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Kyoto vs Shinshu Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 10:15
Projected 86-80
Projected total 165.7
Scheduled
Position#10
Record9-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game79.2
Vs
71%
29%
■ KYOT 71%■ SHIN 29%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.4/10
Above normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#20
Record6-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game86.8
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kyoto v Shinshu
18 Nov 2026
KYOT v SHIN
upcoming
12 Nov 2023
KYOT94
SHIN85
11 Nov 2023
KYOT74
SHIN62
04 Dec 2022
KYOT85
SHIN90
03 Dec 2022
KYOT72
SHIN71
06 Apr 2022
KYOT69
SHIN71
14 Apr 2021
KYOT74
SHIN71
06 Dec 2020
KYOT51
SHIN63
05 Dec 2020
KYOT69
SHIN66
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Kyoto faces Shinshu in the B League on 18 November 2026, a clash that pits a team on a starkly different run: Kyoto has gone 0-5 in its last five outings, while Shinshu has won three of its last five. Kyoto's season record stands at 8-7, with 83.4 points scored and 79.5 points allowed per game, and it sits 11th in the league; at home it is 6-3, averaging 86.0 points and conceding 78.2. Shinshu, meanwhile, is 6-11 overall, averaging 83.9 points scored and 86.8 allowed, and sits 20th; on the road it is 2-6, with 84.5 points scored and 89.2 allowed. Their head-to-head history shows Shinshu 7-3, the last meeting ending 67-65 in favour of Shinshu on 1 November 2026. Pythia gives Kyoto a 71% chance to win versus Shinshu's 29%, projecting a 86-80 scoreline and 165.7 total points, with a 5% chance of overtime. Kyoto is the model favourite. The projected score reflects Kyoto's stronger defensive numbers at home, while Shinshu's recent road wins suggest they could challenge the margin. The game will hinge on whether Kyoto can maintain its defensive edge after a string of losses.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto win
70.9%fair 1.41
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu win
29.1%fair 3.44
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 73
H11/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
115-70
115
70
+45
127avg 73
H18/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
102-79
102
79
+23
106avg 73
A21/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 73
H26/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 73
A30/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
65-67
65
67
-2
58avg 73
A01/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A07/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H09/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
70-94
70
94
-24
no box
A11/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
98-75
98
75
+23
no box
H13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
22-21
19-18
26-25
29-18
33-21
24-16
29-15
26-21
28-19
28-24
20-15
14-18
22-17
23-19
20-17
18-19
16-16
19-18
19-27
23-12
12-13
12-16
18-26
23-20
20-18
23-23
21-31
18-15
12-26
25-18
24-26
18-26
17-15
18-29
17-24
29-23
24-16
25-16
20-20
165.0Avg total
84.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.379.2163.6+5.156%
Season at home (10)87.277.9165.1+9.370%
Season away (6)79.581.5161.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)84.880.2165.0+4.640%
Last 5 (5)79.882.6162.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)83.086.5169.5-3.527%
vs Similar (3)86.778.0164.7+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.777.2160.9+6.467%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Akita
#23
L
95-102
95
102
-7
86avg 77
A17/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
73avg 77
H19/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
90-97
90
97
-7
85avg 77
H21/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
74avg 77
A24/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
97-87
97
87
+10
92avg 77
H26/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
80-72
80
72
+8
80avg 77
H30/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
67-65
67
65
+2
55avg 77
H01/11
B League
Akita
#23
W
101-96
101
96
+5
no box
A08/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
A10/11
B League
Gunma
#6
L
74-85
74
85
-11
no box
H13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
22-23
28-27
22-25
18-13
18-32
24-25
17-22
29-20
28-27
18-28
15-22
12-22
28-28
21-10
19-27
24-19
25-17
24-24
24-27
19-18
16-16
18-19
27-19
12-23
13-12
16-12
26-18
24-21
32-28
23-28
22-19
26-20
24-20
11-20
25-31
16-21
20-32
21-14
17-18
172.1Avg total
84.7Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.986.8170.6-2.935%
Season at home (9)83.384.6167.9-1.244%
Season away (8)84.589.2173.8-4.825%
Last 10 (10)84.787.4172.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)81.681.8163.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.283.3159.5-7.118%
vs Similar (14)81.783.9165.6-2.243%
vs Weaker (5)93.884.4178.2+9.480%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163
Over 163
56.0%
Under 163
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168
Over 168
43.6%
Under 168
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173
Over 173
32.0%
Under 173
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kyoto total 80.5
Over 80.5
70.5%
Under 80.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyoto total 84.5
Over 84.5
55.8%
Under 84.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyoto total 88.5
Over 88.5
40.1%
Under 88.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinshu total 79.5
Over 79.5
50.3%
Under 79.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinshu total 83.5
Over 83.5
35.3%
Under 83.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinshu total 87.5
Over 87.5
22.5%
Under 87.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kyoto -3
KYOT -3
63.1%
SHIN +3
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
KYOT
No market prices yet.
SHIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Kyoto 0
KYOT 0
70.9%
SHIN 0
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
KYOT
No market prices yet.
SHIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Kyoto +3
KYOT +3
78.4%
SHIN -3
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
KYOT
No market prices yet.
SHIN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
KyotoShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H18/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H26/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A30/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A01/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H09/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A11/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/11
B League
79.7Avg total
41.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.082.0+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.840.881.6+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.241.182.4+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.979.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.444.385.7-2.933%-
vs Similar (3)41.739.381.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.337.277.5+3.258%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#23
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A17/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H19/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H21/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A24/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H26/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H30/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H01/11
B League
Akita
#23
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A08/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/11
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H13/11
B League
86.8Avg total
42.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.382.8-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.942.082.9-1.155%-
Last 30 away (19)40.342.582.8-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.986.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.282.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.842.781.5-3.936%-
vs Similar (14)39.742.382.0-2.643%-
vs Weaker (5)46.641.488.0+5.280%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.123.1
59.1%
53.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.5
29.5%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.714.7
67.7%
73.8%14.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.0
54.5%
53.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.7
31.7%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.811.4
77.0%
73.8%11.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
WLLLLLWWWL
Shinshu
LLWWWWLLLL
#10
League position
#20
+10.5
Net rating
-5.3
97.2
Offensive rating
92.0
86.7
Defensive rating
97.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
51.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
29.5%
3-point %
31.7%
78.8%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 92.0Defence86.7 · 97.3Shooting53.3% · 51.3%3-point %29.5% · 31.7%Ball care15.3% · 16.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Kyoto   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kyoto wins
7
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Shinshu v Kyoto67-65
30/10/26Shinshu v Kyoto80-72
12/11/23Kyoto v Shinshu94-85
11/11/23Kyoto v Shinshu74-62
04/12/22Kyoto v Shinshu85-90
03/12/22Kyoto v Shinshu72-71
06/04/22Kyoto v Shinshu69-71
06/02/22Shinshu v Kyoto72-51
05/02/22Shinshu v Kyoto82-58
29/12/21Shinshu v Kyoto98-69
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HIbaraki Robots98-75
11/11/26AUtsunomiya Brex70-94
09/11/26HLevanga Hokkaido79-85
07/11/26ATokyo Sunrockers87-92
01/11/26AShinshu65-67
30/10/26AShinshu72-80
26/10/26HAkita79-71
21/10/26AChiba102-79
18/10/26HSaga115-70
11/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa81-89
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HGunma74-85
10/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa86-91
08/11/26AAkita101-96
01/11/26HKyoto67-65
30/10/26HKyoto80-72
26/10/26HKobe97-87
24/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex80-87
21/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers90-97
19/10/26HDiamond Dolphins77-92
17/10/26AAkita95-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %56%70%33%
Points / game84.387.279.5
Allowed / game79.277.981.5
Point differential+5.1+9.3-2.0
Avg total163.6165.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
Shinshu
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL35%
HomeLWWWL44%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game83.983.384.5
Allowed / game86.884.689.2
Point differential-2.9-1.2-4.8
Avg total170.6167.9173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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