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Leiden vs Brussels Basketball Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-77
16-23 20-16 12-25 13-13
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leiden v Brussels Basketball
10 Oct 2026
LEI61
BRUS77
18 Feb 2026
LEI102
BRUS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brussels Basketball winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 79
H01/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
65-75
65
75
-10
54avg 79
A04/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 79
H11/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
87avg 79
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
69avg 79
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
76avg 79
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 79
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 79
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 79
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 79
A02/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-17
26-19
17-24
9-20
28-16
18-20
10-19
14-19
22-21
20-29
13-24
18-25
24-26
23-14
27-31
17-28
17-24
27-21
17-24
31-31
19-27
23-21
12-18
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
171.6Avg total
85.5Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.586.1171.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)92.883.8176.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.890.5168.3-12.710%
vs Similar (10)87.984.5172.4+3.460%
vs Weaker (10)83.677.5161.1+6.170%
This opponent (Brussels Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brussels BasketballLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
94-72
94
72
+22
94avg 76
A01/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
82-101
82
101
-19
74avg 76
A05/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 76
H12/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
103-51
103
51
+52
104avg 76
H17/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 76
A19/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
83-66
83
66
+17
75avg 76
A26/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 76
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
56-57
56
57
-1
43avg 76
H06/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 76
A09/05
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
94-70
94
70
+24
90avg 76
H06/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
30-16
16-24
25-16
19-26
18-29
21-24
24-22
19-25
19-19
16-26
23-20
25-15
26-4
20-15
32-17
11-14
21-24
27-24
23-27
29-21
10-10
24-10
20-25
21-18
25-12
23-29
24-17
16-10
17-17
17-13
6-17
12-25
15-21
13-20
13-18
28-21
14-22
29-12
23-15
157.3Avg total
81.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.070.0164.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)94.070.0164.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.775.6157.3+6.150%
Last 5 (5)75.870.6146.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.289.3164.5-14.20%
vs Similar (12)84.681.6166.2+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.371.5157.8+14.875%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
LeidenBrussels Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H11/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
85.7Avg total
41.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.383.8-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.587.2-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.342.180.5-3.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.885.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.546.686.1-7.120%-
vs Similar (10)42.342.584.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)39.840.880.6-1.060%-
This opponent (Brussels Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brussels BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A01/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A05/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H12/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H17/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A19/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A26/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H06/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A09/05
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H06/10
BNXT League
76.3Avg total
39.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.580.8+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.837.579.3+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.939.482.3+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.576.3+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.472.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.344.784.0-5.350%-
vs Similar (12)44.140.284.2+3.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.133.775.8+8.475%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.4
55.6%
53.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.7
36.2%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
71.5%14.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brussels Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brussels Basketball: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.2
54.1%
53.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.7
34.2%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.616.2
71.7%
71.5%16.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WWWWLLLLLW
Brussels Basketball
WLLWWLWLLW
#11
League position
#2
+0.7
Net rating
+7.2
96.6
Offensive rating
96.2
96.0
Defensive rating
89.0
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.2%
3-point %
34.2%
61.7%
Assist %
49.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 96.2Defence96.0 · 89.0Shooting55.1% · 53.1%3-point %36.2% · 34.2%Ball care17.3% · 15.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Leiden   ■ Brussels Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
1
Brussels Basketball wins
DateGameScore
18/02/26Leiden v Brussels Basketball102-96
12/12/25Brussels Basketball v Leiden97-80
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
25/04/26HOkapi Aalst85-97
20/04/26AAntwerp Giants78-97
17/04/26HAntwerp Giants92-96
11/04/26HKortrijk69-93
04/04/26ADonar Groningen65-75
01/04/26HSpirou Charleroi87-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26HCB Liege94-70
09/05/26AOostende53-84
06/05/26HMechelen56-57
03/05/26HLWD Basket93-76
26/04/26ARotterdam83-66
19/04/26ABAL Weert82-89
17/04/26HBAL Weert103-51
12/04/26HDen Helder77-90
05/04/26AAntwerp Giants82-101
01/04/26ADen Bosch94-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Brussels Basketball
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants110100%100.063.0+37.0
2 Brussels Basketball110100%94.070.0+24.0
3 Zwolle110100%70.059.0+11.0
4 Mechelen110100%109.0100.0+9.0
5 Okapi Aalst110100%95.087.0+8.0
6 Donar Groningen220100%83.077.0+6.0
7 Leiden110100%76.071.0+5.0
8 Spirou Charleroi21150%81.564.5+17.0
9 Limburg21150%100.591.0+9.5
10 Den Bosch21150%69.060.0+9.0
11 Leuven Bears21150%73.573.0+0.5
12 Oostende1010%87.095.0-8.0
13 Kortrijk1010%76.085.0-9.0
14 Rotterdam2020%60.577.5-17.0
15 CB Liege2020%71.597.5-26.0
16 Belfius Mons2020%61.599.0-37.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1620121361
Brussels Basketball2316251377
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