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Le Mans vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-71
13-23 29-9 16-15 23-24
Position#5
Record6-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game84.0
Le Mans 🏆
France
vs
Position#16
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game83.8
FranceLNBRound 13· Antares
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Rouen
#20
W
94-91
94
91
+3
85avg 91
A15/10
French Cup
Limoges
#14
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
104avg 91
A19/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
77-74
77
74
+3
90avg 91
H26/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
119avg 91
H02/11
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
87avg 91
A09/11
LNB
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
85avg 91
A12/11
French Cup
Monaco
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
107avg 91
A17/11
LNB
Nancy
#9
L
85-96
85
96
-11
92avg 91
H01/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
87-94
87
94
-7
97avg 91
A07/12
LNB
Paris
#1
W
84-76
84
76
+8
93avg 91
H15/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
24-19
23-21
22-21
20-19
19-14
17-22
19-20
22-20
18-16
18-10
19-28
22-17
29-16
27-19
20-19
19-24
20-20
31-23
14-21
27-29
15-14
23-15
19-19
24-17
21-18
15-18
26-21
24-19
15-21
19-26
27-30
17-28
22-24
29-18
19-24
16-18
26-18
17-21
25-19
170.2Avg total
86.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.084.0169.0+1.050%
Season at home (6)84.581.2165.7+3.367%
Season away (6)85.586.8172.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)86.983.3170.2+3.660%
Last 5 (5)85.283.4168.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.087.4161.4-13.420%
vs Similar (13)80.579.8160.3+0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.285.8176.0+4.470%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Angers
#22
W
81-78
81
78
+3
83avg 82
A15/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
57-94
57
94
-37
59avg 82
H19/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
107avg 82
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
62-83
62
83
-21
71avg 82
A01/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
90avg 82
H09/11
LNB
Nanterre
#13
L
77-98
77
98
-21
89avg 82
H15/11
LNB
Roanne
#5
L
75-93
75
93
-18
70avg 82
A26/11
French Cup
Limoges
#14
L
62-83
62
83
-21
72avg 82
A30/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
76-88
76
88
-12
90avg 82
H08/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
71-78
71
78
-7
87avg 82
H13/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-37
29-18
25-16
11-7
10-28
15-23
16-16
16-27
32-26
19-19
21-25
23-18
16-23
17-21
16-17
13-22
20-22
20-30
17-19
21-15
17-22
25-19
20-29
15-28
17-22
26-18
22-24
10-29
16-25
19-19
18-18
9-21
16-31
24-19
13-18
23-20
20-17
16-26
17-11
18-24
160.3Avg total
73.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.683.8153.4-14.28%
Season at home (6)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
Season away (6)68.780.7149.3-12.017%
Last 10 (10)73.486.9160.3-13.520%
Last 5 (5)72.288.0160.2-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.584.2155.6-12.715%
vs Similar (2)74.578.5153.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (15)70.866.1136.9+4.767%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.2-5.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.2-5.2
Le MansLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rouen
#20
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A15/10
French Cup
Limoges
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A19/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H02/11
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A09/11
LNB
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/11
French Cup
Monaco
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A17/11
LNB
Nancy
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H01/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A07/12
LNB
Paris
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H15/12
LNB
82.6Avg total
42.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.482.6-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.481.9-1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)40.043.283.2-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.182.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.282.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.446.481.8-11.020%-
vs Similar (13)40.241.982.2-1.723%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.439.682.0+2.860%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers
#22
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
25-51
25
51
-26
H19/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A01/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H09/11
LNB
Nanterre
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/11
LNB
Roanne
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/11
French Cup
Limoges
#14
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A30/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H08/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/12
LNB
85.5Avg total
39.0Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.674.6-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.738.075.7-0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)36.437.273.6-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.046.585.5-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.844.581.3-7.823%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (15)36.731.167.8+5.780%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.3
51.5%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.6
33.6%
35.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.718.3
80.6%
74.9%18.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.4
55.3%
54.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.9
29.6%
35.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
74.9%15.1
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
WLLWWLWWLW
La Rochelle
LLLLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#16
+4.5
Net rating
-18.3
114.7
Offensive rating
98.3
110.1
Defensive rating
116.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
17.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.6%
3-point %
29.6%
66.8%
Assist %
81.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 98.3Defence110.1 · 116.5Shooting51.0% · 50.8%3-point %33.6% · 29.6%Ball care17.3% · 18.4%Off. rebounds38.6% · 17.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Le Mans   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Le Mans wins
0
La Rochelle wins
No previous meetings.
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HParis84-76
07/12/24AJL Bourg87-94
01/12/24HNancy85-96
17/11/24AMonaco86-74
12/11/24AHyeres-Toulon84-77
09/11/24AChalon/Saone84-88
02/11/24HDijon98-71
26/10/24HLe Portel77-74
19/10/24ALimoges90-92 OT
15/10/24ARouen94-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HStrasbourg71-78
08/12/24HGravelines-Dunkerque76-88
30/11/24ALimoges62-83
26/11/24ARoanne75-93
15/11/24HNanterre77-98
09/11/24HJL Bourg78-86
01/11/24ALe Portel62-83
26/10/24ADijon95-88
19/10/24HSaint Quentin57-94
15/10/24AAngers81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game85.084.585.5
Allowed / game84.081.286.8
Point differential+1.0+3.3-1.3
Avg total169.0165.7172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%0%17%
Points / game69.670.568.7
Allowed / game83.887.080.7
Point differential-14.2-16.5-12.0
Avg total153.4157.5149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet1311285%87.179.4+7.7
2 Paris129375%95.284.3+10.8
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne129375%88.880.1+8.8
4 JL Bourg128467%89.081.6+7.4
5 Monaco128467%83.977.2+6.7
6 Saint Quentin138562%78.378.6-0.3
7 Strasbourg137654%83.984.5-0.5
8 Le Mans126650%85.084.0+1.0
9 Gravelines-Dunkerque126650%76.880.2-3.4
10 Limoges125742%77.879.6-1.8
11 Nancy125742%84.789.0-4.3
12 Nanterre135838%87.587.2+0.2
13 Chalon/Saone124833%84.387.9-3.6
14 Dijon134931%83.788.1-4.4
15 Le Portel1331023%70.279.6-9.4
16 La Rochelle121118%69.683.8-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Le Mans1329162381
La Rochelle239152471
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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