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Kataja vs Kouvot Kouvola Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 80-76
21-21 21-22 21-19 17-14
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.0
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game78.5
FinlandSuomen CupSuomen Cup - Quarter-finals· Motonet Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kataja v Kouvot Kouvola
13 Mar 2027
KAT v KOUV
upcoming
11 Nov 2026
KAT80
KOUV76
10 Mar 2026
KAT112
KOUV88
08 Oct 2025
KAT107
KOUV109
21 Dec 2024
KAT92
KOUV87
11 Nov 2023
KAT105
KOUV85
11 Feb 2023
KAT86
KOUV78
21 Jan 2023
KAT91
KOUV100
10 Apr 2022
KAT81
KOUV77
05 Apr 2022
KAT86
KOUV81
06 Oct 2021
KAT85
KOUV89
07 Nov 2020
KAT94
KOUV83
25 Mar 2020
KAT v KOUV
upcoming
15 Dec 2019
KAT95
KOUV86
27 Mar 2019
KAT79
KOUV78
10 Feb 2019
KAT91
KOUV80
21 Mar 2018
KAT86
KOUV84
14 Mar 2018
KAT79
KOUV81
01 Mar 2017
KAT96
KOUV91
12 Oct 2016
KAT89
KOUV69
06 Dec 2015
KAT102
KOUV77
05 Oct 2015
KAT85
KOUV93
26 Nov 2014
KAT77
KOUV91
15 Oct 2014
KAT87
KOUV78
25 Jan 2014
KAT98
KOUV82
29 Nov 2013
KAT93
KOUV64
01 Apr 2013
KAT99
KOUV71
08 Dec 2012
KAT72
KOUV60
28 Jan 2012
KAT96
KOUV73
13 Nov 2011
KAT77
KOUV55
05 Apr 2011
KAT76
KOUV63
30 Mar 2011
KAT68
KOUV66
15 Jan 2011
KAT75
KOUV72
12 Oct 2010
KAT82
KOUV75
13 Apr 2010
KAT74
KOUV80
09 Apr 2010
KAT94
KOUV92
03 Mar 2010
KAT80
KOUV91
24 Nov 2009
KAT75
KOUV96
08 Apr 2009
KAT85
KOUV89
05 Nov 2008
KAT79
KOUV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kouvot Kouvola winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A19/09
Suomen Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 77
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 77
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 77
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 77
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 77
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 77
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 77
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 77
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
19-28
17-10
18-15
25-26
31-24
23-16
23-17
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
169.7Avg total
85.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.083.0164.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season away (1)77.073.0150.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.484.3169.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)81.083.4164.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.680.3152.9-7.743%
vs Similar (9)82.979.1162.0+3.856%
vs Weaker (14)85.579.4164.9+6.164%
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kouvot KouvolaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKouvola
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#8
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 75
H30/09
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
91-99
91
99
-8
82avg 75
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
63avg 75
H06/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 75
A14/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 75
H16/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
89-95
89
95
-6
72avg 75
H21/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
75-99
75
99
-24
65avg 75
A23/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
105-100
105
100
+5
100avg 75
H30/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A03/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
80-98
80
98
-18
no box
A06/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
23-19
13-28
13-18
18-26
18-34
30-21
25-18
17-25
29-26
14-11
20-27
11-16
30-30
21-18
21-27
23-15
27-23
19-24
26-14
23-20
23-31
22-22
21-22
12-21
23-22
20-27
20-29
31-26
25-15
26-32
23-27
22-26
28-18
13-23
23-23
24-21
15-24
15-21
26-32
177.2Avg total
85.8Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.578.5169.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)85.073.0158.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)96.084.0180.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.891.4177.2-5.620%
Last 5 (5)87.096.4183.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.090.9173.9-7.925%
vs Similar (9)89.690.1179.7-0.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.487.2178.6+4.260%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
KatajaKouvot Kouvola
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A19/09
Suomen Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
89.1Avg total
43.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.584.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.641.387.9+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.641.781.3-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.289.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.684.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.141.379.4-3.129%-
vs Similar (9)46.239.485.7+6.889%-
vs Weaker (14)43.642.986.4+0.743%-
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kouvot KouvolaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/09
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H06/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H21/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A23/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H30/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A03/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A06/11
Korisliiga
89.7Avg total
44.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.845.289.0-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.641.786.3+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)43.148.691.7-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.089.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.890.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.645.687.2-4.131%-
vs Similar (9)46.246.092.2+0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.842.289.0+4.680%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
-31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
-14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kouvot Kouvolatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kouvot Kouvola: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.5
53.8%
-41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.1
36.2%
-33.3
🏀 Free throws18.814.3
76.1%
-14.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WWLLLLLWWW
Kouvot Kouvola
LLWLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#3
-2.1
Net rating
-1.6
95.2
Offensive rating
96.7
97.3
Defensive rating
98.3
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.4%
3-point %
36.2%
55.0%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Kataja   ■ Kouvot Kouvola
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kataja wins
4
Kouvot Kouvola wins
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71
29/09/26HHelsinki Seagulls102-83
19/09/26ALahti Basketball77-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AHelsinki Seagulls80-98
03/11/26APyrinto Tampere86-90
30/10/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki105-100
23/10/26AKTP Kotka Basket75-99
21/10/26HKTP Kotka Basket89-95
16/10/26HKataja95-76
14/10/26ALahti Basketball83-91
06/10/26HKipina80-89
03/10/26AHonka91-99
30/09/26HKarhu Basket74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Suomen Cup 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game81.085.077.0
Allowed / game83.093.073.0
Point differential-2.0-8.0+4.0
Avg total164.0178.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kouvot Kouvola
Suomen Cup 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.585.096.0
Allowed / game78.573.084.0
Point differential+12.0+12.0+12.0
Avg total169.0158.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas220100%95.573.5+22.0
2 Kouvot Kouvola220100%90.578.5+12.0
3 KTP Kotka Basket220100%90.583.0+7.5
4 Karhu Basket32167%85.382.3+3.0
5 Helsinki Seagulls32167%82.080.3+1.7
6 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki21150%83.077.5+5.5
7 Kataja21150%81.083.0-2.0
8 Bisons Loimaa21150%74.084.5-10.5
9 Lahti Basketball2020%76.581.0-4.5
10 Kipina2020%81.089.0-8.0
11 Pyrinto Tampere2020%70.582.0-11.5
12 Honka2020%77.094.5-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja2121211780
Kouvot Kouvola2122191476
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