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Launceston W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 60-85
17-24 16-23 10-24 17-14
Position#17
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game62.5
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Launceston W v Geelong W
25 Apr 2025
LAUN60
GEEL85
13 May 2023
LAUN55
GEEL86
03 Jul 2021
LAUN73
GEEL70
01 Jun 2019
LAUN71
GEEL85
01 Jul 2017
LAUN65
GEEL84
27 Aug 2016
LAUN79
GEEL68
23 Jul 2016
LAUN57
GEEL64
18 Apr 2015
LAUN79
GEEL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Launceston W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Launceston WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
57-103
57
103
-46
A14/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
21-14
19-19
13-15
27-19
14-27
13-18
14-12
17-21
31-16
15-20
13-16
20-24
20-17
10-13
27-22
13-23
14-26
17-36
13-18
19-20
16-24
17-15
14-17
16-19
17-24
15-22
7-11
23-17
13-23
24-16
19-27
21-20
19-20
25-26
21-28
14-23
18-21
20-15
13-12
149.3Avg total
69.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.280.0150.2-9.80%
Season at home (3)72.380.3152.7-8.00%
Season away (2)67.079.5146.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)69.679.7149.3-10.120%
Last 5 (5)70.280.0150.2-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.482.2150.6-13.820%
vs Similar (8)73.077.2150.2-4.225%
vs Weaker (2)86.579.5166.0+7.050%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
W
106-73
106
73
+33
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
102-120
102
120
-18
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
112-72
112
72
+40
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
94-61
94
61
+33
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
16-18
24-14
34-17
24-19
34-19
17-23
17-19
22-37
19-19
18-20
20-21
29-27
24-29
12-25
25-16
21-27
30-18
26-43
25-32
17-33
23-19
23-23
21-20
27-15
21-18
31-15
33-24
27-14
17-27
26-14
24-6
21-9
31-15
16-15
9-17
13-18
25-14
17-14
24-15
172.7Avg total
91.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.562.5153.0+28.0100%
Season at home (3)95.064.7159.7+30.3100%
Season away (1)77.056.0133.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.581.2172.7+10.360%
Last 5 (5)89.269.0158.2+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.688.6169.1-8.029%
vs Similar (11)80.580.8161.4-0.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.469.8157.2+17.792%
This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.5+4.5
Launceston WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Launceston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A14/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
78.6Avg total
36.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.679.0-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.140.177.2-3.138%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.381.1-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.978.6-5.210%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.277.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.041.678.6-4.635%-
vs Similar (8)37.042.979.9-5.912%-
vs Weaker (2)43.536.580.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
89.2Avg total
47.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.382.2+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.983.8+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)40.939.680.4+1.343%-
Last 10 (10)47.341.989.2+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.480.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.648.088.6-7.414%-
vs Similar (11)40.336.977.2+3.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.338.883.2+5.567%-
This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Launceston W wins
6
Geelong W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HKilsyth W65-71
11/04/25HBallarat W86-94
06/04/25ABendigo Braves W79-83
05/04/25AWaverley W55-76
29/03/25HHobart Chargers W66-76
14/07/24ADandenong Rangers W57-103
13/07/24ANunawading W77-76
06/07/24HBendigo Braves W76-73
29/06/24HKilsyth W68-76
28/06/24HDiamond Valley W67-69
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HBendigo Braves W79-61
11/04/25AWaverley W77-56
05/04/25HBallarat W94-61
29/03/25HMt. Gambier W112-72
13/07/24ADiamond Valley W84-95
12/07/24HWaverley W102-120
07/07/24AKnox W90-97
06/07/24HDandenong Rangers W79-97
28/06/24HCasey Cavaliers W92-80
23/06/24ANunawading W106-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Launceston W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.272.367.0
Allowed / game80.080.379.5
Point differential-9.8-8.0-12.5
Avg total150.2152.7146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.595.077.0
Allowed / game62.564.756.0
Point differential+28.0+30.3+21.0
Avg total153.0159.7133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W440100%90.562.5+28.0
2 Keilor Thunder W54180%76.474.2+2.2
3 Sandringham W54180%73.271.6+1.6
4 Knox W43175%84.569.5+15.0
5 Casey Cavaliers W43175%68.571.8-3.2
6 Dandenong Rangers W64267%85.867.2+18.7
7 Ringwood W42250%78.866.0+12.8
8 Waverley W42250%73.871.5+2.2
9 Nunawading W63350%70.271.3-1.2
10 Eltham W42250%72.275.2-3.0
11 Bendigo Braves W42250%75.879.0-3.2
12 Hobart Chargers W52340%73.671.4+2.2
13 Frankston W52340%66.668.6-2.0
14 Melbourne Tigers W52340%81.284.0-2.8
15 Diamond Valley W52340%78.485.6-7.2
16 Kilsyth W62433%62.877.5-14.7
17 Ballarat W41325%74.587.0-12.5
18 Mt. Gambier W51420%67.483.8-16.4
19 Launceston W5050%70.280.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Launceston W1716101760
Geelong W2423241485
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