Lanus vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 84-97

31-25 18-27 18-22 17-23

Position#15

Record9-33

FormWLLLL

Points / game73.9

Allowed / game80.7

Lanus

Boca Juniors 🏆

Position#3

Record27-15

FormWWLLW

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game71.1

Liga ARound 29

Other2013-14

Meetings · Lanus v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lanus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lanus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

113-119 OT

113

119

-6

H24/02

Liga A

Regatas

59-98

-39

A27/02

Liga A

Sionista

#12

82-86

-4

A01/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

64-85

-21

A03/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

74-92

-18

A05/03

Liga A

Quilmes

96-83

+13

H08/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

72-75

-3

H10/03

Liga A

Regatas

89-96

-7

H19/03

Liga A

Quimsa

89-99

-10

A22/03

Liga A

Atenas

80-107

107

-27

A24/03

Liga A

25-20

15-16

19-32

29-20

10-26

15-28

10-23

24-21

15-19

19-25

21-13

27-29

16-25

6-20

23-22

19-18

24-16

16-22

11-25

23-29

28-22

26-20

21-16

21-25

18-23

16-10

18-14

20-28

30-25

14-22

26-20

19-29

20-18

16-31

23-19

30-31

20-34

15-24

25-17

20-32

175.8Avg total

81.8Scored

94.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	73.9	80.7	154.6	-6.8	21%
Season at home (20)	76.1	78.1	154.2	-2.0	35%
Season away (22)	72.0	83.0	155.0	-11.1	9%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	94.0	175.8	-12.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	92.0	177.2	-6.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	76.0	84.6	160.5	-8.6	20%
vs Similar (5)	76.4	79.6	156.0	-3.2	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

94-77

+17

H13/02

Liga A

Regatas

82-76

H16/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

83-75 OT

A20/02

Liga A

Quilmes

70-65

A22/02

Liga A

Argentino

73-68

H27/02

Liga A

Penarol

77-72

H02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

80-66

+14

A08/03

Liga A

Atenas

74-82

-8

A10/03

Liga A

Libertad

88-90 OT

-2

H21/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

83-72

+11

H22/03

Liga A

14-24

24-15

26-21

30-17

20-19

11-20

25-12

26-25

12-18

22-10

10-21

25-20

11-17

22-13

17-19

20-16

12-12

17-16

23-26

21-14

25-23

15-12

24-13

13-24

22-19

22-16

19-16

17-15

18-15

22-27

8-21

26-19

21-31

15-11

20-19

20-15

16-18

28-15

24-17

15-22

154.7Avg total

80.4Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	76.1	71.1	147.3	+5.0	64%
Season at home (22)	80.0	70.0	150.0	+10.0	82%
Season away (20)	71.9	72.4	144.3	-0.5	45%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	74.3	154.7	+6.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	76.4	156.8	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.3	74.7	146.0	-3.3	33%
vs Similar (8)	73.6	73.6	147.2	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	77.7	70.4	148.1	+7.3	79%

This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LanusBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.1	42.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.1	40.9	-3.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.4	47.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.1	44%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.5	38.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.6	19.7	35.3	-4.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	23.0	39.3	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.9	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	17.4	19.1	36.5	-1.7	32%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.4	17.9	32.2	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.7	15.5	30.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.0	20.2	34.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	21.8	37.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	14.4	18.6	32.9	-4.2	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.4	14.4	28.8	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	15.7	34.2	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	15.7	34.3	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	15.7	34.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	15.5	35.3	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.0	16.0	28.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.4	15.1	34.5	+4.3	74%	-

LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

40-36

H24/02

Liga A

Regatas

25-54

-29

A27/02

Liga A

Sionista

#12

34-44

-10

A01/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

22-45

-23

A03/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

40-38

A05/03

Liga A

Quilmes

54-42

+12

H08/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

34-33

H10/03

Liga A

Regatas

44-47

-3

H19/03

Liga A

Quimsa

36-49

-13

A22/03

Liga A

Atenas

35-58

-23

A24/03

Liga A

81.0Avg total

36.4Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.3	39.5	73.7	-5.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.8	36.6	72.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.7	42.3	75.1	-9.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	44.6	81.0	-8.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	45.8	86.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	34.4	40.6	75.0	-6.3	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.8	33.6	67.4	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

38-39

-1

H13/02

Liga A

Regatas

31-39

-8

H16/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

34-28

A20/02

Liga A

Quilmes

33-30

A22/02

Liga A

Argentino

29-28

H27/02

Liga A

Penarol

40-35

H02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

44-35

A08/03

Liga A

Atenas

40-42

-2

A10/03

Liga A

Libertad

36-42

-6

H21/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

44-33

+11

H22/03

Liga A

72.0Avg total

36.9Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	35.3	71.2	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	35.2	73.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.0	35.5	69.5	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	35.1	72.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.4	78.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.3	39.0	67.3	-10.7	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.8	36.6	73.4	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	36.7	34.2	70.9	+2.5	58%	-

This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.2	39.8	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	56%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	16.0	38.3	+6.3	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	26.2	49.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	29.0	51.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.8	25.0	48.8	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	17.5	39.7	+4.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.9	19.4	35.2	-3.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.4	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	43.2	84.2	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	41.9	83.3	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	44.6	85.1	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	46.3	89.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	46.2	90.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	40.6	42.7	83.3	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.6	46.0	88.6	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	35.5	74.4	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	34.4	77.5	+8.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.6	36.7	71.3	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	37.2	78.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	36.2	73.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.0	35.7	78.7	+7.3	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.6	36.5	72.1	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.6	35.1	74.7	+4.5	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lanus wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
26/01/14	Boca Juniors v Lanus	83-75
16/11/13	Boca Juniors v Lanus	80-78 OT
13/10/13	Lanus v Boca Juniors	64-81
26/01/13	Boca Juniors v Lanus	78-83
09/11/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	67-69
04/11/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	77-65
07/10/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	72-66
29/09/12	Boca Juniors v Lanus	75-70
20/02/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	74-69
13/12/11	Boca Juniors v Lanus	71-76

Lanuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/14	A	Atenas	80-107
22/03/14	A	Quimsa	89-99
19/03/14	H	Regatas	89-96
10/03/14	H	Weber Bahia	72-75
08/03/14	H	Quilmes	96-83
05/03/14	A	La Union	74-92
03/03/14	A	Estudiantes	64-85
01/03/14	A	Sionista	82-86
27/02/14	A	Regatas	59-98
24/02/14	H	Olimpico	113-119 OT

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/14	H	Olimpico	83-72
21/03/14	H	Libertad	88-90 OT
10/03/14	A	Atenas	74-82
08/03/14	A	Quimsa	80-66
02/03/14	H	Penarol	77-72
27/02/14	H	Argentino	73-68
22/02/14	A	Quilmes	70-65
20/02/14	A	Weber Bahia	83-75 OT
16/02/14	H	Regatas	82-76
13/02/14	H	La Union	94-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lanus

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	21%
Home	LLWLL	35%
Away	LLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	20	22
Win %	21%	35%	9%
Points / game	73.9	76.1	72.0
Allowed / game	80.7	78.1	83.0
Point differential	-6.8	-2.0	-11.1
Avg total	154.6	154.2	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	15%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	10% (10)	0% (5)	20% (5)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	64%
Home	WWWLW	82%
Away	LWWWL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	22	20
Win %	64%	82%	45%
Points / game	76.1	80.0	71.9
Allowed / game	71.1	70.0	72.4
Point differential	+5.0	+10.0	-0.5
Avg total	147.3	150.0	144.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	41%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	47% (17)	50% (8)	44% (9)
Overtime %	12%	9%	15%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	40	33	7	82%	84.9	75.3	+9.6
2	Penarol	42	31	11	74%	84.8	78.1	+6.7
3	Boca Juniors	42	27	15	64%	76.1	71.1	+5.0
4	Gimnasia	42	23	19	55%	77.9	76.8	+1.1
5	Atenas	42	23	19	55%	80.0	79.9	+0.1
6	Libertad	42	22	20	52%	78.6	78.3	+0.3
7	Quilmes	42	22	20	52%	79.2	80.8	-1.5
8	Sionista	41	21	20	51%	76.6	75.8	+0.9
9	Obras Sanitarias	42	21	21	50%	73.8	73.9	-0.0
10	Argentino	42	20	22	48%	75.5	76.6	-1.0
11	Quimsa	42	20	22	48%	78.5	79.7	-1.2
12	Estudiantes	41	19	22	46%	73.4	74.2	-0.8
13	Olimpico	42	18	24	43%	79.6	81.4	-1.8
14	Weber Bahia	42	16	26	38%	76.0	79.0	-3.0
15	Lanus	42	9	33	21%	73.9	80.7	-6.8
16	La Union	42	9	33	21%	77.5	84.4	-6.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lanus	31	18	18	17	84
Boca Juniors	25	27	22	23	97

← all games of the day

Lanus vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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