Lehigh hosts Marist on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model favouring Lehigh at 67% versus Marist's 33%, projecting a 72-67 win for the home side and a total of 139.0 points; the home team's line is -4.0 with a 55% chance to cover, while the over on the 134.5 total has a 60% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. Lehigh is 1-2 in all games this season, averaging 64.3 points and allowing 73.7, and sits 292nd in the league; at home they are 1-1, scoring 63.0 and conceding 64.5. Their last five games include a 71-64 win over Cornell, a 55-65 loss to Brown, and a 67-92 defeat to St. Louis Billikens. Marist is also 1-2 overall, with 70.3 points scored and 70.7 allowed, ranked 273rd; on the road they are 0-1, 61.0 points for and 63.0 against. Their recent five feature a 88-80 win over UMBC, a 61-63 loss to UMass Lowell, and a 62-69 defeat to Dartmouth. In the four meetings between the clubs, Lehigh has won three times, but Marist's last encounter on 25 November 2025 ended 78-55 in Marist's favour.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lehigh winWon
66.9%fair 1.49
Best odds1.74
Implied54.3%
Edge+12.6pp
Marist winLost
33.1%fair 3.02
Best odds2.15
Implied45.7%
Edge-12.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Lehigh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 129.5Actual: Under 129.5
Over 129.5
71.4%
@ 1.55+10.0pp
Under 129.5
28.6%
@ 2.55-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.27
Over/Under 134.5 · main lineActual: Under 134.5
Over 134.5
60.2%
@ 2.02+11.9pp
Under 134.5
39.8%
@ 1.80-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Bet365
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathon Be
1.71
Over/Under 139.5Actual: Under 139.5
Over 139.5
48.1%
@ 2.70+13.5pp
Under 139.5
51.9%
@ 1.42-13.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.65
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
📊 3. Team Totals
Lehigh total 63.5Actual: Lehigh over 63.5
Over 63.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Under 63.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.57
Lehigh total 68 · main lineActual: Lehigh under 68
Over 68
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 68
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Lehigh total 72Actual: Lehigh under 72
Over 72
49.8%
Under 72
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marist total 60Push
Over 60
75.8%
Under 60
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marist total 64 · main lineActual: Marist under 64
Over 64
61.6%
@ 1.85+11.6pp
Under 64
38.4%
@ 1.85-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marist total 68Actual: Marist under 68
Over 68
45.6%
Under 68
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Lehigh -7Actual: Marist +7
LEHI -7
43.0%
@ 2.72+9.0pp
MARI +7
57.0%
@ 1.40-9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
Bet365
2.72
MARI
Bet365
1.40
Spread Lehigh -4 · main lineActual: Lehigh -4
LEHI -4
54.9%
@ 2.15+4.9pp
MARI +4
45.1%
@ 1.86-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
Bet365
2.15
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
MARI
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.62
Spread Lehigh -1Actual: Lehigh -1
LEHI -1
66.0%
@ 1.77+13.6pp
MARI +1
34.0%
@ 2.00-13.6pp
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
Marathon Be
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Bet365
1.74
MARI
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.95
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
LehighMarist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Lehigh +2.5
73.0%
1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
Lehigh +4
77.8%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Lehigh +2
72.0%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Lehigh +3
75.0%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Lehigh +3.5
75.6%
1.43
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
Lehigh +5
80.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Won
Lehigh +4.5
78.4%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+10.6pp
Won
Lehigh +6
83.0%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Won
Lehigh +5.5
81.0%
1.31
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Won
Lehigh +6.5
83.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.26
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Won
Over 129.5
71.4%
1.51
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Lost
Over 128.5
73.4%
1.44
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+9.2pp
Lost
Over 127.5
75.4%
1.39
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Lost
Over 129
72.9%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Lost
Over 126.5
77.3%
1.34
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Lost
Over 130
70.8%
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Lost
Over 128
74.9%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Lost
Over 127
76.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Lost
Over 126
78.7%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Lost
Over 125.5
79.1%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Lost
Overtime: no
95.1%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Marist over 60.5
73.5%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Lost
Marist over 61.5
70.2%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Lost
Marist over 51.5
93.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Marist over 53.5
90.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Marist over 57.5
82.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Marist over 59.5
76.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Marist over 55.5
86.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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