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Leiden vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-71
23-13 12-16 9-17 15-25
Position#23
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.0
Leiden
vs
Cholet 🏆
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game62.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Final
European cup2022
Meetings · Leiden v Cholet
30 Sep 2022
LEI59
CHO71
10 Dec 2013
LEI67
CHO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
H25/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
52-61
52
61
-9
no box
A27/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
H29/05
DBL
Leuven Bears
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
A01/06
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H03/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H05/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A07/06
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A09/06
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
no box
H11/06
BNXT League
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
A28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
19-18
28-14
18-10
17-14
14-15
8-16
13-16
22-17
20-28
11-11
21-25
18-15
16-21
18-21
16-25
29-14
17-18
19-14
16-13
16-16
27-26
22-17
19-23
30-27
16-19
20-18
22-14
14-21
20-18
30-20
11-13
6-20
13-15
22-19
30-16
17-17
21-19
26-21
14-17
148.5Avg total
75.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.872.7148.5+3.170%
Last 5 (5)79.275.2154.4+4.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.277.3156.6+1.956%
vs Similar (8)82.879.6162.4+3.150%
vs Weaker (13)79.373.5152.8+5.877%
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
96avg 85
H19/04
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
91avg 85
A30/04
LNB
Levallois
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 85
H03/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
85avg 85
A10/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
106avg 85
H17/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
65avg 85
A24/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
56avg 85
H27/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
79avg 85
A29/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
91-89
91
89
+2
96avg 85
H25/09
LNB
Besiktas
#46
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
A28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
16-22
15-27
24-22
25-20
29-22
17-17
16-17
23-14
25-25
22-30
23-18
11-20
16-25
26-21
19-21
21-18
19-26
30-14
22-27
13-22
19-21
20-15
22-12
24-17
22-24
11-16
9-25
22-26
24-18
16-24
20-16
13-27
23-15
32-29
23-18
22-20
29-6
23-23
19-13
164.6Avg total
83.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.062.0155.0+31.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)93.062.0155.0+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.481.2164.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)81.277.4158.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.383.2163.5-2.945%
vs Similar (10)83.179.7162.8+3.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.277.1160.4+6.162%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
LeidenCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A27/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H29/05
DBL
Leuven Bears
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/06
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#4
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H05/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/06
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/06
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H11/06
BNXT League
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
75.8Avg total
37.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.679.4+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.580.2+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.939.778.6-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.475.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.675.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.740.981.6-0.267%-
vs Similar (8)42.539.481.9+3.150%-
vs Weaker (13)37.638.876.4-1.238%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H19/04
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#6
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A30/04
LNB
Levallois
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A10/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H25/09
LNB
Besiktas
#46
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
83.2Avg total
42.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.182.6+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.480.7+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.741.784.4+0.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.783.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.281.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.143.082.1-3.945%-
vs Similar (10)46.639.786.3+6.980%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.038.279.2+2.875%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
52.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
73.2%11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.5
57.4%
52.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.1
40.7%
34.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.613.8
78.4%
73.2%13.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WWWWWWLLLW
Cholet
WWLLWWLWWL
#23
League position
#6
-2.7
Net rating
+0.4
95.2
Offensive rating
114.8
98.0
Defensive rating
114.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
27.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
40.7%
68.6%
Assist %
60.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 114.8Defence98.0 · 114.4Shooting51.8% · 58.9%3-point %32.6% · 40.7%Ball care27.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds35.6% · 24.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Leiden   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leiden wins
2
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
10/12/13Leiden v Cholet67-75
12/11/13Cholet v Leiden74-52
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/22ACzarni Slupsk78-74
11/06/22HDonar Groningen71-70
09/06/22ADonar Groningen75-72
07/06/22AOostende88-78
05/06/22HOostende84-82
03/06/22HLeuven Bears81-59
01/06/22ALeuven Bears68-82
29/05/22HDen Bosch74-81
27/05/22ADen Bosch52-61
25/05/22HDen Bosch87-68
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/22ABesiktas93-62
25/09/22HLyon-Villeurbanne91-89
29/05/22ALyon-Villeurbanne82-84
27/05/22HLyon-Villeurbanne66-82
24/05/22ALyon-Villeurbanne74-70
17/05/22HMonaco92-85
10/05/22ALyon-Villeurbanne72-87
03/05/22HLevallois93-87
30/04/22APau-Orthez87-76
19/04/22HLe Portel84-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total152.0-152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Cholet
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game93.0-93.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+31.0-+31.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet110100%93.062.0+31.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo330100%91.771.0+20.7
3 Antwerp Giants110100%76.060.0+16.0
4 Hapoel Haifa220100%71.562.5+9.0
5 Leiden110100%78.074.0+4.0
6 Sporting CP110100%84.083.0+1.0
7 SCM Craiova32167%71.766.0+5.7
8 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
9 Rilski Sportist21150%76.072.0+4.0
10 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
11 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
12 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
13 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
14 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
15 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
16 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
17 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
18 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
19 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
20 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
21 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
22 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden231291559
Cholet1316172571
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