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Kyoto vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 05:35
Final 115-70
29-18 33-21 24-16 29-15
Position#10
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game79.3
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#25
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game90.9
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kyoto v Saga
18 Oct 2026
KYOT115
SAGA70
16 Apr 2025
KYOT85
SAGA74
06 Oct 2024
KYOT71
SAGA77
05 Oct 2024
KYOT70
SAGA48
21 Apr 2024
KYOT52
SAGA73
20 Apr 2024
KYOT88
SAGA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
L
83-92
83
92
-9
83avg 70
H26/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
94-105
94
105
-11
90avg 70
A02/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
84-63
84
63
+21
90avg 70
A03/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
95-94
95
94
+1
91avg 70
H25/09
B League
Shiga
#18
L
77-81
77
81
-4
73avg 70
H27/09
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
83avg 70
H03/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
90-65
90
65
+25
91avg 70
H04/10
B League
Toyama
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 70
A07/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
74-73
74
73
+1
74avg 70
H09/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 70
H11/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
20-28
23-21
18-16
19-25
31-34
29-17
15-29
19-20
22-9
26-18
17-16
26-28
18-26
22-26
29-14
18-21
18-24
25-19
16-17
10-21
16-11
25-12
23-30
21-2
20-22
31-21
18-20
23-20
18-17
26-17
14-23
18-12
22-27
14-17
20-17
14-25
22-21
19-18
26-25
165.8Avg total
84.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.179.3162.4+3.971%
Season at home (6)83.579.7163.2+3.867%
Season away (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.381.5165.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)82.076.0158.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.983.9164.8-3.137%
vs Similar (3)77.771.3149.0+6.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.477.5160.9+5.975%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Akita
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
78avg 75
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-70
87
70
+17
79avg 75
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
80avg 75
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
44avg 75
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
61-97
61
97
-36
47avg 75
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 75
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
57avg 75
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
84-77
84
77
+7
75avg 75
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 75
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 75
H16/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
23-13
24-13
19-24
24-17
25-14
16-17
22-22
26-29
16-25
29-19
16-27
22-23
12-19
20-20
7-27
22-27
14-23
15-29
10-18
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
164.8Avg total
77.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.990.9166.8-15.012%
Season at home (6)74.893.3168.2-18.50%
Season away (2)79.083.5162.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)77.986.9164.8-9.030%
Last 5 (5)79.688.2167.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.188.6166.7-10.614%
vs Similar (7)82.084.6166.6-2.643%
vs Weaker (9)87.178.4165.6+8.778%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -5.9-5.9
KyotoSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H26/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A02/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A03/05
B League
Shiga
#18
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H25/09
B League
Shiga
#18
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/09
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H03/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H04/10
B League
Toyama
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/10
B League
81.7Avg total
39.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.881.3-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.041.180.1-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.042.582.5-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.081.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.672.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.243.583.7-3.332%-
vs Similar (3)39.737.777.3+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.839.277.0-1.538%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#26
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
81.7Avg total
39.2Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.984.6+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.643.985.4-2.331%-
Last 30 away (14)43.939.783.6+4.171%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.581.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.680.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.944.183.9-4.229%-
vs Similar (7)44.340.484.7+3.971%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.885.4+5.967%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.823.2
59.8%
53.6%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.3
29.8%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.015.1
71.9%
73.8%15.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.7
50.5%
53.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.9
29.5%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.313.4
77.5%
73.8%13.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
LWWWWLWWLL
Saga
LLWLLLLLWW
#10
League position
#25
+2.4
Net rating
-10.9
96.2
Offensive rating
90.8
93.7
Defensive rating
101.7
53.9%
Effective FG%
47.7%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
18.1%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.8%
3-point %
29.5%
72.5%
Assist %
56.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 90.8Defence93.7 · 101.7Shooting53.9% · 47.7%3-point %29.8% · 29.5%Ball care18.1% · 11.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Kyoto   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kyoto wins
5
Saga wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Saga v Kyoto83-87
11/04/26Saga v Kyoto90-89
16/04/25Kyoto v Saga85-74
29/01/25Saga v Kyoto78-81
06/10/24Kyoto v Saga71-77
05/10/24Kyoto v Saga70-48
21/04/24Kyoto v Saga52-73
20/04/24Kyoto v Saga88-87
31/03/24Saga v Kyoto81-66
30/03/24Saga v Kyoto64-56
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa81-89
09/10/26HYokohama74-73
07/10/26AToyama81-77
04/10/26HNagasaki90-65
03/10/26HNagasaki84-76 OT
27/09/26HShiga77-81
25/09/26HShiga95-94
03/05/26ANagasaki84-63
02/05/26ANagasaki94-105
26/04/26HOsaka83-92
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93
03/10/26HNeoPhoenix61-97
27/09/26HHiroshima D.61-89
25/09/26HHiroshima D.87-100
03/05/26AAkita87-70
02/05/26AAkita85-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%67%100%
Points / game83.183.581.0
Allowed / game79.379.777.0
Point differential+3.9+3.8+4.0
Avg total162.4163.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %14%17%0%
Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %12%0%50%
Points / game75.974.879.0
Allowed / game90.993.383.5
Point differential-15.0-18.5-4.5
Avg total166.8168.2162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins550100%89.674.4+15.2
2 Hiroshima D.770100%94.079.3+14.7
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Alvark87188%97.485.0+12.4
5 Gunma86275%77.272.1+5.1
6 SeaHorses Mikawa75271%90.077.0+13.0
7 Kyoto75271%83.179.3+3.9
8 Tokyo Sunrockers85362%88.578.6+9.9
9 Sendai85362%86.181.4+4.8
10 Yokohama85362%81.981.0+0.9
11 Levanga Hokkaido74357%98.094.7+3.3
12 Toyama84450%82.186.8-4.6
13 Shiga73443%92.188.1+4.0
14 Utsunomiya Brex73443%81.078.9+2.1
15 Ryukyu73443%80.682.1-1.6
16 Shimane73443%81.383.9-2.6
17 Akita73443%76.383.3-7.0
18 Chiba83538%97.0100.5-3.5
19 Nagasaki83538%71.980.2-8.4
20 Kobe72529%76.984.4-7.6
21 Brave Thunders72529%79.487.6-8.1
22 Shinshu82625%84.287.9-3.6
23 Altiri Chiba82625%77.886.6-8.9
24 Osaka71614%70.985.1-14.3
25 Ibaraki Robots81712%78.884.1-5.4
26 Saga81712%75.990.9-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto29332429115
Saga1821161570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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