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Launceston W vs Mt. Gambier W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 72-60
22-16 18-15 15-17 17-12
Position#17
Record3-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#14
Record6-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game76.3
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Launceston W v Mt. Gambier W
05 Jul 2025
LAUN72
MT. 60
08 Jul 2023
LAUN74
MT. 81
29 May 2021
LAUN82
MT. 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Launceston W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt. Gambier W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Launceston WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#13
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A30/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
97-84
97
84
+13
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
61-86
61
86
-25
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-22
11-22
12-15
17-19
21-22
19-18
12-19
13-15
25-19
25-28
27-15
18-26
18-17
14-18
17-17
16-25
24-25
25-13
26-17
28-18
23-26
22-11
24-29
13-23
20-20
14-18
22-19
9-28
19-17
23-21
10-20
16-28
28-24
20-13
16-15
19-21
29-30
24-22
15-19
159.9Avg total
77.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.282.4155.7-9.217%
Season at home (9)70.081.6151.6-11.611%
Season away (9)76.483.3159.8-6.922%
Last 10 (10)77.582.4159.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)80.686.8167.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.285.9156.1-15.711%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.176.4151.5-1.238%
vs Weaker (3)77.082.7159.7-5.733%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
79-54
79
54
+25
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
100-56
100
56
+44
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
79-49
79
49
+30
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H30/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
51-81
51
81
-30
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
57-82
57
82
-25
H20/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H27/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A04/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
12-12
23-11
21-13
9-28
21-13
17-19
9-23
34-13
20-14
22-15
24-14
25-17
19-14
21-6
14-12
14-28
17-18
22-12
17-21
22-19
13-11
24-15
19-18
18-15
7-23
10-18
16-25
17-31
15-17
8-17
17-17
21-20
12-24
15-22
12-14
17-16
14-19
9-27
19-18
139.6Avg total
68.9Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.276.3144.5-8.233%
Season at home (8)60.675.5136.1-14.912%
Season away (10)74.277.0151.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)68.970.7139.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)61.077.2138.2-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.979.6146.6-12.725%
vs Similar ◀ (5)68.274.4142.6-6.240%
vs Weaker (9)79.168.4147.6+10.767%
This opponent (Launceston W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
Launceston WMt. Gambier W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Launceston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#13
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A30/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
83.1Avg total
38.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.743.381.0-5.517%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.141.577.5-5.415%-
Last 30 away (17)39.044.683.6-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.383.1-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.087.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.944.282.2-6.316%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.643.080.6-5.412%-
vs Weaker (3)36.738.074.7-1.333%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H30/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H20/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H27/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A04/07
NBL1 South Women
72.0Avg total
35.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.475.4-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.539.173.6-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.239.776.9-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)35.037.072.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.239.070.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.841.174.9-7.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.837.672.4-2.840%-
vs Weaker (9)40.437.678.0+2.967%-
This opponent (Launceston W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Launceston W wins
3
Mt. Gambier W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25ADiamond Valley W87-92
28/06/25AMelbourne Tigers W89-92 OT
21/06/25HKnox W61-86
15/06/25AGeelong W69-80
14/06/25ACasey Cavaliers W97-84
30/05/25AHobart Chargers W91-80
24/05/25HRingwood W67-78
17/05/25HEltham W90-77
10/05/25HNunawading W69-78
04/05/25ABallarat W55-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/25AHobart Chargers W59-80
27/06/25HDiamond Valley W60-80
20/06/25HMelbourne Tigers W57-82
15/06/25AKnox W51-81
14/06/25AKilsyth W78-63
30/05/25HDandenong Rangers W70-79
25/05/25ABendigo Braves W79-49
24/05/25ABallarat W100-56
18/05/25HGeelong W56-83
10/05/25ACasey Cavaliers W79-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Launceston W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLWLL11%
AwayWWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%11%22%
Points / game73.270.076.4
Allowed / game82.481.683.3
Point differential-9.2-11.6-6.9
Avg total155.7151.6159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%12%50%
Points / game68.260.674.2
Allowed / game76.375.577.0
Point differential-8.2-14.9-2.8
Avg total144.5136.1151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%12%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W18180100%89.164.8+24.3
2 Keilor Thunder W1614288%81.871.5+10.3
3 Knox W1815383%81.866.6+15.2
4 Dandenong Rangers W1713476%86.072.8+13.2
5 Diamond Valley W1712571%85.577.4+8.1
6 Waverley W1711665%77.671.9+5.6
7 Melbourne Tigers W1811761%81.475.7+5.7
8 Frankston W1810856%76.271.8+4.4
9 Sandringham W179853%78.578.6-0.2
10 Ringwood W189950%78.376.3+1.9
11 Nunawading W178947%68.675.5-6.9
12 Casey Cavaliers W1771041%74.279.8-5.6
13 Mt. Gambier W1861233%68.276.3-8.2
14 Ballarat W1751229%70.282.6-12.4
15 Kilsyth W1851328%69.581.6-12.1
16 Hobart Chargers W1951426%71.480.6-9.3
17 Eltham W1731418%73.285.4-12.2
18 Launceston W1831517%73.282.4-9.2
19 Bendigo Braves W1931616%71.682.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Launceston W2218151772
Mt. Gambier W1615171260
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