Koblenz vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 74-99

10-23 23-30 17-21 24-25

Position#16

Record4-4

FormWWLWL

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game83.6

Koblenz

Dresden 🏆

Position#9

Record4-4

FormLWWLL

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game79.9

Pro ARound 9

Other2023-24

Meetings · Koblenz v Dresden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koblenz winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dresden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koblenz

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKoblenz

Date

Competition

Vechta 2

82-62

+20

no box

A31/05

Pro B

Vechta 2

81-60

+21

no box

H03/06

Pro B

Bremerhaven

#10

95-86

no box

A30/09

Pro A

Bayreuth

#11

72-97

-25

no box

A07/10

Pro A

Giessen

63-74

-11

no box

A18/10

Pro A

Vechta 2

#13

72-70

no box

H21/10

Pro A

Bochum

#17

95-92

no box

H27/10

Pro A

Paderborn

#18

73-81

-8

no box

H29/10

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

96-89

no box

A04/11

Pro A

Munster

74-80

-6

no box

H17/11

Pro A

22-17

19-13

22-18

19-14

25-11

15-17

18-16

23-16

15-26

25-25

31-19

24-16

18-22

16-25

11-26

27-24

19-15

20-21

14-18

10-20

18-19

19-14

20-18

15-19

29-27

19-26

24-20

23-19

18-26

26-16

11-18

18-21

27-19

30-21

15-24

24-25

20-25

20-22

21-24

13-9

159.4Avg total

80.3Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.0	83.6	163.6	-3.6	50%
Season at home (4)	78.5	80.8	159.2	-2.2	50%
Season away (4)	81.5	86.5	168.0	-5.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	79.1	159.4	+1.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	82.4	164.4	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	77.3	80.0	157.3	-2.7	33%
vs Similar (5)	81.6	85.8	167.4	-4.2	60%
vs Weaker (22)	91.5	74.7	166.1	+16.8	91%

This opponent (Dresden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dresden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDresden

Date

Competition

Giessen

76-89

-13

no box

A10/05

Pro A

Hamburg

#12

85-88

-3

79avg 79

H24/09

German Cup

Artland

#14

84-68

+16

no box

A30/09

Pro A

Bochum

#17

106-82

106

+24

no box

H08/10

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

86-91

-5

no box

A14/10

Pro A

Giessen

85-88

-3

no box

H21/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

84-76

no box

H27/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

91-78

+13

no box

A29/10

Pro A

Frankfurt

59-81

-22

no box

H04/11

Pro A

Bayreuth

#11

66-75

-9

no box

H18/11

Pro A

20-27

12-19

21-23

23-20

20-24

19-29

27-13

19-22

22-17

33-19

18-12

11-20

22-11

24-25

29-22

31-24

27-16

26-26

22-18

11-31

31-23

23-23

14-23

17-19

21-16

26-20

16-20

21-20

16-19

23-24

24-17

28-18

16-26

13-16

13-24

17-15

10-22

22-12

16-19

18-22

163.8Avg total

82.2Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	82.6	79.9	162.5	+2.8	50%
Season at home (5)	80.0	80.4	160.4	-0.4	40%
Season away (3)	87.0	79.0	166.0	+8.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	81.6	163.8	+0.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	79.6	156.6	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.7	89.0	162.7	-15.3	0%
vs Similar (20)	83.7	85.5	169.2	-1.8	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	87.8	80.5	168.3	+7.3	67%

This opponent (Koblenz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KoblenzDresden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.4	41.4	+2.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (22)	23.5	18.0	41.5	+5.4	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.1	38.2	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.3	43.3	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	20.9	44.5	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	19.6	41.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.7	22.7	44.3	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (22)	23.3	20.0	43.3	+3.3	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	24.1	45.4	-2.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.3	43.4	+0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	24.3	42.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	50%	-

KoblenzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta 2

41-30

+11

A31/05

Pro B

Vechta 2

40-28

+12

H03/06

Pro B

Bremerhaven

#10

40-51

-11

A30/09

Pro A

Bayreuth

#11

34-47

-13

A07/10

Pro A

Giessen

39-36

A18/10

Pro A

Vechta 2

#13

37-33

H21/10

Pro A

Bochum

#17

48-53

-5

H27/10

Pro A

Paderborn

#18

44-42

H29/10

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

57-40

+17

A04/11

Pro A

Munster

40-47

-7

H17/11

Pro A

82.7Avg total

42.0Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	39.5	85.1	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.9	39.9	86.8	+6.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	39.1	83.2	+5.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	43.0	88.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	39.7	44.7	84.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (22)	46.8	38.0	84.8	+8.7	91%	-

This opponent (Dresden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Giessen

32-46

-14

A10/05

Pro A

Hamburg

#12

39-53

-14

H24/09

German Cup

Artland

#14

55-36

+19

A30/09

Pro A

Bochum

#17

46-36

+10

H08/10

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

53-42

+11

A14/10

Pro A

Giessen

54-46

H21/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

47-36

+11

H27/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

39-43

-4

A29/10

Pro A

Frankfurt

29-42

-13

H04/11

Pro A

Bayreuth

#11

32-34

-2

H18/11

Pro A

84.0Avg total

42.6Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	43.0	84.9	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	39.5	80.2	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	47.0	90.2	-3.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.2	80.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	43.3	79.3	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar (20)	42.2	43.9	86.1	-1.7	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	44.3	38.2	82.5	+6.2	67%	-

This opponent (Koblenz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.4	18.3	40.6	+4.1	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.1	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.3	19.8	41.2	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.7	15.0	30.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.3	18.4	40.7	+4.0	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	19.2	38.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.8	41.1	-0.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	25.7	45.7	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.2	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	37.5	80.3	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	38.2	81.1	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	36.8	79.4	+5.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.4	76.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	39.4	76.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	37.7	35.3	73.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.6	42.8	80.4	-5.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (22)	44.7	36.6	81.3	+8.0	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.7	80.8	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	40.1	79.5	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.0	41.3	82.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	40.2	79.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	39.4	76.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	45.7	83.3	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	39.8	40.5	80.3	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.7	39.5	81.2	+2.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Koblenztheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀46%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	19.0	59.4%	-	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.0	13.0	36.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	9.0	8.0	88.9%	-	8.0

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	13.0	59.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	24.0	15.0	62.5%	-	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	13.0	59.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	24.0	15.0	62.5%	-	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Koblenz wins

Dresden wins

Date	Game	Score
06/02/22	Dresden v Koblenz	67-62
03/12/21	Koblenz v Dresden	85-71
06/03/21	Dresden v Koblenz	81-79
04/02/21	Koblenz v Dresden	64-69

Koblenzlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/23	H	Munster	74-80
04/11/23	A	Dusseldorf	96-89
29/10/23	H	Paderborn	73-81
27/10/23	H	Bochum	95-92
21/10/23	H	Vechta 2	72-70
18/10/23	A	Giessen	63-74
07/10/23	A	Bayreuth	72-97
30/09/23	A	Bremerhaven	95-86
03/06/23	H	Vechta 2	81-60
31/05/23	A	Vechta 2	82-62

Dresdenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/23	H	Bayreuth	66-75
04/11/23	H	Frankfurt	59-81
29/10/23	A	Kirchheim	91-78
27/10/23	H	Nurnberger	84-76
21/10/23	H	Giessen	85-88
14/10/23	A	PS Karlsruhe	86-91
08/10/23	H	Bochum	106-82
30/09/23	A	Artland	84-68
24/09/23	H	Hamburg	85-88
10/05/23	A	Giessen	76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koblenz

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	50%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	80.0	78.5	81.5
Allowed / game	83.6	80.8	86.5
Point differential	-3.6	-2.2	-5.0
Avg total	163.6	159.2	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Dresden

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	50%
Home	WLWLL	40%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	50%	40%	67%
Points / game	82.6	80.0	87.0
Allowed / game	79.9	80.4	79.0
Point differential	+2.8	-0.4	+8.0
Avg total	162.5	160.4	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	20%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Frankfurt	10	9	1	90%	78.8	67.1	+11.7
2	Jena	9	7	2	78%	85.0	76.8	+8.2
3	Trier	8	6	2	75%	82.5	77.1	+5.4
4	Munster	8	6	2	75%	81.4	78.2	+3.1
5	Phoenix Hagen	8	6	2	75%	86.8	83.9	+2.9
6	Giessen	8	5	3	62%	87.1	84.2	+2.9
7	Kirchheim	8	5	3	62%	86.0	84.5	+1.5
8	Bayreuth	8	4	4	50%	85.4	79.1	+6.2
9	Dresden	8	4	4	50%	82.6	79.9	+2.8
10	Koblenz	8	4	4	50%	80.0	83.6	-3.6
11	PS Karlsruhe	9	4	5	44%	76.0	75.8	+0.2
12	Dusseldorf	10	4	6	40%	84.1	87.7	-3.6
13	Nurnberger	9	3	6	33%	81.9	81.3	+0.6
14	Vechta 2	9	3	6	33%	82.9	83.6	-0.7
15	Bremerhaven	8	2	6	25%	80.2	86.6	-6.4
16	Bochum	8	2	6	25%	85.6	93.4	-7.8
17	Paderborn	8	2	6	25%	71.4	84.4	-13.0
18	Artland	8	0	8	0%	73.2	86.8	-13.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Koblenz	10	23	17	24	74
Dresden	23	30	21	25	99

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Koblenz vs Dresden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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