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Leganes W vs Estepona W Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game64.3
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 14
Women2026-27
Meetings · Leganes W v Estepona W
22 Dec 2026
LEGA v ESTE
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
LEGA71
ESTE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leganes W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Estepona W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leganes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
50avg 58
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
82-82
82
82
+0
70avg 58
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
44avg 58
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
no box
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 58
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
49-70
49
70
-21
39avg 58
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
68avg 58
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
W
63-58
63
58
+5
57avg 58
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
51-76
51
76
-25
no box
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
64-66
64
66
-2
no box
H06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-28
15-26
21-12
27-14
27-15
22-28
20-19
13-20
18-30
13-23
12-22
20-14
16-16
19-20
17-11
14-16
12-25
21-18
18-17
9-10
9-12
15-21
13-18
12-19
17-26
13-17
28-23
21-17
16-14
14-16
17-14
16-14
21-19
10-22
8-18
12-17
15-18
16-19
20-14
13-15
138.3Avg total
64.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)61.769.4131.1-7.729%
Season at home (4)60.564.2124.8-3.850%
Season away (3)63.376.3139.7-13.00%
Last 10 (10)64.673.7138.3-9.120%
Last 5 (5)61.270.6131.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.276.1139.2-12.915%
vs Similar (13)70.266.2136.5+4.069%
vs Weaker (4)80.255.5135.8+24.8100%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
L
49-90
49
90
-41
28avg 63
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#22
L
65-76
65
76
-11
47avg 63
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#22
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 63
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
41-68
41
68
-27
24avg 63
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
W
82-55
82
55
+27
84avg 63
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 63
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 63
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
W
70-52
70
52
+18
70avg 63
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#13
W
70-55
70
55
+15
no box
H31/10
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
53-69
53
69
-16
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
4-19
24-19
9-22
25-25
13-16
16-13
11-22
16-25
14-17
24-14
17-20
8-22
11-16
9-11
13-19
14-17
20-11
25-10
23-17
23-19
17-19
18-20
14-26
21-28
22-16
21-15
17-8
17-16
14-15
15-9
24-12
14-17
20-16
19-7
17-15
12-20
16-17
18-19
7-13
134.6Avg total
65.4Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.064.3131.3+2.757%
Season at home (3)77.759.0136.7+18.7100%
Season away (4)59.068.2127.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)65.469.2134.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)69.265.4134.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.676.9139.5-14.317%
vs Similar (8)72.468.0140.4+4.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.568.7148.2+10.870%
This opponent (Leganes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
Leganes WEstepona W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leganes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H06/11
Liga Femenina W
72.8Avg total
31.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.036.771.7-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.736.172.8+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.037.570.5-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)31.541.372.8-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)29.236.866.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.641.274.8-7.615%-
vs Similar (13)35.034.069.0+1.069%-
vs Weaker (4)39.231.070.2+8.275%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
L
16-49
16
49
-33
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#22
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#13
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H31/10
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
69.4Avg total
31.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.237.972.1-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.337.172.4-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)33.038.771.7-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)31.338.169.4-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.671.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.340.870.1-11.417%-
vs Similar (8)36.435.071.4+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.436.775.1+1.740%-
This opponent (Leganes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leganes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leganes W: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.5
44.2%
46.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.0
24.6%
30.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.9
68.8%
74.7%11.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.215.8
44.9%
46.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
30.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.710.3
75.2%
74.7%10.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leganes W
LLWLLLWLLL
Estepona W
LWWWLWLLLL
#11
League position
#7
-8.8
Net rating
-8.6
93.5
Offensive rating
94.0
102.3
Defensive rating
102.5
41.5%
Effective FG%
45.7%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
3.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
24.6%
3-point %
31.2%
57.6%
Assist %
59.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 94.0Defence102.3 · 102.5Shooting41.5% · 45.7%3-point %24.6% · 31.2%Ball care0.0% · 3.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Leganes W   ■ Estepona W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leganes W wins
1
Estepona W wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Leganes W v Estepona W71-67
26/10/25Estepona W v Leganes W65-61
Leganes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HFerrol W64-66
01/11/26AZaragoza W51-76
24/10/26HAraski W63-58
17/10/26AGernika Bizkaia W79-83
11/10/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W49-70
08/10/26ACadi La Seu W60-70
03/10/26HJairis W66-63
03/05/26AUni Girona W63-89
30/04/26HUni Girona W82-82
25/04/26AFerrol W69-80
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AMallorca Palma W53-69
31/10/26HUni Girona W70-55
24/10/26AEstudiantes W70-52
17/10/26HPerfumerias Avenida W81-67
11/10/26AFerrol W72-84
08/10/26HEnsino W82-55
04/10/26AZaragoza W41-68
30/09/26ASan Giovanni W71-76
24/09/26HSan Giovanni W65-76
03/05/26AZaragoza W49-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leganes W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game61.760.563.3
Allowed / game69.464.276.3
Point differential-7.7-3.8-13.0
Avg total131.1124.8139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game67.077.759.0
Allowed / game64.359.068.2
Point differential+2.7+18.7-9.2
Avg total131.3136.7127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W770100%83.059.7+23.3
2 Valencia W76186%82.164.9+17.3
3 Mallorca Palma W76186%78.164.9+13.3
4 Jairis W76186%72.661.4+11.1
5 IDK Gipuzkoa W75271%70.164.6+5.6
6 Ferrol W75271%72.975.7-2.9
7 Estepona W74357%67.064.3+2.7
8 Cadi La Seu W74357%64.165.4-1.3
9 Gernika Bizkaia W74357%77.380.3-3.0
10 Perfumerias Avenida W72529%71.475.6-4.1
11 Leganes W72529%61.769.4-7.7
12 Estudiantes W72529%66.775.1-8.4
13 Uni Girona W71614%66.171.1-5.0
14 Celta W71614%65.977.4-11.6
15 Ensino W71614%60.975.1-14.3
16 Araski W7070%60.775.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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