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La Union vs Independiente de Oliva Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:01
Projected 84-84
Projected total 168.2
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game83.2
La Union
Argentina
Vs
47%
53%
■ LA U 47%■ INDE 53%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Independiente de Oliva
Argentina
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game89.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Cincuentenario
Other2026-27
Meetings · La Union v Independiente de Oliva
16 Nov 2026
LA U v INDE
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
LA U v INDE
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
LA U86
INDE62
24 Apr 2026
LA U91
INDE102
18 Mar 2026
LA U103
INDE91
12 Jan 2025
LA U88
INDE95
28 Apr 2024
LA U94
INDE79
10 Apr 2023
LA U78
INDE70
Sections
Game preview & prediction

La Union will host Independiente de Oliva in the Liga A on 16 November 2026, a match that feels almost evenly matched as the two sides have similar fortunes this season. La Union's overall record of 2-4 shows they have struggled, averaging 78.2 points while conceding 83.2, and they sit 14th in the standings; at home they are 1-1, scoring 71.5 and allowing 65.5, with a recent 2-3 run over the last five games, including a 57-93 loss to Lanus and a 93-97 defeat to Boca Juniors. Independiente de Oliva, meanwhile, are 2-2 overall, averaging 99.5 points and 89.0 allowed, and are 7th in the table; they have also gone 2-3 in their last five, highlighted by a 122-89 win over San Lorenzo and a 108-93 victory over Lanus. Their head-to-head record shows Independiente de Oliva leading 7-3, with the last encounter ending 97-92 in their favour on 2 May 2026. Pythia assigns a 47% chance to La Union and 53% to Independiente de Oliva, naming the latter the favourite, and projects a 84-84 tie for 168.2 total points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The game will finish with Independiente de Oliva's 108-93 win over Lanus on 19 October 2026 as a key recent result.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Union win
47.4%fair 2.11
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva win
52.6%fair 1.90
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 06:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La UnionArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnion
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
91-102
91
102
-11
84avg 75
H25/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
86-62
86
62
+24
84avg 75
H27/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 75
A01/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
92-97
92
97
-5
87avg 75
A03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 75
A04/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
90-86
90
86
+4
91avg 75
A06/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
56avg 75
H16/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
75-57
75
57
+18
no box
H04/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
A09/11
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
57-93
57
93
-36
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
20-23
27-27
23-21
27-14
17-23
25-13
17-12
12-24
27-14
20-17
19-28
20-25
25-21
25-32
22-19
16-21
19-30
28-17
23-24
28-19
29-19
20-22
13-26
19-9
19-18
12-21
15-17
23-12
15-18
22-14
15-13
24-27
17-23
26-30
26-17
13-29
14-26
13-24
17-14
165.9Avg total
81.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.283.2161.3-5.033%
Season at home (2)71.565.5137.0+6.050%
Season away (4)81.592.0173.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)81.684.3165.9-2.730%
Last 5 (5)76.681.4158.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.088.2163.2-13.220%
vs Similar (23)82.382.6164.9-0.348%
vs Weaker (2)76.084.0160.0-8.00%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 77
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 77
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
57avg 77
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
66avg 77
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
64avg 77
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 77
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 77
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 77
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
no box
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
122-89
122
89
+33
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
21-19
22-15
6-14
13-14
21-27
32-11
30-24
39-27
168.2Avg total
85.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season at home (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.682.6168.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)93.887.4181.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (19)83.186.1169.1-3.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.487.4182.8+8.060%
This opponent (La Union) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152.5
Over 152.5
82.5%
Under 152.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
73.5%
Under 157.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
62.6%
Under 162.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

La Union total 76.5
Over 76.5
75.5%
Under 76.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Union total 80.5
Over 80.5
61.9%
Under 80.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Union total 84.5
Over 84.5
46.6%
Under 84.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Independiente de Oliva total 73
Over 73
87.4%
Under 73
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Independiente de Oliva total 77
Over 77
77.2%
Under 77
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Independiente de Oliva total 81
Over 81
63.4%
Under 81
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread La Union -3
LA U -3
38.3%
INDE +3
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
LA U
No market prices yet.
INDE
No market prices yet.
Spread La Union 0
LA U 0
47.4%
INDE 0
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
LA U
No market prices yet.
INDE
No market prices yet.
Spread La Union +3
LA U +3
56.5%
INDE -3
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
LA U
No market prices yet.
INDE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
La UnionIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La UnionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H25/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A01/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A06/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H16/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H04/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A09/11
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A11/11
Liga A
83.1Avg total
40.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.284.2-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.883.9+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.943.684.5-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.683.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.846.484.2-8.640%-
vs Similar (23)42.841.484.2+1.457%-
vs Weaker (2)43.541.084.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/11
Liga A
85.7Avg total
45.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.087.7+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.642.288.8+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.986.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.585.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.690.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (19)43.644.487.9-0.837%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.741.187.8+5.660%-
This opponent (La Union) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Uniontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Union: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.8
58.9%
54.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.9
77.1%
72.7%18.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Union
LLWLWLLLWL
Independiente de Oliva
WLWLLWWLLW
#14
League position
#7
-3.0
Net rating
-3.2
112.3
Offensive rating
107.5
115.3
Defensive rating
110.8
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.6%
3-point %
29.3%
54.3%
Assist %
43.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 107.5Defence115.3 · 110.8Shooting52.5% · 49.1%3-point %29.6% · 29.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ La Union   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
La Union wins
7
Independiente de Oliva wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Independiente de Oliva v La Union97-92
01/05/26Independiente de Oliva v La Union83-78
27/04/26La Union v Independiente de Oliva86-62
25/04/26La Union v Independiente de Oliva91-102
19/03/26La Union v Independiente de Oliva103-91
05/11/25Independiente de Oliva v La Union91-87
23/04/25Independiente de Oliva v La Union82-80
13/01/25La Union v Independiente de Oliva88-95
29/04/24La Union v Independiente de Oliva94-79
14/10/23Independiente de Oliva v La Union90-72
La Unionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ALanus57-93
09/11/26ABoca Juniors93-97
04/11/26HArgentino75-57
16/10/26HRacing de Chivilcoy68-74 OT
06/10/26APlatense90-86
04/10/26AGimnasia86-92
03/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva92-97
01/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva78-83
27/04/26HIndependiente de Oliva86-62
25/04/26HIndependiente de Oliva91-102
Independiente de Olivalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSan Lorenzo122-89
06/11/26HGimnasia76-77 OT
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Union
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game78.271.581.5
Allowed / game83.265.592.0
Point differential-5.0+6.0-10.5
Avg total161.3137.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%50%0%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game99.599.5-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+10.5+10.5-
Avg total188.5188.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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