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Leganes W vs Estepona W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 71-67
21-23 14-11 26-17 10-16
Position#7
Record8-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game67.8
Leganes W 🏆
Spain
vs
Estepona W
Spain
Position#9
Record5-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game75.1
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 17
Women2025-26
Meetings · Leganes W v Estepona W
22 Dec 2026
LEGA v ESTE
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
LEGA71
ESTE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leganes W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estepona W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leganes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
L
59-89
59
89
-30
48avg 60
A23/11
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
64-70
64
70
-6
47avg 60
H29/11
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
L
65-71 OT
65
71
-6
no box
A03/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
68-61
68
61
+7
63avg 60
H06/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
76-62
76
62
+14
74avg 60
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
73-60
73
60
+13
56avg 60
A20/12
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
69-64
69
64
+5
59avg 60
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
64-72
64
72
-8
39avg 60
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
68avg 60
H07/01
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
93-54
93
54
+39
88avg 60
A10/01
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
10-22
18-18
15-20
16-20
19-10
23-10
6-30
14-21
16-8
11-18
14-8
10-18
23-13
21-20
14-10
26-16
18-16
11-14
21-16
20-15
11-14
19-9
23-22
28-13
10-20
16-16
15-15
14-18
15-17
19-24
16-13
20-20
20-20
20-16
18-17
22-19
20-13
27-15
24-7
138.5Avg total
70.9Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.267.8137.0+1.550%
Season at home (7)67.066.0133.0+1.057%
Season away (9)71.069.1140.1+1.944%
Last 10 (10)70.967.6138.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)75.464.6140.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)63.678.3141.9-14.712%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.665.8134.4+2.962%
vs Weaker (5)78.462.2140.6+16.280%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
62avg 62
H23/11
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
72avg 62
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 62
H03/12
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
91-71
91
71
+20
94avg 62
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
60-85
60
85
-25
44avg 62
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
60avg 62
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 62
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
70-89
70
89
-19
56avg 62
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
80-64
80
64
+16
73avg 62
H07/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
59-62
59
62
-3
48avg 62
A11/01
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
13-18
20-17
18-10
21-22
23-21
16-10
14-29
16-22
18-21
18-18
18-25
23-21
27-17
19-23
22-10
20-17
19-23
11-25
10-20
10-20
17-12
23-16
16-14
17-19
22-19
15-15
18-24
21-16
16-25
8-25
25-23
15-22
22-18
23-13
20-11
12-18
17-17
14-14
16-13
146.5Avg total
71.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.975.1145.1-5.231%
Season at home (7)68.772.1140.9-3.443%
Season away (9)70.977.4148.3-6.622%
Last 10 (10)71.275.3146.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)69.470.8140.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.773.2136.8-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.977.0147.9-6.143%
vs Weaker (3)80.374.7155.0+5.767%
This opponent (Leganes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
Leganes WEstepona W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leganes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A23/11
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H29/11
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H06/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A20/12
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/01
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/01
Liga Femenina W
69.0Avg total
34.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.536.870.2-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.536.771.2-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)32.436.969.3-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.269.0+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.869.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.340.671.9-9.312%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.132.567.6+2.662%-
vs Weaker (5)38.230.668.8+7.680%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H23/11
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/12
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A06/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/01
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A11/01
Liga Femenina W
76.6Avg total
36.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)36.639.075.6-2.438%-
Last 30 at home (7)32.940.973.7-8.014%-
Last 30 away (9)39.437.677.0+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.876.6-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.271.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.540.872.3-9.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.937.176.0+1.743%-
vs Weaker (3)41.339.781.0+1.733%-
This opponent (Leganes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leganes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leganes W: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.323.0
46.6%
46.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.7
28.6%
32.1%20.0
🏀 Free throws18.312.3
67.3%
74.2%12.3
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.3
45.8%
46.8%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.7
34.3%
32.1%23.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
75.0%
74.2%14.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leganes W
WWLWWWWLLL
Estepona W
LWLLWLWLLL
#7
League position
#9
+16.1
Net rating
-2.9
105.4
Offensive rating
101.4
89.2
Defensive rating
104.3
45.4%
Effective FG%
48.0%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.6%
3-point %
34.3%
48.3%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 101.4Defence89.2 · 104.3Shooting45.4% · 48.0%3-point %28.6% · 34.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Leganes W   ■ Estepona W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leganes W wins
1
Estepona W wins
DateGameScore
26/10/25Estepona W v Leganes W65-61
Leganes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AGran Canaria W93-54
07/01/26HFerrol W78-73
04/01/26AJairis W64-72
28/12/25HPerfumerias Avenida W69-64
20/12/25AIDK Gipuzkoa W73-60
14/12/25AGernika Bizkaia W76-62
06/12/25HEstudiantes W68-61
03/12/25AJoventut Badalona W65-71 OT
29/11/25HAraski W64-70
23/11/25AValencia W59-89
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AZaragoza W59-62
07/01/26HGran Canaria W80-64
04/01/26ACadi La Seu W70-89
28/12/25HJairis W72-77
20/12/25HJoventut Badalona W66-62
14/12/25AEstudiantes W60-85
06/12/25AAraski W91-71
03/12/25HGernika Bizkaia W70-86
30/11/25AValencia W74-82
23/11/25HZaragoza W70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leganes W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game69.267.071.0
Allowed / game67.866.069.1
Point differential+1.5+1.0+1.9
Avg total137.0133.0140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%43%22%
Points / game69.968.770.9
Allowed / game75.172.177.4
Point differential-5.2-3.4-6.6
Avg total145.1140.9148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W1615194%77.165.8+11.4
2 Uni Girona W1614288%80.866.0+14.8
3 Valencia W1612475%74.765.9+8.8
4 Jairis W1610662%73.468.2+5.2
5 Perfumerias Avenida W169756%67.167.7-0.6
6 Leganes W168850%69.267.8+1.5
7 IDK Gipuzkoa W168850%65.865.5+0.2
8 Ensino W168850%72.172.9-0.8
9 Ferrol W168850%71.874.4-2.6
10 Joventut Badalona W1661038%72.274.3-2.1
11 Gernika Bizkaia W1661038%72.477.2-4.8
12 Cadi La Seu W1661038%70.175.6-5.5
13 Estudiantes W1651131%76.077.8-1.8
14 Estepona W1651131%69.975.1-5.2
15 Araski W1651131%64.571.4-6.9
16 Gran Canaria W1631319%70.682.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leganes W2114261071
Estepona W2311171667
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