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Lancut vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-59
32-13 21-15 19-15 21-16
Position#3
Record18-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#10
Record15-16
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.3
Poland1 LigaRound 32· MOSiR Lancut
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lancut v Starogard Gdanski
26 Sep 2026
LANC90
STAR76
26 Apr 2026
LANC82
STAR91
25 Apr 2026
LANC82
STAR81
12 Oct 2025
LANC61
STAR77
22 Mar 2025
LANC93
STAR59
09 Mar 2022
LANC93
STAR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
90-50
90
50
+40
89avg 79
H25/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
94-85
94
85
+9
85avg 79
A31/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
82-64
82
64
+18
78avg 79
H05/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
110-118 OT
110
118
-8
109avg 79
A11/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
64avg 79
H15/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
52-77
52
77
-25
37avg 79
A26/02
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
81avg 79
H04/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
105-77
105
77
+28
105avg 79
A08/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 79
H12/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
101-67
101
67
+34
102avg 79
A15/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
23-16
15-14
27-4
35-14
11-21
25-23
23-27
26-28
19-9
21-14
16-13
26-24
28-23
17-32
25-17
19-17
17-26
19-17
20-20
16-18
12-23
10-25
14-11
14-18
27-12
20-24
23-25
24-21
24-19
29-22
28-15
29-12
10-16
14-16
20-19
18-20
23-28
35-15
25-4
162.6Avg total
86.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.081.4166.5+3.658%
Season at home (15)82.176.3158.5+5.860%
Season away (16)87.886.2173.9+1.656%
Last 10 (10)86.676.0162.6+10.670%
Last 5 (5)83.072.6155.6+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.277.2147.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.083.3171.3+4.757%
vs Weaker (12)86.579.2165.7+7.375%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A25/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
70avg 78
H01/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 78
A05/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
81-62
81
62
+19
76avg 78
H08/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 78
A16/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
116-86
116
86
+30
116avg 78
H26/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 78
A01/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 78
H07/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 78
A12/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 78
H19/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
19-18
24-21
24-18
26-28
17-27
16-26
25-17
8-22
14-25
25-12
21-18
26-10
14-21
18-11
23-20
27-23
13-16
21-26
28-31
28-28
31-21
37-12
20-25
22-24
19-13
5-18
22-29
23-15
18-15
22-19
17-25
26-14
18-14
21-23
17-23
16-21
25-14
25-19
19-23
163.9Avg total
83.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.280.3162.5+1.948%
Season at home (17)84.679.8164.4+4.859%
Season away (14)79.481.0160.4-1.636%
Last 10 (10)83.880.1163.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)86.279.0165.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.082.4156.4-8.420%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.380.6162.9+1.850%
vs Weaker (5)92.079.8171.8+12.260%
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
LancutStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H25/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A31/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H05/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A11/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H15/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A26/02
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H04/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A08/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A15/03
1 Liga
80.7Avg total
42.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.582.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.636.578.1+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.586.2-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.180.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.476.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.837.274.0-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.342.985.2-0.643%-
vs Weaker (12)42.538.881.2+3.867%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A25/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H01/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A05/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H08/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H26/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A01/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H07/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A12/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H19/03
1 Liga
79.3Avg total
40.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.580.6+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.183.0+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.977.8-0.164%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.579.3+2.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.881.0+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.239.878.0-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.839.480.1+1.465%-
vs Weaker (5)45.040.085.0+5.080%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.7
53.5%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.1
33.0%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.916.3
71.2%
70.2%16.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.1
56.4%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
72.9%
70.2%13.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
WWWWLLLWWW
Starogard Gdanski
WWWLWLWLLW
#3
League position
#10
+14.6
Net rating
+5.3
114.5
Offensive rating
117.1
99.9
Defensive rating
111.8
51.7%
Effective FG%
55.8%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.0%
3-point %
36.6%
64.1%
Assist %
63.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 117.1Defence99.9 · 111.8Shooting51.7% · 55.8%3-point %33.0% · 36.6%Ball care14.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.8% · 31.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Lancut   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lancut wins
0
Starogard Gdanski wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Starogard Gdanski v Lancut86-88
09/03/22Lancut v Starogard Gdanski93-62
13/11/21Starogard Gdanski v Lancut98-112
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25ALKS Lodz101-67
12/03/25HSlask Wroclaw II73-63
08/03/25APoznan105-77
04/03/25HMKKS Koszalin84-79
26/02/25AKrosno52-77
15/02/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg75-80
11/02/25ATrefl Sopot II110-118 OT
05/02/25HInowroclaw82-64
31/01/25APolonia Warszawa94-85
25/01/25HHydroTruck Radom90-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HSlask Wroclaw II85-77
12/03/25AMKKS Koszalin82-74
07/03/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg80-74
01/03/25AInowroclaw68-84
26/02/25HHydroTruck Radom116-86
16/02/25AWKK Wroclaw89-96
08/02/25HPoli. Opolska81-62
05/02/25APelplin68-77
01/02/25HLKS Lodz84-98
25/01/25APoznan85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game85.082.187.8
Allowed / game81.476.386.2
Point differential+3.6+5.8+1.6
Avg total166.5158.5173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)60% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %10%7%12%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeLWWWW59%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %48%59%36%
Points / game82.284.679.4
Allowed / game80.379.881.0
Point differential+1.9+4.8-1.6
Avg total162.5164.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno3123874%85.679.6+6.0
2 Bydgoszcz3223972%84.077.6+6.3
3 Lancut31181358%85.081.4+3.6
4 WKK Wroclaw31181358%82.781.2+1.6
5 Pelplin31181358%82.581.6+0.8
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg32181456%81.275.8+5.4
7 GKS Tychy32181456%81.878.2+3.6
8 Inowroclaw31171455%79.880.7-0.9
9 LKS Lodz31161552%85.684.8+0.8
10 Starogard Gdanski31151648%82.280.3+1.9
11 Poznan31151648%83.482.4+1.0
12 Polonia Warszawa31141745%81.281.2+0.0
13 R. Rzeszow31141745%79.085.6-6.7
14 MKKS Koszalin32131941%80.984.7-3.8
15 Poli. Opolska31121939%81.084.4-3.4
16 Slask Wroclaw II31121939%76.480.7-4.4
17 HydroTruck Radom3192229%76.182.4-6.3
18 Trefl Sopot II3182326%83.589.6-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut3221192193
Starogard Gdanski1315151659
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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