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Lanus vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 25 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.2
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lanus v Boca Juniors
25 Mar 2027
LANU v BOCA
upcoming
24 Apr 2016
LANU73
BOCA58
15 Oct 2015
LANU73
BOCA74
01 Feb 2015
LANU77
BOCA83
19 Nov 2014
LANU69
BOCA74
27 Mar 2014
LANU84
BOCA97
13 Oct 2013
LANU64
BOCA81
08 Nov 2012
LANU67
BOCA69
04 Nov 2012
LANU77
BOCA65
07 Oct 2012
LANU72
BOCA66
19 Feb 2012
LANU74
BOCA69
09 Oct 2011
LANU61
BOCA62
01 Apr 2011
LANU75
BOCA66
09 Nov 2010
LANU79
BOCA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lanus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LanusArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLanus
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
67-58
67
58
+9
51avg 63
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 63
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
93-108
93
108
-15
89avg 63
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
50avg 63
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
69-80
69
80
-11
52avg 63
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
61avg 63
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
81-72
81
72
+9
67avg 63
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
94-95
94
95
-1
no box
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
93-57
93
57
+36
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
25-15
12-14
18-15
26-18
17-27
23-26
11-13
18-26
22-34
25-25
28-23
22-18
18-20
13-21
20-16
20-25
19-8
16-27
14-20
18-22
19-21
12-8
23-12
20-23
19-13
21-10
21-26
22-21
30-22
16-21
26-31
19-18
22-27
11-29
19-14
29-13
26-14
24-13
14-17
157.0Avg total
79.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.579.3157.8-0.736%
Season at home (6)77.371.0148.3+6.367%
Season away (5)80.089.2169.2-9.20%
Last 10 (10)79.078.0157.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)82.275.0157.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.087.2168.2-6.225%
vs Similar (15)78.376.7155.0+1.747%
vs Weaker (7)84.773.4158.1+11.386%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 80
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 80
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 80
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
95avg 80
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 80
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 80
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 80
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 80
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
14-13
28-17
21-14
27-19
27-24
23-17
30-26
17-26
175.0Avg total
89.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.583.2172.8+6.262%
Season at home (4)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.378.4164.7+7.987%
This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
LanusBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H11/11
Liga A
82.2Avg total
42.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.079.2+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.637.479.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.979.3-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.982.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.644.285.9-2.638%-
vs Similar (15)39.238.777.9+0.553%-
vs Weaker (7)40.433.774.1+6.757%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
Liga A
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.984.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.442.685.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.439.984.3+4.567%-
This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lanustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lanus: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.5%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.4
27.8%
32.6%25.1
🏀 Free throws24.416.9
69.2%
72.7%16.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lanus
WLLWWLLLLW
Boca Juniors
WWWWLLLWLW
#12
League position
#6
-4.5
Net rating
-1.3
104.8
Offensive rating
115.8
109.3
Defensive rating
117.2
45.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.8%
3-point %
34.5%
48.0%
Assist %
53.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 115.8Defence109.3 · 117.2Shooting45.8% · 54.3%3-point %27.8% · 34.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Lanus   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lanus wins
7
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
24/04/16Lanus v Boca Juniors73-58
16/04/16Boca Juniors v Lanus91-81
24/11/15Boca Juniors v Lanus93-89 OT
16/10/15Lanus v Boca Juniors73-74
19/02/15Boca Juniors v Lanus97-102 OT
01/02/15Lanus v Boca Juniors77-83
20/11/14Lanus v Boca Juniors69-74
21/10/14Boca Juniors v Lanus64-66
28/03/14Lanus v Boca Juniors84-97
26/01/14Boca Juniors v Lanus83-75
Lanuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLa Union93-57
07/11/26AQuimsa71-88
05/11/26AOlimpico94-95
30/10/26HSan Martin81-72
26/10/26HRegatas72-63
24/10/26AAtenas69-80
22/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba73-75
20/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva93-108
14/10/26HPenarol77-84
09/10/26HObera TC67-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HLa Union97-93
07/11/26HSan Martin90-63
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lanus
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game78.577.380.0
Allowed / game79.371.089.2
Point differential-0.7+6.3-9.2
Avg total157.8148.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.594.584.5
Allowed / game83.278.088.5
Point differential+6.2+16.5-4.0
Avg total172.8172.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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