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Leiden vs Bahcesehir Kol. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 71-77
19-16 19-17 20-18 13-26
Position#10
Record9-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#1
Record13-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game72.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals
European cup2021
Meetings · Leiden v Bahcesehir Kol.
30 Mar 2022
LEI71
BKO77
27 Oct 2021
LEI69
BKO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bahcesehir Kol. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#3
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A11/02
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
H13/02
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#18
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
A17/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#8
W
94-70
94
70
+24
no box
A19/02
DBL
Mechelen
#3
L
93-98
93
98
-5
no box
A04/03
BNXT League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A09/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Belfius Mons
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
A12/03
BNXT League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#4
W
95-66
95
66
+29
no box
H19/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
A27/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
25-17
15-22
25-17
16-12
18-21
15-21
23-23
25-21
24-12
20-20
19-29
22-15
15-18
31-25
26-12
18-28
20-14
26-29
29-27
15-11
22-23
15-16
16-21
12-21
25-18
26-14
17-21
23-24
30-25
19-11
13-17
25-23
27-17
22-15
21-11
13-21
23-32
10-14
24-11
160.1Avg total
82.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.379.0158.3+0.364%
Season at home (7)79.778.6158.3+1.171%
Season away (7)78.979.4158.3-0.657%
Last 10 (10)82.877.3160.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)79.673.2152.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.177.8153.9-1.650%
vs Similar (7)86.981.6168.4+5.371%
vs Weaker (15)86.565.9152.3+20.687%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#17
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#9
W
96-78
96
78
+18
100avg 84
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Saratov
#2
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
H09/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#11
L
69-86
69
86
-17
52avg 84
H12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
95-81
95
81
+14
77avg 84
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sporting CP
#8
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A10/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#8
W
66-54
66
54
+12
no box
H16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#13
L
70-79
70
79
-9
64avg 84
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
105-77
105
77
+28
93avg 84
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
23-17
20-20
20-25
21-13
30-20
21-23
24-22
11-19
20-21
17-21
36-23
18-24
25-23
9-19
17-20
15-24
18-17
22-25
25-22
20-16
29-18
23-20
23-27
17-12
22-22
18-15
16-21
15-19
13-20
13-7
25-8
24-14
11-17
9-23
26-25
34-20
25-23
20-16
26-18
163.0Avg total
83.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.072.2154.2+9.893%
Season at home (7)86.471.7158.1+14.7100%
Season away (7)77.672.7150.3+4.986%
Last 10 (10)83.779.3163.0+4.470%
Last 5 (5)81.872.2154.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Similar (10)86.182.9169.0+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.976.3165.2+12.683%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
LeidenBahcesehir Kol.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/02
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H13/02
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A17/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A19/02
DBL
Mechelen
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A04/03
BNXT League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Belfius Mons
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/03
BNXT League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H19/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A27/03
BNXT League
81.3Avg total
41.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.278.1+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.080.6+4.680%-
Last 30 away (15)39.236.475.6+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.781.3+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.086.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.841.683.4+0.162%-
vs Similar (7)41.640.181.7+1.457%-
vs Weaker (15)40.133.573.6+6.780%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#9
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Saratov
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sporting CP
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A10/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.6Avg total
41.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.982.4+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.385.0+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.537.479.9+5.173%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.279.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.838.379.1+2.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.338.785.0+7.689%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
52.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
73.2%11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.3
58.4%
52.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.511.6
42.2%
34.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws15.210.0
65.8%
73.2%10.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWWLLWWLW
Bahcesehir Kol.
WLWWWLLWWW
#10
League position
#1
-2.7
Net rating
+8.0
95.2
Offensive rating
120.5
98.0
Defensive rating
112.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
60.5%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
27.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.6%
3-point %
42.2%
68.6%
Assist %
72.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 120.5Defence98.0 · 112.5Shooting51.8% · 60.5%3-point %32.6% · 42.2%Ball care27.5% · 16.2%Off. rebounds35.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Leiden   ■ Bahcesehir Kol.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leiden wins
2
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
DateGameScore
17/11/21Bahcesehir Kol. v Leiden84-61
27/10/21Leiden v Bahcesehir Kol.69-79
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22AOostende70-78
19/03/22HLeuven Bears95-66
16/03/22HCrailsheim Merlins85-77
12/03/22ABelfius Mons80-74
09/03/22ACrailsheim Merlins68-71
04/03/22AMechelen93-98
19/02/22ALWD Basket94-70
17/02/22AQSTA Utd88-82
13/02/22HDen Bosch72-77
11/02/22ADen Bosch83-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HAfyon Belediye105-77
20/03/22APetkim Spor70-79
16/03/22HSporting CP66-54
10/03/22ASporting CP73-70
05/03/22ABuyukcekmece95-81
16/02/22HDarussafaka80-88
12/02/22HTurk Telekom69-86
09/02/22HSaratov97-95 OT
05/02/22ATofas96-78
02/02/22ABakken Bears86-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game79.379.778.9
Allowed / game79.078.679.4
Point differential+0.3+1.1-0.6
Avg total158.3158.3158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bahcesehir Kol.
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game82.086.477.6
Allowed / game72.271.772.7
Point differential+9.8+14.7+4.9
Avg total154.2158.1150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.1413193%82.072.2+9.8
2 Saratov1210283%93.280.2+13.0
3 Reggiana1511473%75.271.7+3.5
4 Legia1410471%76.971.3+5.6
5 Benfica149564%78.976.2+2.6
6 Leiden149564%79.379.0+0.3
7 Parma Perm127558%82.577.5+5.0
8 Crailsheim Merlins148657%79.674.6+5.1
9 Sporting CP148657%74.669.9+4.7
10 CSM Oradea148657%71.670.4+1.2
11 Bakken Bears158753%83.883.5+0.3
12 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
13 Bayreuth147750%83.181.4+1.6
14 FC Porto84450%70.570.0+0.5
15 Ironi Eilat63350%82.882.3+0.5
16 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
17 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
18 London Lions126650%80.382.1-1.8
19 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
20 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
21 Kyiv Basket126650%68.471.5-3.1
22 Ionikos63350%78.382.8-4.5
23 Antwerp Giants125742%80.378.9+1.4
24 Donar Groningen83538%72.474.6-2.2
25 Iraklis83538%74.078.8-4.8
26 Trefl Sopot145936%75.776.6-0.9
27 Mornar Bar62433%80.778.3+2.3
28 Belfius Mons62433%72.376.8-4.5
29 Basket Zaragoza62433%80.785.8-5.2
30 Peristeri62433%74.379.5-5.2
31 Den Bosch62433%73.380.0-6.7
32 Rilski Sportist62433%79.285.8-6.7
33 Minsk62433%80.588.5-8.0
34 Szolnoki Olaj61517%68.575.2-6.7
35 Opava61517%81.788.7-7.0
36 Gilboa Galil61517%73.891.8-18.0
37 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
38 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
39 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
40 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
41 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
42 Kapfenberg Bulls6060%72.087.5-15.5
43 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
44 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1919201371
Bahcesehir Kol.1617182677
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