Tochigi Brex vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 84-71

20-13 22-16 14-21 28-21

Position#3

Record24-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game73.9

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Kumamoto

Position#11

Record4-25

FormLLLWL

Points / game68.7

Allowed / game83.4

NBLRound 19

Other2014-15

Meetings · Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

76-99

-23

H27/12

NBL

Alvark

83-75

H28/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

90-99

-9

H21/01

NBL

Chiba

76-70

A24/01

NBL

Chiba

53-56

-3

A25/01

NBL

Hiroshima D.

74-61

+13

H31/01

NBL

Hiroshima D.

84-74

+10

H01/02

NBL

Trians

#13

105-62

105

+43

A07/02

NBL

Trians

#13

90-70

+20

A08/02

NBL

Hokkaido

90-80

+10

A11/02

NBL

17-16

12-29

19-30

28-24

24-14

5-18

30-21

24-22

27-31

19-20

27-17

17-31

22-15

13-15

17-16

24-24

14-15

8-15

23-14

8-12

18-17

24-9

15-16

17-19

18-21

17-14

22-16

27-23

20-21

20-19

32-9

33-13

14-19

20-10

30-16

26-25

20-18

22-16

31-24

17-22

156.7Avg total

82.1Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	83.3	73.9	157.2	+9.4	73%
Season at home (16)	82.1	76.9	159.0	+5.2	62%
Season away (17)	84.4	71.2	155.6	+13.2	82%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	74.6	156.7	+7.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	69.4	158.0	+19.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	80.2	80.0	160.2	+0.2	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	86.4	67.6	154.0	+18.7	94%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

73-65

A27/12

NBL

Chiba

48-68

-20

A28/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

71-81

-10

H21/01

NBL

Hiroshima D.

62-74

-12

H24/01

NBL

Hiroshima D.

67-77

-10

H25/01

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

82-93

-11

A31/01

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

75-109

109

-34

A01/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

90-94

-4

H07/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

76-64

+12

H08/02

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

73-75

-2

A11/02

NBL

19-21

13-19

24-16

17-9

16-19

8-17

12-12

12-20

11-20

20-21

18-17

22-23

14-16

10-6

21-29

17-23

19-24

8-16

17-16

23-21

26-23

13-23

20-19

23-28

15-23

19-25

16-26

25-35

26-25

23-24

24-23

17-22

26-14

18-16

15-16

17-18

16-25

13-16

21-22

23-12

151.7Avg total

71.7Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	68.7	83.4	152.2	-14.7	14%
Season at home (15)	71.7	84.9	156.6	-13.3	13%
Season away (14)	65.6	81.9	147.4	-16.3	14%
Last 10 (10)	71.7	80.0	151.7	-8.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	87.0	166.2	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	66.8	85.5	152.3	-18.7	9%
vs Similar (3)	79.0	85.3	164.3	-6.3	33%
vs Weaker (4)	72.8	74.0	146.8	-1.2	25%

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tochigi BrexKumamoto

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.5	39.8	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.9	17.0	38.9	+4.9	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	21.9	37.8	-6.1	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	21.7	38.3	-5.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.2	22.1	37.3	-6.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	15.1	22.6	37.7	-7.5	13%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	18.2	34.5	-2.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	15.5	33.3	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	16.4	34.3	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	14.7	32.3	+3.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	13.6	34.2	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	16.0	17.2	33.2	-1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.2	14.3	33.5	+4.9	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	19.8	35.9	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	20.5	36.7	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	18.3	32.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.0	19.6	35.6	-3.6	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.3	23.3	40.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.8	18.8	34.5	-3.0	25%	-

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

29-45

-16

H27/12

NBL

Alvark

29-32

-3

H28/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

46-51

-5

H21/01

NBL

Chiba

35-30

A24/01

NBL

Chiba

22-30

-8

A25/01

NBL

Hiroshima D.

42-26

+16

H31/01

NBL

Hiroshima D.

35-35

H01/02

NBL

Trians

#13

40-40

A07/02

NBL

Trians

#13

34-29

A08/02

NBL

Hokkaido

42-34

A11/02

NBL

70.6Avg total

35.4Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	34.0	73.2	+5.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	35.1	74.4	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	32.9	71.9	+6.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	35.2	70.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	32.8	71.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	36.7	37.5	74.2	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.1	31.3	72.4	+9.8	82%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

32-40

-8

A27/12

NBL

Chiba

24-36

-12

A28/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

31-41

-10

H21/01

NBL

Hiroshima D.

24-22

H24/01

NBL

Hiroshima D.

27-40

-13

H25/01

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

39-46

-7

A31/01

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

34-48

-14

A01/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

49-49

H07/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

44-30

+14

H08/02

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

29-41

-12

A11/02

NBL

72.6Avg total

33.3Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.0	41.8	73.7	-9.8	10%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.5	40.9	73.5	-8.4	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	31.4	42.6	74.0	-11.2	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.3	39.3	72.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	42.8	81.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	31.1	42.2	73.3	-11.1	9%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.7	45.0	83.7	-6.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	32.0	37.0	69.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	18.8	41.3	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	17.7	41.1	+5.6	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	17.9	42.5	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	16.2	42.2	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	21.5	20.2	41.6	+1.3	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.4	17.8	41.1	+5.6	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	21.7	40.2	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	19.9	36.5	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.6	21.7	38.3	-5.1	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	19.3	38.7	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	16.5	38.2	+5.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.5	43.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	22.1	22.3	44.4	-0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.4	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.4	40.6	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	22.3	42.9	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.5	38.3	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	39.0	83.5	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	40.9	85.2	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	37.1	81.9	+7.6	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	39.4	86.1	+7.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	36.6	86.6	+13.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	43.5	42.5	86.0	+1.1	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.3	36.4	81.6	+8.9	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	42.2	79.0	-5.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	44.0	83.1	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	40.3	74.9	-5.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	40.7	79.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	44.2	84.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	35.7	43.3	79.0	-7.6	26%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.3	40.3	80.7	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tochigi Brex wins

Kumamoto wins

Date	Game	Score
23/02/14	Kumamoto v Tochigi Brex	71-91
22/02/14	Kumamoto v Tochigi Brex	60-79
15/12/13	Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto	91-71
14/12/13	Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto	87-77

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/15	A	Hokkaido	90-80
08/02/15	A	Trians	90-70
07/02/15	A	Trians	105-62
01/02/15	H	Hiroshima D.	84-74
31/01/15	H	Hiroshima D.	74-61
25/01/15	A	Chiba	53-56
24/01/15	A	Chiba	76-70
21/01/15	H	Sun Rockers	90-99
28/12/14	H	Alvark	83-75
27/12/14	H	Alvark	76-99

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/15	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	73-75
08/02/15	H	Tsukuba	76-64
07/02/15	H	Tsukuba	90-94
01/02/15	A	Diamond Dolphins	75-109
31/01/15	A	Diamond Dolphins	82-93
25/01/15	H	Hiroshima D.	67-77
24/01/15	H	Hiroshima D.	62-74
21/01/15	H	Diamond Dolphins	71-81
28/12/14	A	Chiba	48-68
27/12/14	A	Chiba	73-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	73%
Home	LWLWW	62%
Away	WLWWW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	73%	62%	82%
Points / game	83.3	82.1	84.4
Allowed / game	73.9	76.9	71.2
Point differential	+9.4	+5.2	+13.2
Avg total	157.2	159.0	155.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	50%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kumamoto

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	14%
Home	LLLLW	13%
Away	WLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	14%	13%	14%
Points / game	68.7	71.7	65.6
Allowed / game	83.4	84.9	81.9
Point differential	-14.7	-13.3	-16.3
Avg total	152.2	156.6	147.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	30	27	3	90%	84.7	68.1	+16.5
2	Sun Rockers	31	25	6	81%	81.5	72.2	+9.3
3	Tochigi Brex	33	24	9	73%	83.3	73.9	+9.4
4	Diamond Dolphins	29	21	8	72%	83.8	75.6	+8.2
5	Brave Thunders	31	21	10	68%	81.2	73.9	+7.3
6	Chiba	32	19	13	59%	74.3	71.9	+2.4
7	Alvark	31	17	14	55%	83.0	76.5	+6.5
8	Hiroshima D.	30	15	15	50%	72.7	69.8	+2.9
9	Kobe	30	12	18	40%	73.5	76.7	-3.1
10	Hokkaido	35	11	24	31%	74.5	77.3	-2.9
11	Kumamoto	29	4	25	14%	68.7	83.4	-14.7
12	Trians	31	4	27	13%	64.5	85.0	-20.5
13	Tsukuba	34	3	31	9%	65.0	84.6	-19.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tochigi Brex	20	22	14	28	84
Kumamoto	13	16	21	21	71

← all games of the day

Tochigi Brex vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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