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Le Mans vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 84-76
16-18 26-18 17-21 25-19
Position#5
Record5-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game84.7
Le Mans 🏆
France
vs
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game84.4
FranceLNBRound 12· Antares
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Le Mans v Paris
04 Oct 2026
LMA101
PRS103
06 Oct 2025
LMA95
PRS89
20 Sep 2025
LMA90
PRS87
15 Dec 2024
LMA84
PRS76
06 Apr 2024
LMA55
PRS88
25 Apr 2023
LMA97
PRS90
05 Mar 2022
LMA95
PRS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
W
94-87
94
87
+7
116avg 91
H12/10
LNB
Rouen
#20
W
94-91
94
91
+3
85avg 91
A15/10
French Cup
Limoges
#14
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
104avg 91
A19/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
77-74
77
74
+3
90avg 91
H26/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
119avg 91
H02/11
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
87avg 91
A09/11
LNB
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
85avg 91
A12/11
French Cup
Monaco
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
107avg 91
A17/11
LNB
Nancy
#9
L
85-96
85
96
-11
92avg 91
H01/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
87-94
87
94
-7
97avg 91
A07/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
21-9
28-18
27-32
25-30
24-19
23-21
22-21
20-19
19-14
17-22
19-20
22-20
18-16
18-10
19-28
22-17
29-16
27-19
20-19
19-24
20-20
31-23
14-21
27-29
15-14
23-15
19-19
24-17
21-18
15-18
26-21
24-19
15-21
19-26
27-30
17-28
22-24
29-18
19-24
172.3Avg total
87.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.184.7169.8+0.445%
Season at home (5)84.682.2166.8+2.460%
Season away (6)85.586.8172.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)87.984.4172.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)85.285.8171.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.087.8159.8-15.80%
vs Similar (13)80.579.8160.3+0.846%
vs Weaker (10)90.285.8176.0+4.470%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 92
H13/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
103-87
103
87
+16
97avg 92
A15/11
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
106-74
106
74
+32
120avg 92
H17/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 92
A21/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
81-78
81
78
+3
71avg 92
H28/11
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
97avg 92
A30/11
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-81
93
81
+12
80avg 92
A03/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
96-90
96
90
+6
93avg 92
A06/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
W
111-104 OT
111
104
+7
126avg 92
H08/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
93-98
93
98
-5
80avg 92
A13/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
23-20
22-20
21-21
31-18
14-30
28-22
30-17
22-16
31-16
24-21
29-21
22-20
21-19
23-19
27-26
21-24
23-14
25-23
12-17
24-33
15-12
30-16
18-17
22-18
28-18
18-22
25-23
21-21
28-23
24-16
23-30
16-21
22-28
23-24
31-19
24-22
16-27
31-23
22-26
179.7Avg total
94.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.984.4181.3+12.582%
Season at home (5)103.687.2190.8+16.4100%
Season away (6)91.382.0173.3+9.367%
Last 10 (10)94.685.1179.7+9.590%
Last 5 (5)96.090.2186.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (15)83.585.3168.7-1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.983.1177.0+10.779%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
Le MansParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/10
LNB
Rouen
#20
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A15/10
French Cup
Limoges
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A19/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H02/11
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A09/11
LNB
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/11
French Cup
Monaco
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A17/11
LNB
Nancy
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H01/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A07/12
LNB
82.4Avg total
42.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.783.0-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.341.882.2-1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)40.243.483.6-3.124%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.282.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.848.484.2-12.60%-
vs Similar (13)40.241.982.2-1.723%-
vs Weaker (10)42.439.682.0+2.860%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A15/11
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H17/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A21/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/11
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A30/11
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A06/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H08/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/12
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
44.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.985.5+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.040.884.8+3.277%-
Last 30 away (17)43.442.786.1+0.759%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.685.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.687.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (15)40.342.682.9-2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.940.987.9+6.071%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.9
54.3%
54.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.0
36.0%
35.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.3
77.6%
74.9%17.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.8
58.4%
54.3%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.3
37.2%
35.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
74.9%16.1
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
LLWWLWWLWW
Paris
LWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
+7.6
Net rating
+12.1
118.9
Offensive rating
121.6
111.3
Defensive rating
109.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
57.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
39.6%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.0%
3-point %
37.2%
65.0%
Assist %
53.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 121.6Defence111.3 · 109.5Shooting54.1% · 57.2%3-point %36.0% · 37.2%Ball care17.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds39.6% · 37.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Le Mans   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Le Mans wins
3
Paris wins
DateGameScore
06/04/24Le Mans v Paris55-88
27/09/23Paris v Le Mans112-71
25/04/23Le Mans v Paris97-90
06/11/22Paris v Le Mans104-88
05/03/22Le Mans v Paris95-82
24/10/21Paris v Le Mans81-92
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AJL Bourg87-94
01/12/24HNancy85-96
17/11/24AMonaco86-74
12/11/24AHyeres-Toulon84-77
09/11/24AChalon/Saone84-88
02/11/24HDijon98-71
26/10/24HLe Portel77-74
19/10/24ALimoges90-92 OT
15/10/24ARouen94-91
12/10/24HNanterre94-87
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne93-98
08/12/24HMonaco111-104 OT
06/12/24AOlympiacos96-90
03/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-81
30/11/24ALe Portel87-78
28/11/24HVirtus Bologna81-78
21/11/24AAnadolu Efes93-84
17/11/24HStrasbourg106-74
15/11/24ABarcelona103-87
13/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game85.184.685.5
Allowed / game84.782.286.8
Point differential+0.4+2.4-1.3
Avg total169.8166.8172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Paris
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game96.9103.691.3
Allowed / game84.487.282.0
Point differential+12.5+16.4+9.3
Avg total181.3190.8173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris119282%96.984.4+12.5
2 Cholet119282%84.876.9+7.9
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne118373%88.679.6+9.0
4 JL Bourg128467%89.081.6+7.4
5 Monaco128467%83.977.2+6.7
6 Saint Quentin127558%78.980.7-1.8
7 Gravelines-Dunkerque116555%76.379.5-3.2
8 Strasbourg126650%83.183.9-0.8
9 Le Mans115645%85.184.7+0.4
10 Nancy115645%84.688.8-4.2
11 Limoges125742%77.879.6-1.8
12 Nanterre114736%86.586.1+0.4
13 Dijon114736%82.586.9-4.4
14 Chalon/Saone124833%84.387.9-3.6
15 Le Portel123925%71.680.3-8.8
16 La Rochelle121118%69.683.8-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Le Mans1626172584
Paris1818211976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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