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Pau-Orthez vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-87
20-25 22-29 17-17 17-16
Position#6
Record16-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Cholet 🏆
France
Position#8
Record15-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.8
FranceLNBRound 31
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Cholet
16 May 2023
POR85
CHO81
30 Apr 2022
POR76
CHO87
16 Nov 2021
POR99
CHO92
12 Jun 2021
POR73
CHO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 80
H19/03
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#3
W
93-72
93
72
+21
no box
H26/03
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#2
W
88-85
88
85
+3
no box
H27/03
French Cup
Le Mans
#9
W
87-77
87
77
+10
78avg 80
H30/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 80
A02/04
LNB
Limoges
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
66avg 80
H10/04
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 80
A17/04
LNB
Nanterre
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
85avg 80
H19/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#6
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H23/04
French Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
90-106
90
106
-16
100avg 80
A26/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
23-20
20-20
20-16
23-15
15-20
30-17
25-20
23-17
20-20
31-20
14-28
23-19
21-20
16-20
27-18
30-14
14-28
21-18
24-25
26-16
11-17
13-17
16-19
19-25
18-16
16-21
23-23
17-14
23-23
17-24
18-17
26-20
20-19
24-30
25-17
20-27
27-26
25-29
18-24
167.1Avg total
84.6Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.182.3164.3-0.255%
Season at home (14)82.477.7160.1+4.764%
Season away (15)81.786.5168.3-4.847%
Last 10 (10)84.682.5167.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)80.484.8165.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.887.4162.2-12.620%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.882.1165.8+1.762%
vs Weaker (11)85.781.3167.0+4.573%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
75-56
75
56
+19
71avg 83
H05/03
LNB
Nanterre
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
57avg 83
A12/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
87avg 83
A19/03
LNB
Limoges
#5
W
78-54
78
54
+24
89avg 83
H25/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
104avg 83
A29/03
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 83
H02/04
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
77avg 83
A09/04
LNB
Orleans
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
93avg 83
H12/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
105avg 83
A16/04
LNB
Le Portel
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
96avg 83
H19/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-9
19-20
17-13
24-14
24-21
15-11
19-26
13-21
28-20
18-21
13-19
28-20
20-11
19-15
24-14
15-14
15-28
35-26
22-15
16-17
17-25
24-25
25-18
22-22
23-16
16-20
23-13
18-18
22-18
17-8
16-23
25-22
35-17
22-14
24-25
19-30
29-19
16-22
15-27
24-22
159.0Avg total
83.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.181.8163.0-0.750%
Season at home (15)80.879.7160.5+1.140%
Season away (15)81.583.9165.4-2.560%
Last 10 (10)83.175.9159.0+7.270%
Last 5 (5)86.480.8167.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.387.3166.6-8.029%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.882.8165.7+0.062%
vs Weaker (10)83.079.0162.0+4.050%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
Pau-OrthezCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/03
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H26/03
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H27/03
French Cup
Le Mans
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/04
LNB
Limoges
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/04
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/04
LNB
Nanterre
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H19/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#6
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H23/04
French Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A26/04
LNB
82.5Avg total
42.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.281.5+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.139.482.6+3.781%-
Last 30 away (14)39.141.180.3-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.282.5+2.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.480.2-0.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.541.584.0+0.969%-
vs Weaker (11)40.938.879.7+2.164%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H05/03
LNB
Nanterre
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A12/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/03
LNB
Limoges
#5
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H25/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A29/03
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H02/04
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/04
LNB
Orleans
#17
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
W
57-31
57
31
+26
A16/04
LNB
Le Portel
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H19/04
LNB
79.5Avg total
42.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.684.2+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.882.3+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.643.586.1-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)42.936.679.5+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.881.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.042.684.6-0.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.542.586.9+2.062%-
vs Weaker (10)40.439.980.3+0.560%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.5
53.7%
53.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.316.9
72.5%
74.1%16.9
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.420.4
61.1%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
74.1%14.9
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LWLLLWWWWW
Cholet
LWWWLWWWLW
#6
League position
#8
-1.1
Net rating
+9.8
108.4
Offensive rating
114.8
109.5
Defensive rating
105.0
54.8%
Effective FG%
57.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.4%
3-point %
35.2%
74.6%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 114.8Defence109.5 · 105.0Shooting54.8% · 57.5%3-point %37.4% · 35.2%Ball care19.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds25.3% · 29.8%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pau-Orthez wins
0
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
16/11/21Pau-Orthez v Cholet99-92
05/10/21Cholet v Pau-Orthez77-80
12/06/21Pau-Orthez v Cholet73-62
09/05/21Cholet v Pau-Orthez75-78
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/22ALyon-Villeurbanne90-106
23/04/22HStrasbourg95-86
19/04/22HNanterre75-78
17/04/22AMonaco76-85
10/04/22HLimoges66-69
02/04/22ADijon89-85
30/03/22HLe Mans87-77
27/03/22HGravelines-Dunkerque88-85
26/03/22HFos-sur-Mer93-72
19/03/22HGravelines-Dunkerque87-82
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/22HLe Portel84-90
16/04/22AJL Bourg100-86
12/04/22HOrleans80-71
09/04/22ALe Mans80-67
02/04/22HStrasbourg88-90
29/03/22AGravelines-Dunkerque88-86
25/03/22HLimoges78-54
19/03/22ADijon87-80
12/03/22ANanterre71-79
05/03/22HChalons-Reims75-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%64%47%
Points / game82.182.481.7
Allowed / game82.377.786.5
Point differential-0.2+4.7-4.8
Avg total164.3160.1168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)62% (8)80% (5)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Cholet
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWWLWL40%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game81.180.881.5
Allowed / game81.879.783.9
Point differential-0.7+1.1-2.5
Avg total163.0160.5165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%13%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)14% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Levallois3123874%87.780.2+7.5
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne3022873%85.778.0+7.7
3 Monaco3022873%87.080.1+6.9
4 Limoges31191261%79.374.7+4.5
5 Strasbourg30181260%85.480.6+4.8
6 Dijon31181358%81.381.3+0.0
7 Le Mans29161355%82.880.6+2.2
8 Pau-Orthez29161355%82.182.3-0.2
9 Nanterre31161552%85.683.5+2.1
10 Cholet30151550%81.181.8-0.7
11 JL Bourg31151648%77.875.2+2.6
12 Gravelines-Dunkerque30131743%81.882.4-0.6
13 Paris30121840%81.787.0-5.3
14 Roanne30111937%85.288.4-3.2
15 Le Portel31112035%77.082.2-5.3
16 Orleans30102033%77.284.9-7.7
17 Fos-sur-Mer3192229%74.180.5-6.4
18 Chalons-Reims3172423%80.088.9-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez2022171776
Cholet2529171687
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