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Leiden vs Gravelines-Dunkerque Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-69
25-21 16-10 16-23 20-15
Position#14
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Leiden 🏆
vs
Gravelines-Dunkerque
Position#16
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Vijf Meihal
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gravelines-Dunkerque winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
76avg 69
H29/05
DBL
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A05/06
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
71-58
71
58
+13
no box
H07/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
A09/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
H11/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A13/06
BNXT League
Zwolle
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
no box
H17/09
Supercup
Den Helder
#20
W
100-65
100
65
+35
109avg 69
A23/09
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
102-58
102
58
+44
99avg 69
H30/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
54-78
54
78
-24
42avg 69
A07/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
14-16
22-24
32-21
21-14
18-19
17-19
30-15
19-18
19-16
22-13
11-11
28-21
16-20
23-13
12-12
14-15
10-15
19-22
20-24
22-19
30-24
13-23
26-14
13-14
19-16
10-9
20-18
23-15
25-19
23-17
29-14
27-18
28-9
31-17
16-14
4-25
17-18
16-21
17-14
147.6Avg total
79.0Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.068.6147.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)81.867.6149.4+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)54.078.0132.0-24.00%
vs Similar (14)73.374.1147.4-0.843%
vs Weaker (14)84.569.9154.4+14.693%
This opponent (Gravelines-Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gravelines-DunkerqueLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGravelines-Dunkerque
Date
Competition
Dijon
#4
L
85-95
85
95
-10
74avg 76
A09/05
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
H16/05
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
L
73-81
73
81
-8
85avg 76
A16/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
90avg 76
H23/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
L
81-83
81
83
-2
98avg 76
H27/09
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
87avg 76
A30/09
LNB
Limoges
#10
L
79-83
79
83
-4
93avg 76
H03/10
LNB
Dijon
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
81avg 76
A07/10
LNB
Denain-Voltaire
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
80avg 76
A10/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#7
L
69-78
69
78
-9
78avg 76
H14/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-34
27-21
23-16
23-17
11-20
23-21
21-20
22-18
15-20
19-19
17-24
20-19
19-19
19-20
16-21
18-26
19-20
18-14
26-23
9-21
28-30
19-13
26-26
15-18
27-29
17-8
20-28
23-24
10-20
23-26
13-20
21-20
24-15
12-10
27-16
20-23
19-19
20-13
10-23
161.7Avg total
78.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.483.3161.7-4.910%
Last 5 (5)76.680.4157.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.681.3157.9-4.729%
vs Similar (21)79.981.8161.6-1.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.060.5136.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
LeidenGravelines-Dunkerque
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/05
DBL
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/06
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H11/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A13/06
BNXT League
Zwolle
#2
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H17/09
Supercup
Den Helder
#20
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A23/09
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H30/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A07/10
BNXT League
73.2Avg total
38.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.271.9+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.834.070.8+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)36.436.673.1-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.173.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)21.043.064.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (14)34.435.269.6-0.843%-
vs Weaker (14)40.335.175.4+5.279%-
This opponent (Gravelines-Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gravelines-DunkerqueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#4
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A09/05
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H16/05
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A16/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H27/09
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A30/09
LNB
Limoges
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H03/10
LNB
Dijon
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A07/10
LNB
Denain-Voltaire
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H14/10
LNB
81.4Avg total
37.8Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.478.0-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.135.474.5+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.143.581.5-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)37.843.681.4-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.883.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.943.381.1-5.429%-
vs Similar (21)38.739.277.9-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.528.568.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.4
52.4%
52.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.5
31.4%
33.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.7
70.2%
73.0%12.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gravelines-Dunkerquetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gravelines-Dunkerque: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.8
52.8%
52.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.8
35.4%
33.8%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
73.0%11.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWWWLWWWW
Gravelines-Dunkerque
LWLLLLLLLL
#14
League position
#16
+9.8
Net rating
-9.0
100.9
Offensive rating
106.4
91.1
Defensive rating
115.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.4%
3-point %
35.4%
62.1%
Assist %
60.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 106.4Defence91.1 · 115.4Shooting50.6% · 52.9%3-point %31.4% · 35.4%Ball care20.4% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Leiden   ■ Gravelines-Dunkerque
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leiden wins
0
Gravelines-Dunkerque wins
No previous meetings.
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ADen Bosch54-78
30/09/23HQSTA Utd102-58
23/09/23ADen Helder100-65
17/09/23HZwolle62-57
13/06/23AOostende91-80
11/06/23HOostende63-76
09/06/23AOostende79-66
07/06/23HSpirou Charleroi71-58
05/06/23ASpirou Charleroi86-67
29/05/23HDonar Groningen82-81
Gravelines-Dunkerquelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HSaint Quentin69-78
10/10/23ADenain-Voltaire84-61
07/10/23ADijon69-90
03/10/23HLimoges79-83
30/09/23AJL Bourg82-90
27/09/23HChalon/Saone81-83
23/09/23HLyon-Villeurbanne74-79
16/09/23AAda Blois73-81
16/05/23HNancy88-93 OT
09/05/23ADijon85-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Gravelines-Dunkerque
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz110100%98.072.0+26.0
2 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
3 Jonava110100%104.088.0+16.0
4 Varese110100%95.080.0+15.0
5 Caledonia Gladiators110100%80.068.0+12.0
6 Basket Zaragoza220100%87.576.5+11.0
7 Trepca220100%77.068.0+9.0
8 Manisa330100%86.778.0+8.7
9 Gottingen110100%86.081.0+5.0
10 Mornar Bar110100%80.075.0+5.0
11 Bilbao110100%83.079.0+4.0
12 AEK Larnaca110100%78.076.0+2.0
13 Levice110100%93.091.0+2.0
14 Nymburk110100%89.088.0+1.0
15 Sabah Baku43175%80.876.0+4.8
16 Rostock32167%90.074.7+15.3
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 FC Porto32167%83.078.3+4.7
19 Kataja21150%83.581.5+2.0
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
22 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
25 Keravnos31233%87.082.7+4.3
26 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
27 Bahcesehir Kol.1010%88.089.0-1.0
28 CSM Oradea1010%91.093.0-2.0
29 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
30 Anwil Wloclawek1010%79.083.0-4.0
31 TSU1010%81.086.0-5.0
32 Bakken Bears1010%76.082.0-6.0
33 Norrkoping1010%71.079.0-8.0
34 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
35 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
36 CSU Sibiu1010%68.080.0-12.0
37 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
38 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
39 Karhu Basket1010%88.0104.0-16.0
40 Peja1010%72.098.0-26.0
41 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2516162077
Gravelines-Dunkerque2110231569
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