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Hiroshima D. vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 92-89
24-25 22-37 23-15 23-12
Position#13
Record23-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#19
Record15-24
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game79.4
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Koshigaya Alphas
08 Mar 2026
HIRO99
KOSH65
07 Mar 2026
HIRO92
KOSH89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
72-95
72
95
-23
64avg 78
A04/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
89-91
89
91
-2
79avg 78
A24/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
77-74
77
74
+3
71avg 78
A25/01
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
106-79
106
79
+27
120avg 78
H28/01
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 78
A31/01
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
62avg 78
A01/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
101-92
101
92
+9
93avg 78
H07/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
79-69
79
69
+10
72avg 78
H08/02
B League
Shiga
#18
W
94-81
94
81
+13
90avg 78
A14/02
B League
Shiga
#18
W
104-89
104
89
+15
107avg 78
A15/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
19-26
15-25
17-21
23-22
21-22
19-26
26-21
21-12
21-20
12-22
23-20
25-19
30-19
30-19
21-22
19-13
14-26
22-22
16-23
10-28
24-23
18-23
22-24
37-21
24-26
16-25
24-20
26-21
23-16
16-10
14-22
24-19
23-17
22-18
25-27
26-28
27-24
25-15
26-22
171.9Avg total
86.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)86.083.0169.0+2.959%
Season at home (17)87.785.2172.9+2.553%
Season away (22)84.681.4166.0+3.364%
Last 10 (10)86.785.2171.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)90.485.8176.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.784.2157.9-10.622%
vs Similar (10)83.479.0162.4+4.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.683.5176.2+9.182%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
L
58-76
58
76
-18
51avg 66
A04/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
80avg 66
A24/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 66
A25/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
63-92
63
92
-29
54avg 66
H28/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
82avg 66
A31/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 66
A01/02
B League
Sendai
#11
W
87-79
87
79
+8
93avg 66
H07/02
B League
Sendai
#11
L
67-76
67
76
-9
58avg 66
H08/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 66
H14/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
62-69
62
69
-7
61avg 66
H15/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
5-28
18-11
17-24
19-28
11-15
20-17
24-14
30-20
24-23
17-22
17-16
22-25
15-19
16-20
10-28
19-26
20-18
20-25
22-19
17-18
31-28
14-17
19-17
16-10
20-21
23-27
28-21
20-13
24-22
11-17
12-24
31-17
18-17
24-18
20-23
19-22
13-16
17-16
13-15
156.0Avg total
76.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)73.179.4152.5-6.338%
Season at home (21)72.777.8150.5-5.138%
Season away (18)73.681.3154.9-7.739%
Last 10 (10)76.379.7156.0-3.450%
Last 5 (5)78.075.8153.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.983.5154.4-12.626%
vs Similar (11)79.374.6153.9+4.664%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Hiroshima D.Koshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A04/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A24/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A25/01
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H28/01
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A31/01
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A01/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H07/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H08/02
B League
Shiga
#18
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A14/02
B League
Shiga
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A15/02
B League
88.3Avg total
45.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.988.0+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.244.892.0+2.354%-
Last 30 away (17)41.943.185.0-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)45.842.588.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.844.693.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.945.882.7-8.911%-
vs Similar (10)44.244.588.7-0.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)50.141.791.8+8.491%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A04/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A24/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A25/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H28/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/01
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A01/02
B League
Sendai
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/02
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H14/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/02
B League
79.1Avg total
39.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.978.6-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.738.076.7+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)36.643.980.5-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.979.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.878.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.642.377.9-6.732%-
vs Similar (11)41.238.579.7+2.655%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.2
57.1%
53.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.0
34.6%
33.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.816.1
67.6%
73.1%16.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.5
51.7%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.2
35.9%
33.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.511.5
74.2%
73.1%11.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
WWWWLLWWLL
Koshigaya Alphas
LWLWWLLWWL
#13
League position
#19
+1.5
Net rating
-4.8
99.2
Offensive rating
93.3
97.7
Defensive rating
98.1
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.6%
3-point %
35.9%
62.9%
Assist %
74.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 93.3Defence97.7 · 98.1Shooting54.7% · 52.6%3-point %34.6% · 35.9%Ball care15.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hiroshima D. wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AShiga104-89
14/02/26AShiga94-81
08/02/26HAkita79-69
07/02/26HAkita101-92
01/02/26ANagasaki74-98
31/01/26ANagasaki71-84
28/01/26HKyoto106-79
25/01/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-74
24/01/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-91
04/01/26AAlvark72-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HSun Rockers Shibuya62-69
14/02/26HSun Rockers Shibuya93-75
08/02/26HSendai67-76
07/02/26HSendai87-79
01/02/26AHokkaido81-80
31/01/26AHokkaido81-88
28/01/26HYokohama63-92
25/01/26AIbaraki Robots88-81
24/01/26AIbaraki Robots83-81 OT
04/01/26AOsaka58-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeLWWWW53%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391722
Win %59%53%64%
Points / game86.087.784.6
Allowed / game83.085.281.4
Point differential+2.9+2.5+3.3
Avg total169.0172.9166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL38%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayLWWLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392118
Win %38%38%39%
Points / game73.172.773.6
Allowed / game79.477.881.3
Point differential-6.3-5.1-7.7
Avg total152.5150.5154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3933685%93.077.7+15.3
2 Diamond Dolphins3930977%83.472.8+10.6
3 Utsunomiya Brex39291074%85.179.4+5.8
4 Chiba40281270%82.475.9+6.5
5 Alvark39271269%80.376.8+3.5
6 Hokkaido39271269%88.184.9+3.2
7 Ryukyu39261367%81.574.9+6.7
8 SeaHorses Mikawa39261367%84.078.5+5.5
9 Gunma39241562%82.574.9+7.6
10 Hiroshima D.39231659%86.083.0+2.9
11 Sendai39231659%80.178.7+1.4
12 Shimane39211854%81.980.5+1.4
13 Saga39211854%81.581.7-0.3
14 NeoPhoenix39201951%83.282.2+1.0
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya39162341%75.880.5-4.6
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles39152438%80.882.8-2.0
17 Yokohama39152438%78.281.8-3.6
18 Koshigaya Alphas39152438%73.179.4-6.3
19 Osaka40152538%79.781.9-2.1
20 Shiga39132633%80.486.7-6.3
21 Ibaraki Robots39122731%75.279.8-4.6
22 Altiri Chiba39122731%78.883.6-4.7
23 Kyoto39112828%71.580.6-9.1
24 Toyama39102926%82.289.8-7.6
25 Brave Thunders3993023%75.884.4-8.6
26 Akita3973218%73.184.7-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.2422232392
Koshigaya Alphas2537151289
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