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Koshigaya Alphas vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 92-85
23-14 17-30 31-24 21-17
Position#19
Record15-26
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#24
Record10-31
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game90.0
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 66
A25/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
63-92
63
92
-29
54avg 66
H28/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
82avg 66
A31/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 66
A01/02
B League
Sendai
#11
W
87-79
87
79
+8
93avg 66
H07/02
B League
Sendai
#11
L
67-76
67
76
-9
58avg 66
H08/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 66
H14/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
62-69
62
69
-7
61avg 66
H15/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
89-92
89
92
-3
85avg 66
A07/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
65-99
65
99
-34
50avg 66
A08/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
24-23
17-22
17-16
22-25
15-19
16-20
10-28
19-26
20-18
20-25
22-19
17-18
31-28
14-17
19-17
16-10
20-21
23-27
28-21
20-13
24-22
11-17
12-24
31-17
18-17
24-18
20-23
19-22
13-16
17-16
13-15
25-24
37-22
15-23
12-23
18-23
16-22
17-34
14-20
160.7Avg total
77.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)73.380.2153.5-6.937%
Season at home (21)72.777.8150.5-5.138%
Season away (20)74.082.8156.7-8.835%
Last 10 (10)77.683.1160.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)75.282.2157.4-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.885.5157.2-13.725%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.475.5154.9+3.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
79-89
79
89
-10
73avg 77
H25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
84avg 77
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 77
A31/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
69-70
69
70
-1
66avg 77
A01/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
67-92
67
92
-25
57avg 77
H07/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
69-91
69
91
-22
60avg 77
H08/02
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
98-101
98
101
-3
92avg 77
H14/02
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
115-93
115
93
+22
106avg 77
H15/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 77
A07/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
69-103
69
103
-34
62avg 77
A08/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
20-21
24-18
17-27
23-20
21-21
24-26
19-24
13-26
23-8
17-23
13-18
24-21
24-18
8-23
13-8
18-18
25-33
16-20
8-21
22-24
22-26
11-18
14-23
28-25
17-15
17-25
36-36
31-21
29-29
30-27
25-16
25-25
18-20
22-16
5-22
24-34
19-27
14-25
12-17
167.7Avg total
78.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)81.690.0171.6-8.424%
Season at home (20)80.591.0171.6-10.520%
Season away (21)82.689.0171.7-6.429%
Last 10 (10)78.988.8167.7-9.910%
Last 5 (5)84.294.2178.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)82.291.8174.0-9.617%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.385.5168.8-2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
Koshigaya AlphasToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A25/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H28/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A01/02
B League
Sendai
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/02
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H14/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A07/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A08/03
B League
84.1Avg total
43.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.379.6-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.738.477.1+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)37.943.981.8-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.684.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.743.179.8-6.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.537.779.2+3.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A31/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A01/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H08/02
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/02
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H15/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A08/03
B League
89.9Avg total
44.4Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.746.389.0-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.546.991.4-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)41.145.886.9-4.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.589.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.296.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)42.547.289.8-4.738%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.342.886.2+0.567%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.8
50.8%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.3
37.5%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
73.1%12.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.5
50.2%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.414.3
66.8%
73.1%14.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLWLWWLLW
Toyama
LLWLLLLLLL
#19
League position
#24
-7.0
Net rating
-11.3
93.7
Offensive rating
87.9
100.7
Defensive rating
99.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.5%
3-point %
32.8%
71.5%
Assist %
67.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 87.9Defence100.7 · 99.2Shooting53.0% · 49.8%3-point %37.5% · 32.8%Ball care14.9% · 16.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
0
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Toyama v Koshigaya Alphas66-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AHiroshima D.65-99
07/03/26AHiroshima D.89-92
15/02/26HSun Rockers Shibuya62-69
14/02/26HSun Rockers Shibuya93-75
08/02/26HSendai67-76
07/02/26HSendai87-79
01/02/26AHokkaido81-80
31/01/26AHokkaido81-88
28/01/26HYokohama63-92
25/01/26AIbaraki Robots88-81
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ASeaHorses Mikawa69-103
07/03/26ASeaHorses Mikawa70-83
15/02/26HHokkaido115-93
14/02/26HHokkaido98-101
08/02/26HSaga69-91
07/02/26HSaga67-92
01/02/26AAlvark69-70
31/01/26AAlvark66-75
28/01/26ADiamond Dolphins87-91
25/01/26HSun Rockers Shibuya79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL37%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayWLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %37%38%35%
Points / game73.372.774.0
Allowed / game80.277.882.8
Point differential-6.9-5.1-8.8
Avg total153.5150.5156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Toyama
B League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL24%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %24%20%29%
Points / game81.680.582.6
Allowed / game90.091.089.0
Point differential-8.4-10.4-6.4
Avg total171.6171.6171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%15%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)0% (5)44% (9)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4133880%92.078.4+13.6
2 Diamond Dolphins4132978%83.472.6+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex41311076%85.379.6+5.7
4 Chiba41291271%82.776.0+6.7
5 Alvark41291271%80.976.7+4.2
6 Hokkaido41291271%88.584.9+3.6
7 Ryukyu41281368%81.574.7+6.8
8 SeaHorses Mikawa41281368%84.578.0+6.4
9 Gunma41251661%82.374.6+7.7
10 Hiroshima D.41251661%86.482.7+3.7
11 Sendai41241759%80.679.1+1.4
12 NeoPhoenix41221954%83.782.1+1.6
13 Shimane41212051%81.480.5+0.9
14 Saga41212051%81.682.0-0.4
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya41172441%76.580.9-4.5
16 Osaka41152637%79.782.2-2.5
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41152637%80.883.3-2.5
18 Yokohama41152637%78.682.5-4.0
19 Koshigaya Alphas41152637%73.380.2-6.9
20 Altiri Chiba41142734%79.583.7-4.1
21 Shiga41142734%80.285.9-5.7
22 Ibaraki Robots41122929%74.980.0-5.1
23 Kyoto41122929%71.380.5-9.2
24 Toyama41103124%81.690.0-8.4
25 Brave Thunders41103124%75.584.0-8.5
26 Akita4173417%73.885.1-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas2317312192
Toyama1430241785
← all games of the day
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