The 1 Liga clash on 7 November 2026 between Lancut and Spojnia Stargard is a tight contest with no clear favourite, the margin of victory being a razor-thin 8.0 points for the home side. Lancut, 3-4 overall, averages 86.0 points scored and 84.7 points allowed, sits 10th in the league, while at home they are 1-1 with 87.0 points for and 83.5 against. Their last five games yielded two wins and three losses, including a 73-92 defeat to Krosno, a 104-84 win over Poli. Opolska and a 80-90 loss to Poznan. Spojnia Stargard, 6-1 overall, averages 92.7 points for and 85.7 against, ranked 2nd, and on the road they are 3-1 with 87.8 points for and 86.5 against. Their recent five games show four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 105-96 win over LKS Lodz and a 92-99 loss to Pelplin. Historically, Spojnia Stargard leads the series 9-1, though Lancut last won 80-78 on 29 March 2026. Pythia assigns a 49% chance to Lancut and 51% to Spojnia Stargard, projecting a 88-88 tie and a total of 176.1 points; the model estimates a 76% probability that Lancut will cover the 8.0 spread and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Spojnia Stargard can maintain their offensive edge against Lancut's defensive resilience.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 86.0 | 84.7 | 170.7 | +1.3 | 43% |
| Season at home (2) | 87.0 | 83.5 | 170.5 | +3.5 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 85.6 | 85.2 | 170.8 | +0.4 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.6 | 85.6 | 171.2 | +0.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.8 | 84.4 | 168.2 | -0.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 81.7 | 89.7 | 171.3 | -8.0 | 33% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 88.8 | 88.9 | 177.6 | -0.1 | 64% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 87.0 | 81.9 | 168.9 | +5.1 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 92.7 | 85.7 | 178.4 | +7.0 | 86% |
| Season at home (3) | 99.3 | 84.7 | 184.0 | +14.7 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 87.8 | 86.5 | 174.2 | +1.2 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.4 | 87.4 | 178.8 | +4.0 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 95.6 | 88.0 | 183.6 | +7.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 79.2 | 95.8 | 175.0 | -16.6 | 20% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 87.2 | 81.2 | 168.5 | +6.0 | 69% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 87.3 | 77.4 | 164.8 | +9.9 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.2 | 45.4 | 89.6 | -1.1 | 37% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 43.0 | 41.8 | 84.8 | +1.2 | 38% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 45.2 | 48.1 | 93.2 | -2.9 | 35% | 76% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.3 | 44.8 | 88.1 | -1.5 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 42.4 | 86.6 | +1.8 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 42.4 | 46.6 | 89.0 | -4.1 | 22% | 67% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 44.7 | 45.6 | 90.3 | -0.9 | 43% | 57% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 45.6 | 43.4 | 89.0 | +2.1 | 43% | 57% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 41.7 | 82.6 | -0.9 | 43% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.6 | 41.6 | 83.2 | +0.0 | 53% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.1 | 41.9 | 81.9 | -1.8 | 33% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.2 | 47.3 | 91.5 | -3.1 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.0 | 47.8 | 92.8 | -2.8 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 41.6 | 48.8 | 90.4 | -7.2 | 40% | 40% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 41.2 | 40.1 | 81.3 | +1.2 | 38% | 46% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 40.1 | 40.6 | 80.7 | -0.5 | 50% | 25% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancut +10 | 80.9% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +21.8pp | Won |
| Lancut +10.5 | 81.3% | 1.45 | 1.50 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +20.8pp | Won |
| Lancut +7 | 72.5% | 1.79 | 1.79 | - | - | - | - | +20.3pp | Won |
| Lancut +6.5 | 70.2% | 1.83 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.79 | +20.1pp | Won |
| Lancut +8 | 75.5% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +19.2pp | Won |
| Lancut +7.5 | 73.3% | 1.76 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.71 | 1.68 | - | +18.9pp | Won |
| Lancut +9 | 78.3% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +18.6pp | Won |
| Lancut +8.5 | 76.2% | 1.58 | 1.60 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +18.2pp | Won |
| Lancut +9.5 | 78.9% | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.48 | - | - | - | +17.6pp | Won |
| Lancut +11.5 | 83.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Won |
| Lancut +12.5 | 85.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +15.5pp | Won |
| Spojnia Stargard under 94.5 | 73.1% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Spojnia Stargard under 95.5 | 76.1% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Spojnia Stargard under 96.5 | 78.9% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Spojnia Stargard under 97.5 | 81.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| Lancut over 81.5 | 73.0% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Lancut over 80.5 | 76.2% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Won |
| Lancut over 79.5 | 79.1% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +11.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.7 | 19.5 | 53.9% | 39.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.2 | 9.3 | 33.5% | 27.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.8 | 18.4 | 70.8% | 18.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.2 | 23.0 | 53.9% | 46.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.8 | 7.8 | 33.5% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.8 | 18.7 | 70.8% | 18.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 | Lancut v Spojnia Stargard | 80-78 |
| 06/12/25 | Spojnia Stargard v Lancut | 96-81 |
| 02/03/24 | Spojnia Stargard v Lancut | 77-56 |
| 05/11/23 | Lancut v Spojnia Stargard | 73-86 |
| 27/04/23 | Lancut v Spojnia Stargard | 79-83 |
| 30/12/22 | Spojnia Stargard v Lancut | 96-63 |
| 17/05/18 | Lancut v Spojnia Stargard | 89-94 |
| 13/05/18 | Spojnia Stargard v Lancut | 105-83 |
| 12/05/18 | Spojnia Stargard v Lancut | 76-73 |
| 20/01/18 | Lancut v Spojnia Stargard | 78-101 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Krosno | 73-92 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Poli. Opolska | 104-84 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Poznan | 80-90 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Bytom | 84-91 |
| 03/10/26 | A | GKS Tychy | 78-65 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Starogard Gdanski | 90-76 |
| 21/09/26 | A | Polonia Warszawa | 93-95 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Starogard Gdanski | 82-91 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Starogard Gdanski | 82-81 |
| 19/04/26 | A | Starogard Gdanski | 90-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | LKS Lodz | 105-96 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Pelplin | 92-99 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Krosno | 77-72 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Poli. Opolska | 105-79 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Poznan | 99-94 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Bytom | 88-79 |
| 19/09/26 | A | GKS Tychy | 83-81 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Starogard Gdanski | 78-79 |
| 16/05/26 | A | Starogard Gdanski | 102-94 |
| 08/05/26 | A | LKS Lodz | 85-101 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 43% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LWLWL | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| Win % | 43% | 50% | 40% |
| Points / game | 86.0 | 87.0 | 85.6 |
| Allowed / game | 84.7 | 83.5 | 85.2 |
| Point differential | +1.3 | +3.5 | +0.4 |
| Avg total | 170.7 | 170.5 | 170.8 |
| Over 176 | 29% | 0% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 43% | 50% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 86% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WWWL | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Points / game | 92.7 | 99.3 | 87.8 |
| Allowed / game | 85.7 | 84.7 | 86.5 |
| Point differential | +7.0 | +14.7 | +1.2 |
| Avg total | 178.4 | 184.0 | 174.2 |
| Over 176 | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (3) | - | 100% (3) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 90.9 | 73.4 | +17.4 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 92.7 | 85.7 | +7.0 | |
| 3 | LKS Lodz | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 88.0 | 78.3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 91.3 | 85.3 | +6.0 | |
| 5 | Polonia Warszawa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 90.6 | 91.3 | -0.7 |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.1 | 81.3 | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 79.7 | 78.7 | +1.0 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 90.9 | 91.7 | -0.9 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 90.5 | 89.6 | +0.9 | |
| 10 | Lancut | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.0 | 84.7 | +1.3 |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 77.4 | 80.8 | -3.4 | |
| 12 | Bytom | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 81.4 | 86.1 | -4.7 |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 84.4 | 88.1 | -3.8 | |
| 14 | R. Rzeszow | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 78.2 | 87.9 | -9.6 |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 84.4 | 91.7 | -7.3 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 81.6 | 94.1 | -12.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancut | 26 | 22 | 24 | 22 | 94 |
| 14 | 25 | 14 | 29 | 82 |
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