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Leiden vs Brussels Basketball Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 102-96
23-19 21-31 22-23 36-23
Position#10
Record12-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#9
Record11-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 20· Sportcomplex
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leiden v Brussels Basketball
10 Oct 2026
LEI61
BRUS77
18 Feb 2026
LEI102
BRUS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brussels Basketball winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
96avg 75
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
66avg 75
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 75
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 75
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 75
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 75
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 75
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 75
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 75
A14/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
27-28
36-22
28-14
22-15
21-25
22-23
15-34
23-18
14-22
19-19
34-13
25-18
24-26
16-18
25-19
27-22
18-35
19-16
25-22
17-11
26-19
13-25
19-22
13-23
23-23
13-13
12-17
23-23
17-18
18-18
17-14
26-17
24-16
13-19
17-13
14-19
17-28
22-15
20-28
163.5Avg total
82.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.979.8166.7+7.163%
Season at home (9)95.479.7175.1+15.878%
Season away (10)79.279.9159.1-0.750%
Last 10 (10)82.081.5163.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)72.876.2149.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.786.0157.7-14.311%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.282.3168.5+3.850%
vs Weaker (15)90.676.4167.0+14.287%
This opponent (Brussels Basketball) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brussels BasketballLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 77
H23/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
73avg 77
A26/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
76-84
76
84
-8
63avg 77
H11/01
BNXT League
Gimle
#24
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A14/01
ENBL
Leuven Bears
#13
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 77
A24/01
BNXT League
Dinamo Zagreb
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
91avg 77
H27/01
ENBL
Zwolle
#14
W
97-75
97
75
+22
92avg 77
H01/02
BNXT League
Tindastoll
#6
L
92-98
92
98
-6
89avg 77
A10/02
ENBL
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
84-87
84
87
-3
67avg 77
A14/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
18-19
21-22
16-18
25-26
11-9
15-22
29-28
12-25
22-22
13-17
29-20
27-13
22-16
19-18
18-18
22-25
24-17
22-12
14-16
19-19
19-21
23-20
15-17
24-20
20-20
18-29
30-26
27-24
23-25
24-10
23-16
32-17
19-30
22-31
19-20
25-23
22-17
20-26
17-21
165.8Avg total
84.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.781.0166.7+4.758%
Season at home (10)86.078.6164.6+7.460%
Season away (9)85.383.7169.0+1.756%
Last 10 (10)84.381.5165.8+2.830%
Last 5 (5)88.286.4174.6+1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.087.6170.6-4.612%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.878.2158.1+1.650%
vs Weaker (9)89.276.6165.8+12.778%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
LeidenBrussels Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#16
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
BNXT League
84.8Avg total
41.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.286.0+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.542.488.8+4.154%-
Last 30 away (17)41.842.183.9-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.184.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.479.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.045.283.2-7.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.541.584.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (15)47.840.788.5+7.167%-
This opponent (Brussels Basketball) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brussels BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A26/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H11/01
BNXT League
Gimle
#24
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A14/01
ENBL
Leuven Bears
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/01
BNXT League
Dinamo Zagreb
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H27/01
ENBL
Zwolle
#14
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H01/02
BNXT League
Tindastoll
#6
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A10/02
ENBL
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A14/02
BNXT League
84.4Avg total
43.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.682.4+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.240.283.4+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)42.238.981.1+3.364%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.884.4+2.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.043.289.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.044.288.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.539.178.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker (9)45.235.881.0+9.489%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.7
56.5%
54.3%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.6
31.3%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
72.4%14.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brussels Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brussels Basketball: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.5
57.7%
54.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.6
38.7%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.4
67.9%
72.4%11.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWLLLWWLW
Brussels Basketball
LLWLLWWLLL
#10
League position
#9
+1.7
Net rating
+3.0
102.2
Offensive rating
105.9
100.5
Defensive rating
103.0
52.9%
Effective FG%
57.8%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.3%
3-point %
38.7%
62.7%
Assist %
53.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 105.9Defence100.5 · 103.0Shooting52.9% · 57.8%3-point %31.3% · 38.7%Ball care18.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Leiden   ■ Brussels Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leiden wins
1
Brussels Basketball wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25Brussels Basketball v Leiden97-80
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ALeuven Bears73-90
31/01/26HBAL Weert80-65
23/01/26ARotterdam75-73
17/01/26AOostende61-76
10/01/26HLimburg75-77
27/12/25HDen Bosch89-95
23/12/25AZwolle90-81
20/12/25HLeuven Bears90-72
12/12/25ABrussels Basketball80-97
06/12/25HBelfius Mons107-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AOkapi Aalst84-87
10/02/26ATindastoll92-98
01/02/26HZwolle97-75
27/01/26HDinamo Zagreb92-95
24/01/26ADonar Groningen76-77
18/01/26HLeuven Bears82-70
14/01/26AGimle86-65
11/01/26HDen Bosch76-84
26/12/25AMechelen80-85
23/12/25HAntwerp Giants78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL63%
HomeWWLLW78%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%78%50%
Points / game86.995.479.2
Allowed / game79.879.779.9
Point differential+7.1+15.8-0.7
Avg total166.7175.1159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brussels Basketball
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL58%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game85.786.085.3
Allowed / game81.078.683.7
Point differential+4.7+7.4+1.7
Avg total166.7164.6169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1916384%96.577.1+19.4
2 Oostende1916384%90.080.4+9.6
3 Okapi Aalst2014670%94.386.6+7.8
4 Kortrijk1913668%88.480.5+7.9
5 Leiden1912763%86.979.8+7.1
6 Den Bosch1912763%86.882.8+3.9
7 Donar Groningen1710759%82.383.4-1.1
8 Brussels Basketball1911858%85.781.0+4.7
9 Mechelen1911858%77.480.2-2.8
10 Limburg1910953%89.781.2+8.5
11 Leuven Bears1991047%81.079.3+1.7
12 Spirou Charleroi178947%82.987.8-4.9
13 Belfius Mons1971237%86.593.4-6.8
14 Zwolle2061430%78.082.8-4.8
15 LWD Basket1851328%84.895.8-10.9
16 Den Helder1951426%78.785.9-7.2
17 Rotterdam1821611%77.292.1-14.9
18 BAL Weert1921711%68.587.6-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden23212236102
Brussels Basketball1931232396
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