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Lanus vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 25 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game85.0
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lanus v Boca Juniors
25 Mar 2027
LANU v BOCA
upcoming
24 Apr 2016
LANU73
BOCA58
15 Oct 2015
LANU73
BOCA74
01 Feb 2015
LANU77
BOCA83
19 Nov 2014
LANU69
BOCA74
27 Mar 2014
LANU84
BOCA97
13 Oct 2013
LANU64
BOCA81
08 Nov 2012
LANU67
BOCA69
04 Nov 2012
LANU77
BOCA65
07 Oct 2012
LANU72
BOCA66
19 Feb 2012
LANU74
BOCA69
09 Oct 2011
LANU61
BOCA62
01 Apr 2011
LANU75
BOCA66
09 Nov 2010
LANU79
BOCA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lanus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LanusArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sionista
#20
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A17/05
Liga A
Sionista
#20
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A19/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H29/09
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
93-108
93
108
-15
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H30/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
21-19
28-14
25-32
16-12
16-22
16-17
25-16
12-26
15-26
18-21
29-19
12-14
25-15
12-14
18-15
26-18
17-27
23-26
11-13
18-26
22-34
25-25
28-23
22-18
18-20
13-21
20-16
20-25
19-8
16-27
14-20
18-22
19-21
12-8
23-12
20-23
19-13
21-10
21-26
154.0Avg total
76.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.879.0154.8-3.238%
Season at home (5)74.273.8148.0+0.460%
Season away (3)78.387.7166.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)76.277.8154.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)77.679.6157.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.487.8169.1-6.425%
vs Similar (15)80.377.7158.0+2.553%
vs Weaker (7)81.073.6154.6+7.486%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A23/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A26/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H28/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
21-20
20-23
21-23
20-27
18-25
20-20
20-19
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
174.0Avg total
86.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.285.0173.2+3.250%
Season at home (2)95.578.0173.5+17.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)86.587.5174.0-1.040%
Last 5 (5)86.687.4174.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0105.0201.0-9.00%
vs Similar (16)83.982.5166.4+1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.077.5164.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
LanusBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sionista
#20
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A17/05
Liga A
Sionista
#20
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
27-52
27
52
-25
H29/09
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/10
Liga A
76.7Avg total
36.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.478.6-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.538.078.5+2.565%-
Last 30 away (13)37.641.278.8-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.376.7-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.081.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.945.185.0-5.238%-
vs Similar (15)39.638.878.4+0.853%-
vs Weaker (7)37.934.071.9+3.957%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A26/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
89.5Avg total
45.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.484.4+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.139.284.3+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.641.984.5+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.244.389.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.491.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.049.0103.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (16)42.341.884.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.238.283.4+7.177%-
This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lanustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lanus: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.5%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.4
27.8%
32.6%25.1
🏀 Free throws24.416.9
69.2%
72.7%16.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lanus
WWLLLLWLWW
Boca Juniors
WWLLLWLWLL
#12
League position
#9
-4.5
Net rating
-1.3
104.8
Offensive rating
115.8
109.3
Defensive rating
117.2
45.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.8%
3-point %
34.5%
48.0%
Assist %
53.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 115.8Defence109.3 · 117.2Shooting45.8% · 54.3%3-point %27.8% · 34.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Lanus   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lanus wins
7
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
24/04/16Lanus v Boca Juniors73-58
16/04/16Boca Juniors v Lanus91-81
24/11/15Boca Juniors v Lanus93-89 OT
16/10/15Lanus v Boca Juniors73-74
19/02/15Boca Juniors v Lanus97-102 OT
01/02/15Lanus v Boca Juniors77-83
20/11/14Lanus v Boca Juniors69-74
21/10/14Boca Juniors v Lanus64-66
28/03/14Lanus v Boca Juniors84-97
26/01/14Boca Juniors v Lanus83-75
Lanuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HSan Martin81-72
26/10/26HRegatas72-63
24/10/26AAtenas69-80
22/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba73-75
20/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva93-108
14/10/26HPenarol77-84
09/10/26HObera TC67-58
29/09/26HGimnasia74-92
19/05/16ASionista73-67
17/05/16ASionista83-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92
26/05/26AQuimsa78-91
23/05/26AQuimsa76-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lanus
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game75.874.278.3
Allowed / game79.073.887.7
Point differential-3.2+0.4-9.3
Avg total154.8148.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game88.295.584.5
Allowed / game85.078.088.5
Point differential+3.2+17.5-4.0
Avg total173.2173.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa550100%85.674.0+11.6
2 Penarol440100%83.273.8+9.5
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia75271%78.975.1+3.7
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
12 Lanus83538%75.879.0-3.2
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Ferro62433%82.085.5-3.5
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin6060%84.895.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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