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Knox W vs Mt. Gambier W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 81-51
15-18 23-7 18-10 25-16
Position#2
Record11-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game69.4
Knox W 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#14
Record6-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game75.1
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Knox W v Mt. Gambier W
15 Jun 2025
KNOX81
MT. 51
20 Jul 2024
KNOX78
MT. 86
18 May 2024
KNOX63
MT. 81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt. Gambier W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Knox WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H16/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H23/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
13-13
26-14
24-23
18-14
19-17
28-18
21-12
40-14
17-10
22-21
21-29
19-16
22-16
21-8
23-18
18-20
16-27
18-28
19-14
18-23
15-22
15-19
22-18
22-24
23-23
25-10
8-10
18-22
10-17
23-18
21-10
18-3
20-22
18-19
12-17
31-18
9-21
12-15
16-10
147.4Avg total
78.0Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.969.4149.3+10.479%
Season at home (8)81.468.6150.0+12.888%
Season away (6)77.870.5148.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)78.069.4147.4+8.680%
Last 5 (5)71.268.2139.4+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.089.0160.0-18.00%
vs Similar (2)80.074.5154.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.370.5153.7+12.881%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#19
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
47-73
47
73
-26
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
79-54
79
54
+25
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
100-56
100
56
+44
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
79-49
79
49
+30
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H30/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-32
24-16
13-16
19-12
13-23
13-17
10-23
11-10
16-23
20-22
23-13
19-18
13-27
19-25
24-24
20-23
23-18
12-12
23-11
21-13
9-28
21-13
17-19
9-23
34-13
20-14
22-15
24-14
25-17
19-14
21-6
14-12
14-28
17-18
22-12
17-21
22-19
13-11
24-15
19-18
143.5Avg total
72.7Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.475.1146.5-3.643%
Season at home (6)61.373.7135.0-12.317%
Season away (8)79.076.1155.1+2.962%
Last 10 (10)72.770.8143.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)76.666.0142.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.378.1148.4-7.936%
vs Similar (4)70.573.0143.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (12)78.370.0148.3+8.358%
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
Knox WMt. Gambier W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Knox WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
57-24
57
24
+33
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H16/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H23/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
74.8Avg total
38.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.579.6+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.438.681.1+3.863%-
Last 30 away (11)41.535.677.2+5.964%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.374.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.047.081.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (2)35.536.071.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.937.380.2+5.667%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#19
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H30/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
74.5Avg total
35.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.876.3-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.137.472.5-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)39.839.979.7-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.539.074.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.073.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.539.474.9-3.936%-
vs Similar (4)35.838.274.0-2.550%-
vs Weaker (12)40.638.278.8+2.358%-
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Knox W wins
3
Mt. Gambier W wins
DateGameScore
20/07/24Knox W v Mt. Gambier W78-86
05/07/24Mt. Gambier W v Knox W65-68
18/05/24Knox W v Mt. Gambier W63-81
27/05/23Mt. Gambier W v Knox W88-80
06/08/22Mt. Gambier W v Knox W68-75
15/05/21Mt. Gambier W v Knox W40-69
Knox Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25HMelbourne Tigers W68-64
31/05/25AKilsyth W68-61
25/05/25AWaverley W72-67
23/05/25HFrankston W78-67
17/05/25ADandenong Rangers W70-82
16/05/25HGeelong W71-89
10/05/25HKeilor Thunder W85-58
03/05/25HHobart Chargers W100-74
26/04/25ABendigo Braves W86-61
25/04/25HCasey Cavaliers W82-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25AKilsyth W78-63
30/05/25HDandenong Rangers W70-79
25/05/25ABendigo Braves W79-49
24/05/25ABallarat W100-56
18/05/25HGeelong W56-83
10/05/25ACasey Cavaliers W79-54
04/05/25AFrankston W76-99
03/05/25ARingwood W78-76
25/04/25HWaverley W47-73
12/04/25HEltham W64-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%88%67%
Points / game79.981.477.8
Allowed / game69.468.670.5
Point differential+10.4+12.8+7.3
Avg total149.3150.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%17%62%
Points / game71.461.379.0
Allowed / game75.173.776.1
Point differential-3.6-12.3+2.9
Avg total146.5135.0155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W13130100%90.967.0+23.9
2 Keilor Thunder W1412286%80.971.4+9.5
3 Knox W1411379%79.969.4+10.4
4 Dandenong Rangers W1410471%84.171.7+12.4
5 Diamond Valley W1410471%86.877.6+9.2
6 Waverley W1510567%76.469.8+6.6
7 Frankston W148657%73.969.0+4.9
8 Melbourne Tigers W137654%77.776.8+0.8
9 Ringwood W147750%77.173.8+3.4
10 Sandringham W136746%79.079.6-0.6
11 Nunawading W136746%68.174.0-5.9
12 Mt. Gambier W146843%71.475.1-3.6
13 Casey Cavaliers W145936%72.580.4-7.9
14 Ballarat W134931%70.283.6-13.5
15 Hobart Chargers W1441029%70.979.4-8.6
16 Kilsyth W1541127%68.980.7-11.9
17 Eltham W1331023%76.285.5-9.3
18 Launceston W1431121%72.381.0-8.7
19 Bendigo Braves W1631319%71.881.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox W1523182581
Mt. Gambier W187101651
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