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Toyama vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 67-92
18-18 25-33 16-20 8-21
Position#24
Record9-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record19-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game82.2
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toyama v Saga
22 Jan 2027
TOYA v SAGA
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
TOYA69
SAGA91
07 Feb 2026
TOYA67
SAGA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
77-110
77
110
-33
70avg 77
H24/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
92avg 77
A27/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
68avg 77
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 77
A03/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
54avg 77
A04/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 77
H24/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
79-89
79
89
-10
73avg 77
H25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
84avg 77
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 77
A31/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
69-70
69
70
-1
66avg 77
A01/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
17-30
19-25
19-26
19-24
27-20
21-17
17-23
20-20
20-14
12-17
27-20
22-13
9-23
16-18
25-25
19-27
14-21
15-19
25-21
19-19
20-22
14-21
22-16
18-23
20-21
24-18
17-27
23-20
21-21
24-26
19-24
13-26
23-8
17-23
13-18
24-21
24-18
8-23
13-8
162.7Avg total
77.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.789.3171.0-7.726%
Season at home (16)78.990.2169.1-11.319%
Season away (19)84.088.6172.6-4.632%
Last 10 (10)77.785.0162.7-7.320%
Last 5 (5)75.280.6155.8-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)81.291.1172.2-9.915%
vs Similar (10)83.286.0169.2-2.840%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 74
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-73
82
73
+9
73avg 74
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-84
91
84
+7
93avg 74
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 74
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 74
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 74
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
79-73
79
73
+6
65avg 74
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
98avg 74
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 74
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 74
H01/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
11-24
19-14
27-15
18-24
26-15
18-17
20-17
24-21
18-17
16-22
33-24
18-25
23-18
28-20
15-15
14-19
10-17
13-25
14-20
20-23
19-16
27-10
19-24
24-23
24-17
13-17
18-16
24-21
26-21
23-29
22-17
15-20
11-22
27-18
30-19
19-23
15-18
22-32
20-22
161.1Avg total
81.2Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.182.2163.3-1.154%
Season at home (20)80.882.2162.9-1.555%
Season away (15)81.782.2163.9-0.553%
Last 10 (10)81.279.9161.1+1.380%
Last 5 (5)83.681.6165.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.585.6159.1-12.130%
vs Similar (11)87.582.3169.7+5.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.879.7160.4+1.167%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
ToyamaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H24/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A04/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A31/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A01/02
B League
81.4Avg total
39.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.745.086.7-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.945.788.6-2.831%-
Last 30 away (17)40.844.585.3-3.659%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.081.4-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.146.387.4-5.135%-
vs Similar (10)42.942.485.3+0.570%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H01/02
B League
79.4Avg total
38.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.382.9-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.243.881.9-5.622%-
Last 30 away (12)41.842.684.4-0.858%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.679.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.242.778.9-6.520%-
vs Similar (11)42.343.485.6-1.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.243.984.1-3.744%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.420.3
46.8%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.5
30.9%
33.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.313.8
68.0%
73.1%13.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.7
52.4%
53.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.2
30.0%
33.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.917.5
83.7%
73.1%17.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LLLLLLLWWL
Saga
LWWWWLWWWW
#24
League position
#12
-9.4
Net rating
+1.1
91.3
Offensive rating
102.7
100.6
Defensive rating
101.6
46.6%
Effective FG%
48.8%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
12.6%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.9%
3-point %
30.0%
62.2%
Assist %
71.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 102.7Defence100.6 · 101.6Shooting46.6% · 48.8%3-point %30.9% · 30.0%Ball care17.3% · 12.6%Off. rebounds36.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Toyama   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toyama wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Saga v Toyama74-63
20/01/24Saga v Toyama81-72
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AAlvark69-70
31/01/26AAlvark66-75
28/01/26ADiamond Dolphins87-91
25/01/26HSun Rockers Shibuya79-89
24/01/26HSun Rockers Shibuya75-78
04/01/26AChiba73-88
03/01/26AChiba72-79
28/12/25AShiga79-71
27/12/25AShiga100-99 OT
24/12/25HNeoPhoenix77-110
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HChiba76-95
31/01/26HChiba83-79
28/01/26HShimane95-88
25/01/26AAltiri Chiba79-73
24/01/26AAltiri Chiba85-73
04/01/26HGunma51-81
03/01/26HGunma84-78
27/12/25ABrave Thunders91-84
26/12/25ABrave Thunders82-73
24/12/25ADiamond Dolphins86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLLLL19%
AwayLLLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %26%19%32%
Points / game81.778.984.0
Allowed / game89.390.288.6
Point differential-7.7-11.3-4.6
Avg total171.0169.1172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)0% (4)44% (9)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeWLWWL55%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games352015
Win %54%55%53%
Points / game81.180.881.7
Allowed / game82.282.282.2
Point differential-1.1-1.4-0.5
Avg total163.3162.9163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3630683%93.077.9+15.1
2 Diamond Dolphins3527877%83.672.7+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex3627975%84.778.2+6.4
4 Chiba36261072%82.274.9+7.3
5 Hokkaido36261072%87.683.4+4.1
6 Alvark36251169%80.476.9+3.4
7 SeaHorses Mikawa36241267%84.378.0+6.3
8 Gunma35221363%82.974.7+8.1
9 Ryukyu35221363%81.776.0+5.8
10 Sendai35211460%79.978.4+1.5
11 Hiroshima D.36201656%85.483.3+2.1
12 Saga35191654%81.182.2-1.1
13 Shimane36191753%82.081.1+0.9
14 NeoPhoenix35161946%82.482.4-0.1
15 Osaka35152043%80.981.6-0.7
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya35152043%76.980.8-3.9
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles35142140%81.183.1-2.0
18 Yokohama35132237%78.181.8-3.7
19 Koshigaya Alphas35132237%72.680.0-7.3
20 Shiga36132336%80.486.2-5.8
21 Altiri Chiba35102529%78.984.4-5.5
22 Ibaraki Robots3592626%75.180.6-5.5
23 Toyama3592626%81.789.3-7.7
24 Brave Thunders3592626%76.083.9-7.9
25 Kyoto3592626%70.880.8-9.9
26 Akita3672919%73.485.2-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama182516867
Saga1833202192
← all games of the day
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