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Toyama vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 69-91
22-24 22-26 11-18 14-23
Position#24
Record9-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record20-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game81.8
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toyama v Saga
22 Jan 2027
TOYA v SAGA
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
TOYA69
SAGA91
07 Feb 2026
TOYA67
SAGA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
92avg 77
A27/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
68avg 77
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 77
A03/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
54avg 77
A04/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 77
H24/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
79-89
79
89
-10
73avg 77
H25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
84avg 77
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 77
A31/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
69-70
69
70
-1
66avg 77
A01/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
67-92
67
92
-25
57avg 77
H07/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
27-20
21-17
17-23
20-20
20-14
12-17
27-20
22-13
9-23
16-18
25-25
19-27
14-21
15-19
25-21
19-19
20-22
14-21
22-16
18-23
20-21
24-18
17-27
23-20
21-21
24-26
19-24
13-26
23-8
17-23
13-18
24-21
24-18
8-23
13-8
18-18
25-33
16-20
8-21
159.9Avg total
76.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.289.4170.7-8.225%
Season at home (17)78.290.3168.5-12.118%
Season away (19)84.088.6172.6-4.632%
Last 10 (10)76.783.2159.9-6.520%
Last 5 (5)73.683.4157.0-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)80.591.1171.6-10.714%
vs Similar (9)81.485.0166.4-3.633%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-73
82
73
+9
73avg 75
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-84
91
84
+7
93avg 75
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 75
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 75
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 75
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
79-73
79
73
+6
65avg 75
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
98avg 75
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 75
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 75
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-67
92
67
+25
94avg 75
A07/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
26-15
18-17
20-17
24-21
18-17
16-22
33-24
18-25
23-18
28-20
15-15
14-19
10-17
13-25
14-20
20-23
19-16
27-10
19-24
24-23
24-17
13-17
18-16
24-21
26-21
23-29
22-17
15-20
11-22
27-18
30-19
19-23
15-18
22-32
20-22
18-18
33-25
20-16
21-8
160.9Avg total
81.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.481.8163.2-0.356%
Season at home (20)80.882.2162.9-1.555%
Season away (16)82.381.2163.6+1.156%
Last 10 (10)81.879.1160.9+2.780%
Last 5 (5)85.080.4165.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.585.6159.1-12.130%
vs Similar (10)87.079.1166.1+7.970%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.978.4160.3+3.570%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
ToyamaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A04/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A31/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A01/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/02
B League
81.0Avg total
39.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.445.086.5-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.946.189.0-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)40.144.184.2-4.056%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.281.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.883.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)41.246.587.8-5.333%-
vs Similar (9)41.941.683.4+0.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/02
B League
80.2Avg total
39.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.782.5-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.243.881.9-5.622%-
Last 30 away (12)42.241.283.3+1.067%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.380.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.683.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.242.778.9-6.520%-
vs Similar (10)41.841.783.5+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.343.885.1-2.550%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.920.0
45.6%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.4
31.2%
33.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
73.1%13.7
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.0
53.4%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.78.8
28.7%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.718.9
87.1%
73.1%18.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LLLLLLLLWW
Saga
WLWWWWLWWW
#24
League position
#12
-8.6
Net rating
+3.1
89.7
Offensive rating
102.2
98.3
Defensive rating
99.1
46.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
11.9%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.2%
3-point %
28.7%
61.3%
Assist %
73.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 102.2Defence98.3 · 99.1Shooting46.0% · 48.4%3-point %31.2% · 28.7%Ball care16.5% · 11.9%Off. rebounds36.4% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Toyama   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toyama wins
3
Saga wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Toyama v Saga67-92
21/01/24Saga v Toyama74-63
20/01/24Saga v Toyama81-72
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HSaga67-92
01/02/26AAlvark69-70
31/01/26AAlvark66-75
28/01/26ADiamond Dolphins87-91
25/01/26HSun Rockers Shibuya79-89
24/01/26HSun Rockers Shibuya75-78
04/01/26AChiba73-88
03/01/26AChiba72-79
28/12/25AShiga79-71
27/12/25AShiga100-99 OT
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AToyama92-67
01/02/26HChiba76-95
31/01/26HChiba83-79
28/01/26HShimane95-88
25/01/26AAltiri Chiba79-73
24/01/26AAltiri Chiba85-73
04/01/26HGunma51-81
03/01/26HGunma84-78
27/12/25ABrave Thunders91-84
26/12/25ABrave Thunders82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %25%18%32%
Points / game81.278.284.0
Allowed / game89.490.388.6
Point differential-8.2-12.1-4.6
Avg total170.7168.5172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)0% (4)44% (9)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWLWWL55%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %56%55%56%
Points / game81.480.882.3
Allowed / game81.882.281.2
Point differential-0.3-1.4+1.1
Avg total163.2162.9163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3731684%93.377.8+15.5
2 Diamond Dolphins3628878%83.372.4+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex37271073%84.478.9+5.5
4 Chiba36261072%82.274.9+7.3
5 Hokkaido37261170%87.683.8+3.9
6 Alvark36251169%80.476.9+3.4
7 SeaHorses Mikawa37251268%84.678.4+6.2
8 Gunma36231364%82.874.5+8.4
9 Ryukyu36231364%81.875.4+6.4
10 Sendai36211558%79.878.6+1.2
11 Hiroshima D.36201656%85.483.3+2.1
12 Saga36201656%81.481.8-0.3
13 Shimane36191753%82.081.1+0.9
14 NeoPhoenix36171947%82.582.2+0.3
15 Osaka36152142%80.481.6-1.1
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles36152142%80.982.6-1.7
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya36152142%76.580.6-4.0
18 Koshigaya Alphas36142239%73.079.9-6.9
19 Yokohama36132336%77.982.0-4.0
20 Shiga36132336%80.486.2-5.8
21 Altiri Chiba36112531%79.284.3-5.0
22 Ibaraki Robots3692725%74.980.5-5.6
23 Toyama3692725%81.289.4-8.2
24 Brave Thunders3692725%75.483.8-8.4
25 Kyoto3692725%71.181.1-10.0
26 Akita3672919%73.485.2-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama2222111469
Saga2426182391
← all games of the day
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