Kouvot Kouvola vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Kouvot Kouvola will host Salon Vilpas on 14 November 2026 in the Korisliiga, and the Pythia model clearly favours the visitors, rating them 77% to win, a reflection of their 5-4 record and 86.9 points scored per game against only 80.0 allowed, versus Kouvot's 2-8 record, 85.8 points per game and 91.4 allowed. Kouvot has struggled all season, winning only two of ten games, and even at home they are 2-3 with 88.6 points per game and 87.4 allowed, while their last five games yielded just one win; they recently lost 80-98 to Helsinki Seagulls and 86-90 to Pyrinto Tampere before a 105-100 home win over UU-Korihait. Salon Vilpas, meanwhile, has been more balanced, 3-2 on the road with 84.6 points per game and 74.8 allowed, and their last five games include two road victories and a home win, with a recent 77-69 triumph over Antwerp Giants. Historically the visitors have a 6-4 edge in ten meetings, most recently defeating Kouvot 105-82 in January. Pythia projects a 82-90 score, a 171.6 total, and a 48% chance the home team will cover the 8.0 line; the game carries a 4% overtime probability. The decisive factor will be whether Kouvot can keep the gap below the spread in this low-scoring encounter.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kouvot Kouvola winWon

22.6%fair 4.42

Best odds3.56

Implied26.4%

Edge-3.8pp

Salon Vilpas winLost

77.4%fair 1.29

Best odds1.34

Implied73.6%

Edge+3.8pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kouvot Kouvola Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKouvola

Date

Competition

Honka

91-99

-8

82avg 75

A03/10

Korisliiga

Kipina

80-89

-9

63avg 75

H06/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

83-91

-8

72avg 75

A14/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

95-76

+19

86avg 75

H16/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

89-95

-6

72avg 75

H21/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

75-99

-24

65avg 75

A23/10

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

105-100

105

100

100avg 75

H30/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

86-90

-4

no box

A03/11

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

80-98

-18

no box

A06/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

76-80

-4

no box

A11/11

Suomen Cup

18-26

18-34

30-21

25-18

17-25

29-26

14-11

20-27

11-16

30-30

21-18

21-27

23-15

27-23

19-24

26-14

23-20

23-31

22-22

21-22

12-21

23-22

20-27

20-29

31-26

25-15

26-32

23-27

22-26

28-18

13-23

23-23

24-21

15-24

15-21

26-32

21-21

22-21

19-21

14-17

177.7Avg total

86.0Scored

91.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	85.8	91.4	177.2	-5.6	20%
Season at home (5)	88.6	87.4	176.0	+1.2	40%
Season away (5)	83.0	95.4	178.4	-12.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	91.7	177.7	-5.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	93.4	177.8	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	83.0	90.9	173.9	-7.9	25%
vs Similar (8)	88.2	88.2	176.5	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker (6)	88.8	86.0	174.8	+2.8	50%

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Salon Vilpas Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVilpas

Date

Competition

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

95-73

+22

90avg 80

H10/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

81-102

102

-21

72avg 80

H14/10

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

#12

81-70

+11

77avg 80

A17/10

Korisliiga

Szombathely

#33

72-85

-13

66avg 80

A20/10

Champions League

Helsinki Seagulls

79-64

+15

70avg 80

H24/10

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

79-86

-7

73avg 80

A27/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

80-52

+28

71avg 80

A30/10

Korisliiga

Antwerp Giants

#12

77-69

no box

H03/11

Champions League

Kipina

86-87

-1

no box

A07/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

108-89

108

+19

no box

H11/11

Suomen Cup

20-16

20-19

27-20

28-18

20-29

18-19

20-28

23-26

23-14

20-25

18-12

20-19

21-23

14-16

16-23

16-15

24-23

17-12

22-14

13-26

25-18

19-23

22-19

17-20

26-13

22-16

15-3

18-20

20-22

22-10

17-17

28-22

18-16

22-26

18-23

30-20

23-29

27-21

28-19

161.5Avg total

83.8Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	86.9	80.0	166.9	+6.9	56%
Season at home (4)	89.8	86.5	176.2	+3.2	50%
Season away (5)	84.6	74.8	159.4	+9.8	60%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	77.7	161.5	+6.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	76.6	162.6	+9.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	87.5	82.5	170.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar (3)	79.7	91.3	171.0	-11.7	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	86.9	75.9	162.8	+11.0	67%

This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 171.5Actual: Over 171.5

Over 171.5

49.6%

@ 1.71-6.1pp

Under 171.5

50.4%

@ 2.15+6.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.71

Bet365

1.64

Marathon Be

1.61

Betano

1.60

Under

Betano

2.15

Pinnacle

2.15

Bet365

2.12

Marathon Be

2.04

Over/Under 176.75 · main lineActual: Over 176.75

Over 176.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under 176.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.78

Under

1xBet

1.78

Over/Under 181.5Actual: Over 181.5

Over 181.5

27.0%

@ 2.60-8.3pp

Under 181.5

73.0%

@ 1.42+8.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

Under

Betano

1.42

📊 3. Team Totals

Kouvot Kouvola total 79.5Actual: Kouvot Kouvola over 79.5

Over 79.5

57.3%

@ 1.50-6.4pp

Under 79.5

42.7%

@ 2.52+6.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.52

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.45

Kouvot Kouvola total 83.5 · main lineActual: Kouvot Kouvola over 83.5

Over 83.5

41.8%

@ 1.85-8.9pp

Under 83.5

58.2%

@ 1.88+8.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.69

Under

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.76

Kouvot Kouvola total 87.5Actual: Kouvot Kouvola over 87.5

Over 87.5

27.8%

@ 2.65-7.8pp

Under 87.5

72.2%

@ 1.43+7.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.43

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.41

Salon Vilpas total 87Actual: Salon Vilpas over 87

Over 87

62.4%

Under 87

37.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Salon Vilpas total 91 · main lineActual: Salon Vilpas under 91

Over 91

46.1%

@ 1.85-3.3pp

Under 91

53.9%

@ 1.85+3.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.76

Under

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.68

Salon Vilpas total 95Actual: Salon Vilpas under 95

Over 95

30.5%

Under 95

69.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kouvot Kouvola +4Actual: Kouvot Kouvola +4

KOUV +4

32.6%

@ 2.40-6.1pp

SVI -4

67.4%

@ 1.52+6.1pp

Best 5 market prices

KOUV

Bet365

2.40

SVI

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.52

Spread Kouvot Kouvola +7 · main lineActual: Kouvot Kouvola +7

KOUV +7

44.0%

@ 1.93-6.0pp

SVI -7

56.0%

@ 1.91+6.0pp

Best 5 market prices

KOUV

SBO

1.93

Pinnacle

1.91

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.86

SVI

Pinnacle

1.91

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Bet365

1.80

SBO

1.73

Spread Kouvot Kouvola +10Actual: Kouvot Kouvola +10

KOUV +10

55.5%

@ 1.66-1.5pp

SVI -10

44.5%

@ 2.20+1.5pp

Best 5 market prices

KOUV

Pinnacle

1.66

Marathon Be

1.64

Bet365

1.60

SVI

Pinnacle

2.20

Bet365

2.20

Marathon Be

2.07

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Kouvot KouvolaSalon Vilpas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	23.1	43.9	-2.2	33%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.4	57%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	24.9	45.3	-4.6	12%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.4	23.2	42.6	-3.8	31%	31%
vs Similar (8)	22.4	24.1	46.5	-1.8	25%	62%
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	21.3	43.8	+1.2	50%	67%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	62%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.6	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	50%
vs Similar (3)	23.0	24.7	47.7	-1.7	33%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	54%	38%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.7	44.5	+1.0	60%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	20.0	42.9	+2.9	79%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	23.2	45.9	-0.6	44%	62%
Last 10 (10)	24.0	24.4	48.4	-0.4	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	22.1	22.4	44.6	-0.3	50%	62%
vs Similar (8)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	62%	38%
vs Weaker (6)	23.7	20.8	44.5	+2.8	83%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	57%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	19.6	43.5	+4.4	62%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.6	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	22.0	46.5	+2.5	50%	50%
vs Similar (3)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	33%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.1	19.6	42.7	+3.5	62%	54%

Kouvot KouvolaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Honka

36-60

-24

A03/10

Korisliiga

Kipina

46-51

-5

H06/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

41-46

-5

A14/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

50-38

+12

H16/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

46-51

-5

H21/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

35-43

-8

A23/10

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

56-41

+15

H30/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

50-44

A03/11

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

39-45

-6

A06/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

43-42

A11/11

Suomen Cup

90.3Avg total

44.2Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86
Last 30 (30)	43.6	44.8	88.4	-1.2	47%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.2	40.9	85.1	+3.3	57%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	43.1	48.2	91.2	-5.1	38%	56%
Last 10 (10)	44.2	46.1	90.3	-1.9	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	44.6	43.0	87.6	+1.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	41.6	45.6	87.2	-4.1	31%	44%
vs Similar (8)	45.8	45.1	90.9	+0.6	50%	62%
vs Weaker (6)	46.2	42.2	88.3	+4.0	83%	50%

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

40-35

H10/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

38-48

-10

H14/10

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

#12

43-39

A17/10

Korisliiga

Szombathely

#33

42-46

-4

A20/10

Champions League

Helsinki Seagulls

40-38

H24/10

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

38-44

-6

A27/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

43-33

+10

A30/10

Korisliiga

Antwerp Giants

#12

38-42

-4

H03/11

Champions League

Kipina

46-38

A07/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

53-49

H11/11

Suomen Cup

83.3Avg total

42.1Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86
Last 30 (30)	43.8	40.7	84.5	+3.2	70%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	40.1	84.9	+4.8	75%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.3	64%	50%
Last 10 (10)	42.1	41.2	83.3	+0.9	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.2	84.8	+2.4	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	46.5	43.5	90.0	+3.0	50%	50%
vs Similar (3)	42.0	44.0	86.0	-2.0	33%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.7	39.8	83.5	+3.8	75%	38%

This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Salon Vilpas win

KOUV win

no forecast

@ 2.96

SVI win

no forecast

@ 1.44

1st half Spread Kouvot Kouvola +4 · main lineActual: Salon Vilpas -4

KOUV +4

no forecast

@ 1.89

SVI -4

no forecast

@ 1.94

1st half Over/Under 86 · main lineActual: Over 86

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Kouvot Kouvola 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Kouvot Kouvola under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Salon Vilpas 1st half total 45 · main lineActual: Salon Vilpas over 45

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half: KOUV + total 87.5

KOUV & over

no forecast

@ 5.25

KOUV & under

no forecast

@ 5.25

1st half: Draw + total 87.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: SVI + total 87.5

SVI & over

no forecast

@ 2.85

SVI & under

no forecast

@ 2.80

1st half Over/Under 84.75Actual: Over 84.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.16

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Kouvot Kouvola +3Actual: Salon Vilpas -3

KOUV +3

no forecast

@ 2.06

SVI -3

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Kouvot Kouvola +5Actual: Salon Vilpas -5

KOUV +5

no forecast

@ 1.77

SVI -5

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.69

Under

no forecast

@ 2.17

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Kouvot Kouvola +1.5Actual: Salon Vilpas -1.5

KOUV +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.04

SVI -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.56

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Kouvot Kouvola (regulation)

KOUV

no forecast

@ 2.92

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

SVI

no forecast

@ 1.49

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.7	43.6	-1.7	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	43%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	23.2	44.1	-2.4	31%	56%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.8	43.4	-6.2	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.3	22.2	42.5	-1.9	38%	50%
vs Similar (8)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	50%	50%
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	24.0	44.8	-3.2	17%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.4	57%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.4	62%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	50%	43%
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	50%	0%
vs Similar (3)	18.7	23.3	42.0	-4.7	0%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+2.0	67%	38%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	36%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	22.4	44.6	-0.3	44%	50%
Last 10 (10)	21.9	23.6	45.5	-1.7	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	25.6	46.8	-4.4	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.1	23.1	44.2	-1.9	25%	56%
vs Similar (8)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	50%	25%
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	19.8	41.7	+2.0	67%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.6	60%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	17.2	40.4	+6.1	69%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	50%	14%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	0%	50%
vs Similar (3)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	0%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.9	16.7	38.6	+5.2	71%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.25
Last 30 (30)	42.0	44.4	86.4	-2.4	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	42.9	83.7	-2.1	43%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	43.0	45.7	88.7	-2.7	31%	50%
Last 10 (10)	41.8	45.6	87.4	-3.8	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.8	50.4	90.2	-10.6	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	41.4	45.2	86.7	-3.8	31%	50%
vs Similar (8)	42.5	43.1	85.6	-0.6	38%	38%
vs Weaker (6)	42.7	43.8	86.5	-1.2	50%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.25
Last 30 (30)	42.5	37.6	80.1	+4.9	57%	27%
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	36.5	81.5	+8.5	62%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	38.8	78.4	+0.9	50%	21%
Last 10 (10)	41.7	36.5	78.2	+5.2	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	35.4	77.8	+7.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	50%	50%
vs Similar (3)	37.7	47.3	85.0	-9.7	0%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.2	36.0	79.3	+7.2	67%	21%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

KOUV win + total 175.5

🔒 Pro

SVI win + total 175.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: KOUV leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SVI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (KOUV:SVI): KOUV wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Kouvot Kouvola under 88.5	75.3%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Lost
Kouvot Kouvola under 92.5	85.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Lost
Kouvot Kouvola under 90.5	80.8%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Lost
Kouvot Kouvola under 89.5	78.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
Kouvot Kouvola under 94.5	89.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
Under 182.5	75.0%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
Under 180.5	71.0%	1.47	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Lost
Under 181.5	73.0%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas (regulation)	75.0%	1.33	1xBet 1.35	Marathon Bet 1.35	Betano 1.30	-	-	+8.0pp	Lost
Kouvot Kouvola under 87.5	72.2%	1.42	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.41	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Under 184.5	78.6%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas under 98.5	80.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Under 189.5	86.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola under 91.5	83.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas under 96.5	73.9%	1.35	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola under 93.5	87.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas under 97.5	77.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.33	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola under 100.5	96.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola under 96.5	92.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Kouvot Kouvola under 98.5	94.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Under 183.5	76.8%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Lost
Kouvot Kouvola under 102.5	97.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Salon Vilpas under 95.5	70.6%	1.41	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.44	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Under 199.5	95.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola under 101.5	96.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Under 194.5	91.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Under 188.5	84.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola under 99.5	95.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Salon Vilpas +11.5	95.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola under 97.5	93.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas over 70.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola under 95.5	90.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas +16.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 69.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 71.5	96.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Under 198.5	94.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 72.5	95.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Salon Vilpas -1.5	75.1%	1.32	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas over 73.5	94.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Salon Vilpas -2.5	71.4%	1.36	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
Kouvot Kouvola +18.5	81.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Under 193.5	90.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola +23.5	90.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 74.5	93.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 75.5	92.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.0%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Salon Vilpas +6.5	89.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas over 76.5	91.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Salon Vilpas win	77.4%	1.28	1xBet 1.34	Marathon Bet 1.33	Bet365 1.30	WilliamHill 1.29	Pinnacle 1.28	+3.8pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas over 79.5	85.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 77.5	89.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 78.5	87.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 80.5	82.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Salon Vilpas +1.5	79.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Lost
Salon Vilpas over 81.5	80.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 82.5	77.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 83.5	74.2%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Over 148.5	92.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola +15.5	73.4%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola +14.5	70.5%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Over 149.5	91.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Salon Vilpas over 84.5	71.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Over 153.5	86.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola over 73.5	78.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Over 154.5	84.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Over 158.5	78.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola over 75.5	71.8%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Kouvot Kouvola over 74.5	75.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Won
Over 159.5	76.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Kouvot Kouvolatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kouvot Kouvola: 88.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.5	53.8%	54.2%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	11.1	36.2%	32.9%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.3	76.1%	75.8%	14.3

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 86.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	23.9	53.5%	54.2%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	7.5	34.1%	32.9%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	20.5	15.7	76.6%	75.8%	15.7

They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.4	22.3	53.9%	54.2%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	10.8	39.9%	32.9%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.1	72.8%	75.8%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.0	51.4%	54.2%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	8.8	31.1%	32.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.9	71.6%	75.8%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	19.8	51.5%	54.2%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	11.0	33.7%	32.9%	32.9
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.1	72.7%	75.8%	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	20.5	52.5%	54.2%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.3	33.7%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.5	73.4%	75.8%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	15525.5	20.8	0.1%	54.2%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	10.6	35.3%	32.9%	31.9
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.2	73.3%	75.8%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	18.7	49.2%	54.2%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	8.3	30.7%	32.9%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.9%	75.8%	15.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Kouvot Kouvola

LLLWLLWLLL

Salon Vilpas

WLWWLWLWLW

#11

League position

-1.6

Net rating

+5.3

96.7

Offensive rating

96.8

98.3

Defensive rating

91.5

54.0%

Effective FG%

52.7%

56.2%

Opp. effective FG%

49.4%

15.9%

Turnover %

14.8%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.31

36.2%

3-point %

34.1%

56.3%

Assist %

57.0%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Kouvot Kouvola ■ Salon Vilpas

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kouvot Kouvola wins

Salon Vilpas wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/26	Salon Vilpas v Kouvot Kouvola	105-82
31/10/25	Kouvot Kouvola v Salon Vilpas	110-88
30/12/24	Salon Vilpas v Kouvot Kouvola	79-85
22/10/24	Kouvot Kouvola v Salon Vilpas	79-66
06/01/24	Salon Vilpas v Kouvot Kouvola	112-110 OT
03/11/23	Kouvot Kouvola v Salon Vilpas	95-82
07/04/23	Salon Vilpas v Kouvot Kouvola	93-76
01/04/23	Kouvot Kouvola v Salon Vilpas	93-95
25/03/23	Salon Vilpas v Kouvot Kouvola	84-80
10/03/23	Salon Vilpas v Kouvot Kouvola	109-86

Kouvot Kouvolalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	Kataja	76-80
06/11/26	A	Helsinki Seagulls	80-98
03/11/26	A	Pyrinto Tampere	86-90
30/10/26	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	105-100
23/10/26	A	KTP Kotka Basket	75-99
21/10/26	H	KTP Kotka Basket	89-95
16/10/26	H	Kataja	95-76
14/10/26	A	Lahti Basketball	83-91
06/10/26	H	Kipina	80-89
03/10/26	A	Honka	91-99

Salon Vilpaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	108-89
07/11/26	A	Kipina	86-87
03/11/26	H	Antwerp Giants	77-69
30/10/26	A	Lahti Basketball	80-52
27/10/26	A	Helsinki Seagulls	79-86
24/10/26	H	Helsinki Seagulls	79-64
20/10/26	A	Szombathely	72-85
17/10/26	A	Bisons Loimaa	81-70
14/10/26	H	KTP Kotka Basket	81-102
10/10/26	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	95-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kouvot Kouvola

Korisliiga 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	20%
Home	LLWLW	40%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	20%	40%	0%
Points / game	85.8	88.6	83.0
Allowed / game	91.4	87.4	95.4
Point differential	-5.6	+1.2	-12.4
Avg total	177.2	176.0	178.4
Over 176.75	40%	40%	40%
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Salon Vilpas

Korisliiga 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	56%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	WWLWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	56%	50%	60%
Points / game	86.9	89.8	84.6
Allowed / game	80.0	86.5	74.8
Point differential	+6.9	+3.2	+9.8
Avg total	166.9	176.2	159.4
Over 176.75	22%	50%	0%
Win by 10+	56%	50%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kipina	11	9	2	82%	95.6	89.5	+6.2
2	KTP Kotka Basket	10	8	2	80%	95.9	85.2	+10.7
3	Honka	11	7	4	64%	98.7	100.4	-1.6
4	Pyrinto Tampere	10	6	4	60%	87.3	86.7	+0.6
5	Salon Vilpas	9	5	4	56%	86.9	80.0	+6.9
6	Helsinki Seagulls	11	6	5	55%	83.4	83.1	+0.3
7	Kataja	9	4	5	44%	86.3	85.6	+0.8
8	Karhu Basket	10	4	6	40%	86.6	84.7	+1.9
9	Lahti Basketball	10	4	6	40%	81.8	87.9	-6.1
10	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	10	3	7	30%	86.7	91.5	-4.8
11	Bisons Loimaa	11	3	8	27%	78.8	86.9	-8.1
12	Kouvot Kouvola	10	2	8	20%	85.8	91.4	-5.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kouvot Kouvola	22	16	30	30	98
Salon Vilpas	23	30	17	20	90

← all games of the day

Kouvot Kouvola vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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