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Lancut vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-92
20-21 19-26 24-14 28-31
Position#3
Record8-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
Position#7
Record8-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.4
Poland1 LigaRound 16· MOSiR Lancut
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lancut v Pelplin
06 Mar 2027
LANC v PELP
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
LANC77
PELP70
21 Dec 2024
LANC91
PELP92
22 Jan 2022
LANC86
PELP80
23 Jan 2021
LANC98
PELP91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
64-75
64
75
-11
53avg 73
H23/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 73
A26/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
88avg 73
H02/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 73
H13/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
77avg 73
A17/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
67avg 73
A19/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
84avg 73
H30/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
74-89
74
89
-15
59avg 73
A04/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
80avg 73
H11/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
90avg 73
A14/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
12-14
9-19
27-19
29-31
19-34
15-18
17-14
24-15
20-18
21-21
14-25
16-21
22-14
13-25
21-19
23-18
17-27
18-16
25-21
18-19
16-22
24-21
22-18
23-23
24-14
19-22
20-17
24-14
21-25
13-21
16-29
19-27
18-16
16-22
31-25
29-15
12-33
21-13
26-25
167.8Avg total
81.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.783.5166.2-0.953%
Season at home (7)82.479.1161.6+3.357%
Season away (8)82.987.4170.2-4.550%
Last 10 (10)81.586.3167.8-4.840%
Last 5 (5)83.686.8170.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.784.6161.3-7.914%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.083.6164.6-2.640%
vs Weaker (6)83.589.8173.3-6.350%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
76-74
76
74
+2
68avg 74
A20/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 74
A27/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
76-63
76
63
+13
67avg 74
H02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
82avg 74
A06/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 74
H13/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 74
H16/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 74
H30/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 74
A04/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
L
94-96
94
96
-2
88avg 74
H08/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
88avg 74
A15/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
20-14
18-24
21-21
26-24
12-17
18-17
22-30
29-16
14-15
25-18
8-14
22-22
22-27
10-17
30-26
25-18
8-24
14-22
21-19
17-25
21-26
32-9
19-25
19-27
25-22
25-22
28-20
25-11
14-25
24-29
26-27
23-28
19-25
19-19
33-24
24-19
19-23
40-12
15-29
169.6Avg total
84.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.182.4165.5+0.753%
Season at home (8)82.981.8164.6+1.162%
Season away (7)83.383.1166.4+0.143%
Last 10 (10)84.984.7169.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)93.489.4182.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.484.1152.6-15.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.386.5171.7-1.247%
vs Weaker (6)89.577.2166.7+12.383%
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
LancutPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H23/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A26/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H02/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A19/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A04/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A14/12
1 Liga
82.5Avg total
40.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.981.3-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.138.776.8-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)38.747.185.8-8.37%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.382.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.682.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.141.678.7-4.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.243.282.4-4.020%-
vs Weaker (6)40.245.385.5-5.233%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A27/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A06/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H13/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H16/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H30/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/12
1 Liga
82.4Avg total
40.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.382.6-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.344.180.4-7.920%-
Last 30 away (15)42.442.484.8+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.382.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.287.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.441.874.2-9.311%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.144.784.9-4.640%-
vs Weaker (6)47.741.889.5+5.867%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.2
47.4%
51.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.1
28.8%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws27.620.0
72.5%
70.2%20.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.2
54.3%
51.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.7
29.3%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.216.9
69.8%
70.2%16.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
WLLWLWLWLL
Pelplin
WLLWWLLWLW
#3
League position
#7
-6.1
Net rating
+0.6
103.2
Offensive rating
105.2
109.3
Defensive rating
104.6
45.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.8%
3-point %
29.3%
65.0%
Assist %
64.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 105.2Defence109.3 · 104.6Shooting45.6% · 50.2%3-point %28.8% · 29.3%Ball care16.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds30.8% · 31.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Lancut   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lancut wins
1
Pelplin wins
DateGameScore
22/01/22Lancut v Pelplin86-80
09/10/21Pelplin v Lancut79-91
23/01/21Lancut v Pelplin98-91
17/10/20Pelplin v Lancut94-92
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AStarogard Gdanski88-86
11/12/24HLKS Lodz84-90
04/12/24ASlask Wroclaw II74-89
30/11/24HPoznan86-76
19/11/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg86-93 OT
17/11/24AMKKS Koszalin83-82
13/11/24HKrosno72-79
02/11/24HTrefl Sopot II98-96 OT
26/10/24AInowroclaw80-97
23/10/24HPolonia Warszawa64-75
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ALKS Lodz98-83
08/12/24HPoznan94-96
04/12/24AKrosno89-92
30/11/24HTrefl Sopot II97-91
16/11/24HPolonia Warszawa89-85
13/11/24HGKS Tychy68-83
06/11/24ABydgoszcz84-92
02/11/24HR. Rzeszow76-63
27/10/24AStarogard Gdanski78-88
20/10/24AMKKS Koszalin76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game82.782.482.9
Allowed / game83.579.187.4
Point differential-0.9+3.3-4.5
Avg total166.2161.6170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game83.182.983.3
Allowed / game82.481.883.1
Point differential+0.7+1.1+0.1
Avg total165.5164.6166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno1511473%85.982.4+3.5
2 Bydgoszcz1611569%81.077.1+3.9
3 Inowroclaw1510567%83.982.2+1.7
4 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1610662%79.473.7+5.8
5 Poznan1610662%86.181.8+4.3
6 Pelplin158753%83.182.4+0.7
7 Lancut158753%82.783.5-0.9
8 GKS Tychy168850%80.779.2+1.5
9 Starogard Gdanski157847%83.081.4+1.6
10 Polonia Warszawa157847%84.282.9+1.3
11 WKK Wroclaw157847%79.978.9+1.0
12 Poli. Opolska157847%81.180.7+0.3
13 LKS Lodz157847%85.886.6-0.8
14 MKKS Koszalin167944%80.283.5-3.2
15 Slask Wroclaw II1661038%75.079.6-4.6
16 R. Rzeszow1551033%75.883.4-7.6
17 Trefl Sopot II1651131%82.986.5-3.6
18 HydroTruck Radom1651131%78.082.7-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut2019242891
Pelplin2126143192
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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