PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lehigh vs Marist Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 72-67
Projected total 139.0
Final 65-60
30-23 35-37
Position#240
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game73.7
Lehigh 🏆
USA
Vs
67%
33%
■ LEHI 67%■ MARI 33%
Pythia win probability
Position#306
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lehigh v Marist
13 Nov 2026
LEHI65
MARI60
30 Nov 2024
LEHI74
MARI69
16 Nov 2022
LEHI64
MARI54
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Lehigh hosts Marist on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model favouring Lehigh at 67% versus Marist's 33%, projecting a 72-67 win for the home side and a total of 139.0 points; the home team's line is -4.0 with a 55% chance to cover, while the over on the 134.5 total has a 60% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. Lehigh is 1-2 in all games this season, averaging 64.3 points and allowing 73.7, and sits 292nd in the league; at home they are 1-1, scoring 63.0 and conceding 64.5. Their last five games include a 71-64 win over Cornell, a 55-65 loss to Brown, and a 67-92 defeat to St. Louis Billikens. Marist is also 1-2 overall, with 70.3 points scored and 70.7 allowed, ranked 273rd; on the road they are 0-1, 61.0 points for and 63.0 against. Their recent five feature a 88-80 win over UMBC, a 61-63 loss to UMass Lowell, and a 62-69 defeat to Dartmouth. In the four meetings between the clubs, Lehigh has won three times, but Marist's last encounter on 25 November 2025 ended 78-55 in Marist's favour.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lehigh winWon
66.9%fair 1.49
Best odds1.74
Implied54.3%
Edge+12.6pp
Marist winLost
33.1%fair 3.02
Best odds2.15
Implied45.7%
Edge-12.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LehighUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H22/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H11/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H18/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A03/11
NCAA
Cornell
#221
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
41-39
33-30
45-43
47-40
42-39
31-26
38-40
33-30
43-39
41-30
33-30
29-27
26-40
31-48
36-44
39-32
32-32
25-27
30-38
140.6Avg total
70.4Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.373.7138.0-9.333%
Season at home (2)63.064.5127.5-1.550%
Season away (1)67.092.0159.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)70.470.2140.6+0.270%
Last 5 (5)64.469.6134.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.377.5149.8-5.250%
vs Similar (15)74.373.8148.1+0.567%
vs Weaker (8)71.172.9144.0-1.838%
This opponent (Marist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaristUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A13/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A21/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H22/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#106
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H03/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#261
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
26-46
29-36
34-31
42-35
42-35
33-36
32-27
31-30
25-33
42-32
35-43
28-30
29-28
27-26
35-43
38-33
50-47
29-30
32-33
135.8Avg total
66.9Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.370.7141.0-0.333%
Season at home (2)75.074.5149.5+0.550%
Season away (1)61.063.0124.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)66.968.9135.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)69.069.0138.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.566.0127.5-4.50%
vs Similar (13)64.068.3132.3-4.331%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)75.562.1137.6+13.393%
This opponent (Lehigh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 129.5Actual: Under 129.5
Over 129.5
71.4%
@ 1.55+10.0pp
Under 129.5
28.6%
@ 2.55-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.27
Over/Under 134.5 · main lineActual: Under 134.5
Over 134.5
60.2%
@ 2.02+11.9pp
Under 134.5
39.8%
@ 1.80-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Bet365
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathon Be
1.71
Over/Under 139.5Actual: Under 139.5
Over 139.5
48.1%
@ 2.70+13.5pp
Under 139.5
51.9%
@ 1.42-13.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.65
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41

📊 3. Team Totals

Lehigh total 63.5Actual: Lehigh over 63.5
Over 63.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Under 63.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.57
Lehigh total 68 · main lineActual: Lehigh under 68
Over 68
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 68
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Lehigh total 72Actual: Lehigh under 72
Over 72
49.8%
Under 72
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marist total 60Push
Over 60
75.8%
Under 60
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marist total 64 · main lineActual: Marist under 64
Over 64
61.6%
@ 1.85+11.6pp
Under 64
38.4%
@ 1.85-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marist total 68Actual: Marist under 68
Over 68
45.6%
Under 68
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lehigh -7Actual: Marist +7
LEHI -7
43.0%
@ 2.72+9.0pp
MARI +7
57.0%
@ 1.40-9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
Bet365
2.72
MARI
Bet365
1.40
Spread Lehigh -4 · main lineActual: Lehigh -4
LEHI -4
54.9%
@ 2.15+4.9pp
MARI +4
45.1%
@ 1.86-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
Bet365
2.15
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
MARI
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.62
Spread Lehigh -1Actual: Lehigh -1
LEHI -1
66.0%
@ 1.77+13.6pp
MARI +1
34.0%
@ 2.00-13.6pp
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
Marathon Be
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Bet365
1.74
MARI
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.95

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -2.6-2.6
LehighMarist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LehighLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H22/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H18/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A03/11
NCAA
Cornell
#221
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H08/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 62.5
Last 30 (30)34.532.867.3+1.657%73%
Last 30 at home (17)35.631.567.1+4.271%65%
Last 30 away (13)32.934.667.5-1.738%85%
Last 10 (10)33.831.865.6+2.080%60%
Last 5 (5)33.032.865.8+0.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.733.866.5-1.250%67%
vs Similar (15)34.332.666.9+1.753%73%
vs Weaker (8)34.432.266.6+2.162%75%
This opponent (Marist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaristLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A13/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H22/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#106
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H03/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#261
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#107
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/11
NCAA
65.2Avg total
32.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 62.5
Last 30 (30)34.129.663.6+4.563%57%
Last 30 at home (15)34.927.462.3+7.573%53%
Last 30 away (15)33.331.765.0+1.553%60%
Last 10 (10)32.932.365.2+0.650%60%
Last 5 (5)32.830.263.0+2.660%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.028.056.0+0.050%0%
vs Similar (13)33.331.264.5+2.254%62%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)35.528.463.9+7.173%60%
This opponent (Lehigh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Lehigh win
LEHI win
no forecast
@ 1.75
MARI win
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Spread Lehigh -2 · main lineActual: Lehigh -2
LEHI -2
no forecast
@ 1.86
MARI +2
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Over/Under 62.5 · main lineActual: Under 62.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.02
Lehigh 1st half total 32 · main lineActual: Lehigh under 32
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Marist 1st half total 31 · main lineActual: Marist under 31
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Lehigh -1Actual: Lehigh -1
LEHI -1
no forecast
@ 1.87
MARI +1
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 60.5Actual: Under 60.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.53
Under
no forecast
@ 2.32
1st half Over/Under 64.5Actual: Under 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Lehigh -3.5Actual: Lehigh -3.5
LEHI -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
MARI +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Under 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Lehigh -4.5Actual: Lehigh -4.5
LEHI -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
MARI +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Lehigh -5.5Actual: Lehigh -5.5
LEHI -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.85
MARI +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
1st half Spread Lehigh +1.5Actual: Lehigh +1.5
LEHI +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
MARI -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread Lehigh -6.5Actual: Lehigh -6.5
LEHI -6.5
no forecast
@ 3.45
MARI +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.32
1st half Spread Lehigh +2.5Actual: Lehigh +2.5
LEHI +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
MARI -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Lehigh (regulation)
LEHI
no forecast
@ 1.80
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
MARI
no forecast
@ 2.15

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LEHI win + total 134.5
🔒 Pro
MARI win + total 134.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LEHI leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Lehigh +2.573.0%1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
---+11.4ppWon
Lehigh +477.8%1.40
Bet365
1.40
----+11.1ppWon
Lehigh +272.0%1.54
Bet365
1.54
----+11.1ppWon
Lehigh +375.0%1.47
Bet365
1.47
----+11.1ppWon
Lehigh +3.575.6%1.43
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
---+10.8ppWon
Lehigh +580.5%1.34
Bet365
1.34
----+10.7ppWon
Lehigh +4.578.4%1.37
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.36
---+10.6ppWon
Lehigh +683.0%1.28
Bet365
1.28
----+10.3ppWon
Lehigh +5.581.0%1.31
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.31
---+10.3ppWon
Lehigh +6.583.4%1.27
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.26
---+10.2ppWon
Over 129.571.4%1.51
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.47
---+10.0ppLost
Over 128.573.4%1.44
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
---+9.2ppLost
Over 127.575.4%1.39
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.35
---+8.6ppLost
Over 12972.9%1.44
Bet365
1.44
----+8.3ppLost
Over 126.577.3%1.34
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.31
---+8.3ppLost
Over 13070.8%1.58
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.50
---+8.3ppLost
Over 12874.9%1.38
Bet365
1.38
----+7.9ppLost
Over 12776.9%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+6.9ppLost
Over 12678.7%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+6.8ppLost
Over 125.579.1%1.26
Bet365
1.26
----+5.3ppLost
Overtime: no95.1%1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
---+5.3ppWon
Marist over 60.573.5%1.31
Betano
1.31
----+4.4ppLost
Marist over 61.570.2%1.37
Betano
1.37
----+4.2ppLost
Marist over 51.593.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+2.3ppWon
Marist over 53.590.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+1.2ppWon
Marist over 57.582.2%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+0.8ppWon
Marist over 59.576.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+0.4ppWon
Marist over 55.586.9%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+0.2ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lehigh wins
1
Marist wins
DateGameScore
26/11/25Marist v Lehigh78-55
01/12/24Lehigh v Marist74-69
30/12/23Marist v Lehigh58-65
17/11/22Lehigh v Marist64-54
Lehighlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBrown55-65
06/11/26HCornell71-64
03/11/26ASt. Louis Billikens67-92
18/03/26HPrairie View A&M55-67
11/03/26HBoston University74-60
08/03/26HColgate76-69
06/03/26HHoly Cross69-66
28/02/26HBucknell89-79
26/02/26AAmerican University78-73
22/02/26HBoston University70-67
Maristlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AUMass Lowell61-63
06/11/26HUMBC Retrievers88-80
03/11/26HDartmouth62-69
08/03/26AMerrimack Warriors57-58
07/03/26AQuinnipiac77-75
01/03/26HSt. Peters56-63
22/02/26HSacred Heart65-63
21/02/26AManhattan84-70
15/02/26HSiena63-67
13/02/26AMerrimack Warriors56-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lehigh
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game64.363.067.0
Allowed / game73.764.592.0
Point differential-9.3-1.5-25.0
Avg total138.0127.5159.0
Over 134.567%50%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marist
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game70.375.061.0
Allowed / game70.774.563.0
Point differential-0.3+0.5-2.0
Avg total141.0149.5124.0
Over 134.533%50%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
2 Navy43175%72.068.2+3.8
3 Lafayette53260%79.864.4+15.4
4 Army31233%74.362.7+11.7
5 Lehigh31233%64.373.7-9.3
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland41325%70.275.5-5.2
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell3030%63.391.0-27.7
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena32167%85.379.0+6.3
2 Merrimack Warriors32167%65.760.0+5.7
3 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Iona42250%66.271.5-5.2
6 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
7 Mount St. Mary's21150%60.077.0-17.0
8 Marist31233%70.370.7-0.3
9 Manhattan31233%64.373.0-8.7
10 Fairfield31233%59.075.7-16.7
11 Rider41325%64.572.2-7.8
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lehigh303565
Marist233760
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.