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Lavrio vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 81-78
Projected total 159.3
Final 78-93
18-26 16-21 22-24 22-22
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game69.0
Lavrio
Greece
Vs
59%
41%
■ LAV 59%■ PAN 41%
Pythia win probability
Panionios 🏆
Greece
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game71.4
GreeceA2Round 8· Sports Center Lavrio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lavrio v Panionios
14 Nov 2026
LAV78
PAN93
04 Nov 2024
LAV84
PAN80
27 Feb 2021
LAV v PAN
upcoming
07 Mar 2020
LAV104
PAN71
27 Oct 2018
LAV90
PAN60
09 Dec 2017
LAV83
PAN73
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Lavrio host Panionios on 14 November 2026 in the A2 competition, with the model designating Lavrio as the favourite and predicting a 59% chance of a home win against Panionios' 41% chance of victory; the projected score is 81-78, with a total of 159.3 points. Lavrio finished the season 6-1, averaging 83.6 points scored and 69.0 points allowed, and sits second in the league; at home they are 3-1, scoring 83.5 and conceding 65.0, and they won four of their last five games, including a 95-57 home win over Komotini and a 84-79 away win over Anagennisi, but suffered a narrow 70-71 loss to Papagou at home on 7 November. Panionios is undefeated 7-0, averaging 85.6 points scored and 71.4 points allowed, and occupies first place; on the road they are 3-0, scoring 77.7 and allowing 69.7, and they won all five of their most recent games, notably a 93-69 home win over Peiramatiko Machites and an 82-81 away win over Papagou. In head-to-head play Lavrio leads 6-3, though Panionios last defeated them 86-80 on 27 January 2025. The home team's line is 1.0 with a 60% probability of covering, and the total line of 158.0 carries a 52% chance of the over, while the game has a 5% likelihood of going into overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lavrio winLost
58.8%fair 1.70
Best odds1.93
Implied48.5%
Edge+10.3pp
Panionios winWon
41.2%fair 2.43
Best odds1.80
Implied51.5%
Edge-10.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Vikos
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
no box
A08/04
A2
Vikos
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
no box
H14/04
A2
Vikos
#2
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
A19/04
A2
Psychikou
#4
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H02/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
A10/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
H17/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
A21/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
95-57
95
57
+38
no box
H24/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
A31/10
A2
Papagou
#8
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H07/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
20-19
24-19
15-19
22-16
15-20
18-22
19-29
23-14
20-20
16-24
18-20
14-20
19-10
21-17
20-8
23-23
12-27
32-21
19-14
26-24
20-18
21-18
28-17
31-11
12-19
15-13
23-16
19-19
25-14
20-15
31-9
26-17
21-15
16-22
21-25
21-16
14-29
20-11
15-15
155.4Avg total
82.3Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.669.0152.6+14.686%
Season at home (4)83.565.0148.5+18.575%
Season away (3)83.774.3158.0+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.373.1155.4+9.270%
Last 5 (5)85.068.6153.6+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.081.6163.6+0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.881.7161.5-1.931%
vs Weaker (12)88.971.0159.9+17.992%
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#8
W
103-77
103
77
+26
98avg 69
H04/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
57-71
57
71
-14
41avg 69
H19/04
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
65-75
65
75
-10
54avg 69
A25/04
Basket League
Kronos Agiou Dimitriou
#14
W
70-51
70
51
+19
no box
A05/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/10
A2
Koroivos
#13
W
103-85
103
85
+18
no box
H17/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A21/10
A2
Amyntas
#11
W
87-60
87
60
+27
no box
H24/10
A2
Papagou
#8
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A02/11
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#9
W
93-69
93
69
+24
no box
H07/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
23-22
29-11
23-24
7-21
22-17
13-21
15-12
15-19
16-12
18-20
16-24
11-19
20-16
16-9
23-7
23-15
25-24
15-12
20-26
30-21
20-30
23-17
30-17
24-19
23-16
27-15
7-27
16-8
30-13
14-22
27-17
22-26
14-13
24-24
22-18
33-7
16-15
20-26
24-21
154.7Avg total
82.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.671.4157.0+14.1100%
Season at home (4)91.572.8164.2+18.8100%
Season away (3)77.769.7147.3+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.472.3154.7+10.180%
Last 5 (5)89.274.4163.6+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.286.8160.0-13.613%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.583.1169.6+3.462%
vs Weaker (7)85.671.4157.0+14.1100%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153Actual: Over 153
Over 153
64.5%
Under 153
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158 · main lineActual: Over 158
Over 158
52.4%
@ 1.84+2.5pp
Under 158
47.6%
@ 1.83-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.84
SBO
1.82
1xBet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.82
1xBet
1.72
Over/Under 163Actual: Over 163
Over 163
40.2%
Under 163
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Lavrio total 74.5Actual: Lavrio over 74.5
Over 74.5
73.3%
@ 1.38+9.8pp
Under 74.5
26.7%
@ 2.40-9.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.40
Lavrio total 78.5 · main lineActual: Lavrio under 78.5
Over 78.5
59.1%
@ 1.85+9.1pp
Under 78.5
40.9%
@ 1.85-9.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.72
Lavrio total 82.5Actual: Lavrio under 82.5
Over 82.5
43.7%
@ 2.37+6.7pp
Under 82.5
56.3%
@ 1.39-6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.37
Under
1xBet
1.39
Panionios total 75.5Actual: Panionios over 75.5
Over 75.5
60.6%
@ 1.41-1.1pp
Under 75.5
39.4%
@ 2.28+1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.28
Panionios total 79.5 · main lineActual: Panionios over 79.5
Over 79.5
45.3%
@ 1.86-3.9pp
Under 79.5
54.7%
@ 1.85+3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.78
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.67
Panionios total 83.5Actual: Panionios over 83.5
Over 83.5
30.9%
@ 2.49-4.5pp
Under 83.5
69.1%
@ 1.36+4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.49
Under
1xBet
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lavrio -2Actual: Panionios +2
LAV -2
53.9%
@ 2.08+10.1pp
PAN +2
46.1%
@ 1.62-10.1pp
Best 5 market prices
LAV
Pinnacle
2.08
PAN
Pinnacle
1.62
Spread Lavrio +1 · main lineActual: Panionios -1
LAV +1
60.4%
@ 1.85+11.0pp
PAN -1
39.6%
@ 1.81-11.0pp
Best 5 market prices
LAV
Pinnacle
1.85
SBO
1.85
PAN
Pinnacle
1.81
SBO
1.81
Spread Lavrio +4Actual: Panionios -4
LAV +4
70.9%
PAN -4
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
LAV
No market prices yet.
PAN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
LavrioPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A08/04
A2
Vikos
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/04
A2
Vikos
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A19/04
A2
Psychikou
#4
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A10/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H17/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A31/10
A2
Papagou
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H07/11
A2
78.8Avg total
41.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 76.5
Last 30 (30)43.739.082.7+4.763%70%
Last 30 at home (16)42.637.279.9+5.469%62%
Last 30 away (14)44.941.085.9+3.957%79%
Last 10 (10)41.137.778.8+3.480%70%
Last 5 (5)43.036.479.4+6.680%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.039.080.0+2.080%60%
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.040.383.3+2.746%69%
vs Weaker (12)45.637.683.2+8.075%75%
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H04/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/04
Basket League
Aris
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A25/04
Basket League
Kronos Agiou Dimitriou
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A05/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
A2
Koroivos
#13
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H17/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A21/10
A2
Amyntas
#11
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H24/10
A2
Papagou
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A02/11
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#9
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H07/11
A2
77.1Avg total
41.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 76.5
Last 30 (30)38.940.879.7-1.940%50%
Last 30 at home (17)39.940.280.1-0.447%47%
Last 30 away (13)37.541.579.1-4.031%54%
Last 10 (10)41.835.377.1+6.550%40%
Last 5 (5)45.633.679.2+12.060%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.843.177.9-8.313%47%
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.142.084.1+0.175%62%
vs Weaker (7)43.934.678.4+9.357%43%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Panionios win
LAV win
no forecast
@ 1.95
PAN win
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Lavrio +0.5 · main lineActual: Panionios -0.5
LAV +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
PAN -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Lavrio 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Lavrio under 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Panionios 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Panionios over 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half: LAV + total 77.5
LAV & over
no forecast
@ 3.65
LAV & under
no forecast
@ 3.90
1st half: Draw + total 77.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Panionios (regulation)
LAV
no forecast
@ 2.05
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
PAN
no forecast
@ 1.86

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LAV win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
PAN win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LAV leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (LAV:PAN): LAV wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Lavrio over 74.573.3%1.38
1xBet
1.38		----+9.8ppWon
Lavrio +4.571.8%1.42
1xBet
1.42		----+9.3ppLost
Overtime: no94.7%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+3.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.6
47.8%
-33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.9
30.4%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws17.912.4
69.3%
-12.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.6
49.0%
-35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.0
33.5%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
-12.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lavrio
LWWWWWWLLW
Panionios
WWWWWWWLLW
#2
League position
#1
-25.7
Net rating
-11.2
97.9
Offensive rating
88.2
123.6
Defensive rating
99.4
46.9%
Effective FG%
49.5%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.4%
3-point %
33.5%
60.0%
Assist %
71.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Lavrio   ■ Panionios
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lavrio wins
3
Panionios wins
DateGameScore
27/01/25Panionios v Lavrio86-80
04/11/24Lavrio v Panionios84-80 OT
07/03/20Lavrio v Panionios104-71
16/11/19Panionios v Lavrio71-77
02/03/19Panionios v Lavrio101-91
27/10/18Lavrio v Panionios90-60
31/03/18Panionios v Lavrio72-71
09/12/17Lavrio v Panionios83-73
23/09/17Panionios v Lavrio61-99
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HPapagou70-71
31/10/26AAnagennisi84-79
24/10/26HKomotini95-57
21/10/26AProteas Voulas81-59
17/10/26HGlafkos Esperos95-77
10/10/26APanerythraikos86-85
02/10/26HPsychikou74-55
19/04/26AVikos77-78
14/04/26HVikos74-87
08/04/26AVikos87-83
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HPeiramatiko Machites93-69
02/11/26APapagou82-81
24/10/26HAmyntas87-60
21/10/26AAnagennisi81-77
17/10/26HKoroivos103-85
10/10/26HKomotini83-77
05/10/26AKronos Agiou Dimitriou70-51
25/04/26AAris65-75
19/04/26HAEK Athens57-71
04/04/26HIraklis103-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lavrio
A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game83.683.583.7
Allowed / game69.065.074.3
Point differential+14.6+18.5+9.3
Avg total152.6148.5158.0
Over 15843%25%67%
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panionios
A2 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.691.577.7
Allowed / game71.472.869.7
Point differential+14.1+18.8+8.0
Avg total157.0164.2147.3
Over 15857%75%33%
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panionios770100%85.671.4+14.1
2 Lavrio76186%83.669.0+14.6
3 NE Megaridas75271%77.368.9+8.4
4 Chalkida74357%81.379.0+2.3
5 Proteas Voulas74357%72.370.0+2.3
6 Peiramatiko Machites74357%80.481.0-0.6
7 Psychikou74357%74.975.6-0.7
8 Sofadon84450%74.271.6+2.6
9 Panerythraikos73443%86.689.1-2.6
10 Papagou73443%75.779.1-3.4
11 Komotini73443%72.377.7-5.4
12 Amyntas73443%67.077.4-10.4
13 Koroivos83538%77.581.0-3.5
14 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou72529%72.673.4-0.9
15 Anagennisi82625%73.078.4-5.4
16 Glafkos Esperos81712%71.580.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lavrio1816222278
Panionios2621242293
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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