PythiaBasketballBETA
NKLRound 14· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Kretinga will host Silute on 14 November 2026 in the NKL, with Silute the favourite as the model predicts a 61% chance of victory and a projected 85-88 scoreline, while Kretinga faces a 39% win probability and a projected 85-88 outcome that puts the game on a tight 172-point total line with a 51% over probability; the home team line is 4.0 and the model gives a 51% chance the home side covers, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. Kretinga is 2-11 overall, scoring 81.5 points per game and allowing 90.7, and has gone 0-6 at home with 84.0 points per game and 94.2 allowed, winning only one of its last five games and losing recent matches to Vytis VDU 98-107, Rytas 2 79-91, and BC Olimpas Palanga 86-100. Silute is 8-4 overall, 84.3 points per game and 82.2 allowed, and 3-3 on the road with 82.2 points per game and 86.0 allowed, winning three of its last five games and recently losing to Kauno Atletas 92-102, beating Mazeikiai 98-79, and losing to Telsiai 63-103. In the last ten meetings Silute has won four times to Kretinga's six, with the most recent encounter on 28 February 2026 ending 93-76 in Kretinga's favour.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 81.5 | 90.7 | 172.2 | -9.2 | 15% |
| Season at home (6) | 84.0 | 94.2 | 178.2 | -10.2 | 0% |
| Season away (7) | 79.4 | 87.7 | 167.1 | -8.3 | 29% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.4 | 90.6 | 174.0 | -7.2 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.4 | 91.2 | 174.6 | -7.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 79.9 | 91.9 | 171.8 | -12.0 | 18% |
| vs Similar (10) | 83.9 | 81.7 | 165.6 | +2.2 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 97.3 | 90.7 | 188.0 | +6.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 84.3 | 82.2 | 166.5 | +2.2 | 67% |
| Season at home (6) | 86.5 | 78.3 | 164.8 | +8.2 | 83% |
| Season away (6) | 82.2 | 86.0 | 168.2 | -3.8 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.0 | 82.9 | 166.9 | +1.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.8 | 87.8 | 172.6 | -3.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 85.4 | 90.4 | 175.8 | -5.0 | 30% |
| vs Similar (12) | 86.8 | 88.4 | 175.2 | -1.6 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 88.5 | 81.6 | 170.1 | +6.9 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.9 | 42.9 | 82.8 | -3.0 | 33% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.3 | 42.6 | 83.9 | -1.3 | 50% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.7 | 43.2 | 81.9 | -4.5 | 19% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.6 | 46.1 | 86.7 | -5.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 46.4 | 86.0 | -6.8 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 37.9 | 45.3 | 83.2 | -7.4 | 12% | 35% |
| vs Similar (10) | 40.1 | 39.0 | 79.1 | +1.1 | 50% | 30% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 50.7 | 42.3 | 93.0 | +8.3 | 100% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.3 | 43.4 | 85.7 | -1.1 | 37% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.2 | 41.9 | 86.1 | +2.4 | 57% | 64% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.6 | 44.8 | 85.4 | -4.1 | 19% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.2 | 41.0 | 83.2 | +1.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 42.2 | 85.2 | +0.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 43.7 | 45.6 | 89.3 | -1.9 | 40% | 80% |
| vs Similar (12) | 40.6 | 44.2 | 84.8 | -3.7 | 17% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 43.1 | 39.4 | 82.5 | +3.8 | 62% | 38% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.6 | 19.3 | 54.5% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 8.5 | 31.3% | 25.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.0 | 14.8 | 67.1% | 14.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.3 | 23.2 | 54.5% | 46.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.6 | 7.5 | 31.3% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.0 | 15.9 | 67.1% | 15.9 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 | Kretinga v Silute | 93-76 |
| 20/12/25 | Kretinga v Silute | 81-93 |
| 18/10/25 | Silute v Kretinga | 88-96 |
| 08/02/25 | Silute v Kretinga | 67-79 |
| 18/01/25 | Kretinga v Silute | 102-97 OT |
| 02/11/24 | Silute v Kretinga | 77-76 |
| 02/03/24 | Silute v Kretinga | 67-89 |
| 25/01/24 | Kretinga v Silute | 84-83 |
| 07/12/23 | Kretinga v Silute | 84-87 |
| 21/10/23 | Silute v Kretinga | 85-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Vytis VDU | 98-107 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Rytas 2 | 79-91 |
| 05/11/26 | H | BC Olimpas Palanga | 86-100 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Omega-Tauras | 75-72 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Jurbarkas | 79-86 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 85-101 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Alytaus Patriotai | 70-90 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Kauno Atletas | 84-72 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Suduva-Mantinga | 83-88 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Ukmerges Stekas | 95-99 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Kauno Atletas | 92-102 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Mazeikiai | 98-79 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Telsiai | 63-103 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Suduva-Mantinga | 92-83 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Jurbarkas | 79-72 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Vytis VDU | 97-86 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Alytaus Patriotai | 92-77 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Vilkaviskis | 97-81 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Neptunas 2 | 70-73 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Kedainiai BC | 60-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 15% |
| Home | LLLLL | 0% |
| Away | WLWLL | 29% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 6 | 7 |
| Win % | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Points / game | 81.5 | 84.0 | 79.4 |
| Allowed / game | 90.7 | 94.2 | 87.7 |
| Point differential | -9.2 | -10.2 | -8.3 |
| Avg total | 172.2 | 178.2 | 167.1 |
| Over 171.75 | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Win by 10+ | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 67% |
| Home | LWWWW | 83% |
| Away | LWWLL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Win % | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Points / game | 84.3 | 86.5 | 82.2 |
| Allowed / game | 82.2 | 78.3 | 86.0 |
| Point differential | +2.2 | +8.2 | -3.8 |
| Avg total | 166.5 | 164.8 | 168.2 |
| Over 171.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 90.5 | 73.6 | +16.9 |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 90.4 | 78.0 | +12.4 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 96.3 | 84.6 | +11.6 |
| 4 |  Suduva-Mantinga | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 91.4 | 77.7 | +13.8 |
| 5 |  Vytis VDU | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 97.4 | 90.4 | +7.0 |
| 6 |  Neptunas 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 69% | 78.1 | 74.7 | +3.4 |
| 7 | Silute | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.3 | 82.2 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Alytaus Patriotai | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 83.8 | 84.9 | -1.1 |
| 9 | Omega-Tauras | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 90.5 | 86.2 | +4.2 |
| 10 | Plunges Olimpas | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 83.1 | 81.1 | +2.1 |
| 11 |  Vilkaviskis | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 83.1 | 86.1 | -3.0 |
| 12 |  Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 94.2 | 96.8 | -2.7 |
| 13 | Ukmerges Stekas | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 78.9 | 88.1 | -9.2 |
| 14 | Kedainiai BC | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 76.8 | 85.0 | -8.2 |
| 15 |  Mazeikiai | 14 | 3 | 11 | 21% | 78.9 | 88.9 | -10.0 |
| 16 | Kretinga | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 81.5 | 90.7 | -9.2 |
| 17 |  Kauno Atletas | 14 | 2 | 12 | 14% | 79.1 | 94.4 | -15.3 |
| 18 |  Rytas 2 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 77.0 | 86.4 | -9.4 |
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