Lanus vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 72-61

17-14 17-14 23-21 15-12

Position#3

Record28-13

FormLWWWW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game73.1

Lanus 🏆

Libertad

Position#8

Record22-19

FormLWLLW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game77.4

Liga ARound 36

Other2012-13

Meetings · Lanus v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lanus winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lanus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

83-78

A26/01

Liga A

Penarol

62-78

-16

A09/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

74-75

-1

A11/02

Liga A

Regatas

71-58

+13

H16/02

Liga A

Sionista

67-60

H18/02

Liga A

Quimsa

68-76

-8

H20/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

90-66

+24

H23/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

84-68

+16

H25/02

Liga A

Argentino

73-72

A02/03

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

82-73

A04/03

Liga A

25-23

18-16

11-20

29-19

12-23

13-14

19-23

18-18

19-14

15-19

16-12

24-30

10-13

17-16

28-15

16-14

19-9

14-12

13-20

21-19

21-21

16-17

21-22

10-16

29-17

26-22

14-20

21-7

21-14

20-23

21-15

22-16

19-21

19-17

17-15

18-19

14-15

22-21

32-16

14-21

145.8Avg total

75.4Scored

70.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	76.7	73.1	149.9	+3.6	68%
Season at home (21)	78.8	71.4	150.2	+7.4	81%
Season away (20)	74.5	75.0	149.4	-0.5	55%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	70.4	145.8	+5.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	71.0	150.4	+8.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	74.5	74.1	148.6	+0.3	59%
vs Weaker (7)	81.6	69.4	151.0	+12.1	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#10

79-99

-20

A02/02

Liga A

Penarol

71-87

-16

A06/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

91-69

+22

H09/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

81-69

+12

H11/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

63-66

-3

A14/02

Liga A

Olimpico

67-74

-7

A16/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

85-69

+16

H23/02

Liga A

Argentino

70-77

-7

H25/02

Liga A

Regatas

72-76

-4

A28/02

Liga A

Sionista

91-84 OT

A02/03

Liga A

20-24

18-14

23-28

18-33

14-29

7-22

26-11

24-25

20-17

27-13

14-21

30-18

24-14

15-23

23-20

19-12

13-19

17-18

16-20

17-9

20-23

22-16

11-12

14-23

22-20

23-17

18-20

22-12

17-22

7-18

28-18

18-19

9-22

21-18

22-13

20-23

14-24

16-19

25-15

22-19

154.0Avg total

77.0Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	78.4	77.4	155.8	+1.0	54%
Season at home (22)	80.9	73.0	153.9	+7.9	77%
Season away (19)	75.5	82.6	158.1	-7.1	26%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	77.0	154.0	+0.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	76.0	153.0	+1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	82.5	83.5	166.0	-1.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	76.8	79.0	155.7	-2.2	45%
vs Weaker (6)	86.2	80.8	167.0	+5.3	50%

This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LanusLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.6	35.1	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	15.7	34.8	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	19.5	35.4	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.0	35.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	16.7	18.3	35.0	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	16.1	35.6	+3.3	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.3	39.8	-2.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	18.8	38.8	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	24.1	41.0	-7.3	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.4	38.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.2	38.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.9	35.8	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	18.1	35.1	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.7	35.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	17.9	17.5	35.4	+0.3	59%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.9	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	16.9	35.6	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.8	35.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	18.8	39.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.7	67%	-

LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

43-39

A26/01

Liga A

Penarol

25-37

-12

A09/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

34-33

A11/02

Liga A

Regatas

27-29

-2

H16/02

Liga A

Sionista

33-21

+12

H18/02

Liga A

Quimsa

37-38

-1

H20/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

55-39

+16

H23/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

41-37

H25/02

Liga A

Argentino

38-38

A02/03

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

36-36

A04/03

Liga A

71.6Avg total

36.9Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	35.5	70.9	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	33.3	71.4	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	37.6	70.5	-4.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	34.7	71.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.6	79.0	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	34.6	35.8	70.4	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	38.0	35.6	73.6	+2.4	57%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#10

38-38

A02/02

Liga A

Penarol

21-51

-30

A06/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

47-30

+17

H09/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

39-37

H11/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

30-37

-7

A14/02

Liga A

Olimpico

42-39

A16/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

45-37

H23/02

Liga A

Argentino

24-40

-16

H25/02

Liga A

Regatas

30-40

-10

A28/02

Liga A

Sionista

30-43

-13

A02/03

Liga A

73.8Avg total

34.6Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	39.5	76.5	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.7	35.7	74.4	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	43.8	78.9	-8.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	39.2	73.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	39.8	74.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.0	38.5	77.5	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	35.0	39.6	74.6	-4.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.5	39.7	82.2	+2.8	67%	-

This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.8	38.0	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	41%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.9	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.6	36.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	18.8	41.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	15.3	36.4	+5.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.1	39.6	+3.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.4	20.2	40.7	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.0	21.5	46.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	37.1	77.2	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	36.7	75.5	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	37.4	78.9	+4.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	35.7	74.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	33.4	71.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	39.5	37.9	77.4	+1.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.6	33.9	77.4	+9.7	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	39.7	81.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.7	37.9	79.6	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	41.7	83.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.1	78.1	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	34.8	74.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.0	41.0	82.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.7	41.2	84.8	+2.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lanus wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
15/11/12	Libertad v Lanus	63-76
10/02/12	Lanus v Libertad	64-55
02/12/11	Libertad v Lanus	86-52
08/05/11	Libertad v Lanus	75-73
05/05/11	Lanus v Libertad	62-66
03/05/11	Lanus v Libertad	84-61
28/04/11	Libertad v Lanus	74-68
26/04/11	Libertad v Lanus	57-77
28/03/11	Libertad v Lanus	87-78
30/01/11	Lanus v Libertad	87-68

Lanuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/13	A	de Julio de Morteros	82-73
02/03/13	A	Argentino	73-72
25/02/13	H	La Union	84-68
23/02/13	H	Progresista	90-66
20/02/13	H	Quimsa	68-76
18/02/13	H	Sionista	67-60
16/02/13	H	Regatas	71-58
11/02/13	A	Weber Bahia	74-75
09/02/13	A	Penarol	62-78
26/01/13	A	Boca Juniors	83-78

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/13	A	Sionista	91-84 OT
28/02/13	A	Regatas	72-76
25/02/13	H	Argentino	70-77
23/02/13	H	de Julio de Morteros	85-69
16/02/13	A	Olimpico	67-74
14/02/13	A	Atenas	63-66
11/02/13	H	Progresista	81-69
09/02/13	H	La Union	91-69
06/02/13	A	Penarol	71-87
02/02/13	A	Gimnasia	79-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lanus

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	68%
Home	WWLWW	81%
Away	WLLWW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	21	20
Win %	68%	81%	55%
Points / game	76.7	78.8	74.5
Allowed / game	73.1	71.4	75.0
Point differential	+3.6	+7.4	-0.5
Avg total	149.9	150.2	149.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	48%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	69% (13)	67% (6)	71% (7)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	54%
Home	LWWWL	77%
Away	LLLLW	26%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	22	19
Win %	54%	77%	26%
Points / game	78.4	80.9	75.5
Allowed / game	77.4	73.0	82.6
Point differential	+1.0	+7.9	-7.1
Avg total	155.8	153.9	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	45%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	100% (3)	44% (9)
Overtime %	7%	5%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	42	31	11	74%	78.8	72.8	+6.0
2	Penarol	42	29	13	69%	81.8	77.5	+4.3
3	Lanus	41	28	13	68%	76.7	73.1	+3.6
4	Boca Juniors	42	26	16	62%	80.8	74.9	+5.9
5	Quimsa	42	23	19	55%	78.7	76.7	+2.0
6	Argentino	42	23	19	55%	78.9	78.0	+0.9
7	Olimpico	42	23	19	55%	75.3	75.8	-0.5
8	Libertad	41	22	19	54%	78.4	77.4	+1.0
9	Gimnasia	42	21	21	50%	81.3	80.8	+0.6
10	Atenas	42	21	21	50%	76.5	79.2	-2.6
11	Sionista	42	20	22	48%	78.8	80.0	-1.3
12	Weber Bahia	42	19	23	45%	80.9	80.5	+0.4
13	Obras Sanitarias	42	16	26	38%	80.4	81.0	-0.6
14	de Julio de Morteros	42	13	29	31%	80.0	85.7	-5.7
15	La Union	42	10	32	24%	72.9	78.9	-6.0
16	Progresista	42	10	32	24%	74.0	81.7	-7.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lanus	17	17	23	15	72
Libertad	14	14	21	12	61

← all games of the day

Lanus vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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