PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Casey Cavaliers W vs Mt. Gambier W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 54-79
18-23 12-12 11-23 13-21
Position#11
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game83.4
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers W v Mt. Gambier W
10 May 2025
CASE54
MT. 79
19 May 2024
CASE96
MT. 87
07 May 2022
CASE86
MT. 88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt. Gambier W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
61-94
61
94
-33
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
109-84
109
84
+25
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A04/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
14-23
17-27
9-17
22-22
11-25
14-30
14-17
18-22
30-29
24-8
37-25
18-25
4-27
17-24
17-22
13-20
17-4
28-23
18-13
16-22
23-19
20-20
21-12
20-12
9-17
15-12
18-15
21-19
13-13
14-26
23-24
21-28
21-23
22-18
12-24
25-16
25-18
14-19
29-22
154.8Avg total
74.7Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.476.7150.1-3.357%
Season at home (3)70.788.0158.7-17.333%
Season away (4)75.568.2143.8+7.275%
Last 10 (10)74.780.1154.8-5.450%
Last 5 (5)76.475.8152.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)73.588.4162.0-14.914%
vs Similar (5)73.271.2144.4+2.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)83.069.3152.3+13.7100%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
72-112
72
112
-40
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
47-73
47
73
-26
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
25-19
17-18
18-22
23-27
14-19
18-28
18-18
15-27
18-21
15-31
24-33
23-28
17-29
13-24
17-19
20-13
4-17
23-28
13-18
27-10
14-19
17-9
13-17
8-32
24-16
13-16
19-12
13-23
13-17
10-23
11-10
16-23
20-22
23-13
19-18
13-27
19-25
24-24
20-23
153.4Avg total
69.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)67.283.4150.6-16.125%
Season at home (4)60.570.0130.5-9.525%
Season away (4)74.096.8170.8-22.825%
Last 10 (10)69.783.7153.4-14.030%
Last 5 (5)67.275.8143.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.677.8149.3-6.242%
vs Similar (3)74.787.0161.7-12.333%
vs Weaker (15)76.769.7146.3+7.060%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
Casey Cavaliers WMt. Gambier W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
22-52
22
52
-30
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A04/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
76.7Avg total
36.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.779.7-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.745.384.0-6.520%-
Last 30 away (15)37.338.275.5-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.376.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.644.482.0-6.823%-
vs Similar (5)38.635.273.8+3.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.733.072.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
78.5Avg total
35.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.776.9-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.334.871.1+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)40.443.183.4-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)35.243.378.5-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)33.442.876.2-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.238.874.9-2.642%-
vs Similar (3)38.745.384.0-6.733%-
vs Weaker (15)39.737.377.0+2.567%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Casey Cavaliers W wins
2
Mt. Gambier W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AKilsyth W93-75
26/04/25HDiamond Valley W76-93
25/04/25AKnox W71-82
12/04/25ANunawading W62-56
06/04/25HHobart Chargers W80-73
04/04/25AMt. Gambier W76-60
29/03/25HDandenong Rangers W56-98
13/07/24HMelbourne Tigers W109-84
07/07/24ABallarat W61-94
06/07/24HDiamond Valley W63-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25AFrankston W76-99
03/05/25ARingwood W78-76
25/04/25HWaverley W47-73
12/04/25HEltham W64-76
11/04/25HSandringham W71-55
04/04/25HCasey Cavaliers W60-76
30/03/25AKeilor Thunder W70-100
29/03/25AGeelong W72-112
03/08/24HWaverley W73-92
20/07/24AKnox W86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game73.470.775.5
Allowed / game76.788.068.2
Point differential-3.3-17.3+7.2
Avg total150.1158.7143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game67.260.574.0
Allowed / game83.470.096.8
Point differential-16.1-9.5-22.8
Avg total150.6130.5170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W880100%91.866.5+25.2
2 Keilor Thunder W87188%80.269.2+11.0
3 Knox W76186%86.669.1+17.4
4 Waverley W86275%77.469.8+7.6
5 Dandenong Rangers W85362%83.872.2+11.5
6 Diamond Valley W85362%85.282.2+3.0
7 Frankston W74357%74.069.3+4.7
8 Casey Cavaliers W74357%73.476.7-3.3
9 Sandringham W95456%77.677.4+0.1
10 Melbourne Tigers W63350%82.083.5-1.5
11 Nunawading W84450%69.572.6-3.1
12 Ringwood W73443%77.073.3+3.7
13 Ballarat W73443%75.479.6-4.1
14 Hobart Chargers W103730%69.676.5-6.9
15 Eltham W72529%77.682.7-5.1
16 Bendigo Braves W82625%74.883.0-8.2
17 Kilsyth W82625%64.479.9-15.5
18 Mt. Gambier W82625%67.283.4-16.1
19 Launceston W9090%66.481.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers W1812111354
Mt. Gambier W2312232179
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.