-5
14-24
14-27
23-26
32-26
31-23
18-19
14-23
19-21
24-15
16-22
13-23
24-15
13-17
25-12
19-21
23-31
15-20
21-16
23-17
18-24
161.4Avg total
80.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.477.4159.8+5.052%
Season at home (10)83.375.2158.5+8.160%
Season away (11)81.579.5161.0+2.145%
Last 10 (10)80.980.5161.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)81.685.8167.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.898.8187.6-10.020%
vs Similar (9)82.180.0162.1+2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.175.7161.8+10.573%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H26/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H02/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A09/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H17/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H13/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
17-24
10-18
19-23
18-15
24-19
20-25
25-23
19-15
19-18
24-17
26-18
26-19
19-10
14-11
24-14
16-8
22-13
11-29
23-19
19-18
22-22
6-20
22-19
18-26
23-18
18-23
17-12
15-17
24-17
21-18
20-37
23-25
24-19
25-15
26-15
18-26
16-15
18-18
23-8
153.9Avg total
78.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.778.0154.7-1.338%
Season at home (11)78.077.5155.5+0.545%
Season away (10)75.278.5153.7-3.330%
Last 10 (10)78.975.0153.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)79.677.6157.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.282.8161.0-4.733%
vs Similar (11)76.679.6156.3-3.027%
vs Weaker (4)74.566.2140.8+8.275%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
KnoxKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A25/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H02/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A15/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A23/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H30/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A06/08
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/08
NBL1 South
77.9Avg total
38.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.382.0-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.140.185.2+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)36.842.379.1-5.544%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.177.9-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.077.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.248.088.2-7.820%-
vs Similar (9)41.741.783.3+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.539.080.5+2.560%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H26/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H02/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A09/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H13/08
NBL1 South
76.5Avg total
39.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)38.738.977.6-0.152%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.040.980.9-0.955%-
Last 30 away (10)37.336.673.9+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.876.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.681.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.740.280.8+0.567%-
vs Similar (11)37.540.978.5-3.436%-
vs Weaker (4)39.031.270.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Knox wins
0
Keilor Thunder wins
No previous meetings.
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/08/22ARingwood86-84 OT
06/08/22AMt Gambier80-81
30/07/22HMelbourne Tigers77-75
23/07/22AFrankston82-86
16/07/22AHobart Chargers83-103
15/07/22ANW Tasmania69-50
09/07/22HBendigo Braves72-83
02/07/22HBallarat81-62
25/06/22ADandenong90-97
18/06/22HDiamond Valley89-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/08/22HCasey Cavaliers75-67
06/08/22HGeelong98-74
30/07/22ASandringham Sabres80-89
23/07/22HDiamond Valley76-79
17/07/22HFrankston69-79
16/07/22AEltham72-69
10/07/22AMelbourne Tigers83-54
09/07/22ABallarat88-68
02/07/22HKilsyth87-82
26/06/22HHobart Chargers61-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeWWWLW60%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%60%45%
Points / game82.483.381.5
Allowed / game77.475.279.5
Point differential+5.0+8.1+2.1
Avg total159.8158.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayLWWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%45%30%
Points / game76.778.075.2
Allowed / game78.077.578.5
Point differential-1.3+0.5-3.3
Avg total154.7155.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%18%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hobart Chargers2217577%87.978.9+9.0
2 Mt Gambier2116576%94.583.8+10.8
3 Kilsyth2216673%82.878.8+4.0
4 Sandringham Sabres2216673%83.781.4+2.3
5 Bendigo Braves2113862%80.674.7+5.9
6 Frankston2113862%90.886.2+4.5
7 Geelong2112957%85.383.0+2.3
8 Knox21111052%82.477.4+5.0
9 Diamond Valley22111150%83.284.5-1.3
10 Waverley21101148%84.283.0+1.3
11 Ringwood22101245%80.982.9-2.0
12 NW Tasmania22101245%76.379.7-3.4
13 Ballarat2191243%80.282.9-2.7
14 Keilor Thunder2181338%76.778.0-1.3
15 Casey Cavaliers2171433%82.685.7-3.0
16 Nunawading2271532%77.982.6-4.7
17 Eltham2161529%74.181.1-7.0
18 Melbourne Tigers2161529%72.980.9-8.0
19 Dandenong2151624%78.990.6-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox2125221785
Keilor Thunder618232471
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.