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Leiden vs QSTA Utd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-58
27-18 28-9 31-17 16-14
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game65.0
Leiden 🏆
vs
QSTA Utd
Position#19
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeBNXT League· Vijf Meihal (Leiden)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Leiden v QSTA Utd
09 Apr 2025
LEI71
QSTA68
20 Dec 2023
LEI64
QSTA74
30 Sep 2023
LEI102
QSTA58
18 Feb 2023
LEI72
QSTA80
26 Sep 2021
LEI104
QSTA82
21 Nov 2020
LEI v QSTA
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
QSTA Utd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#2
L
55-64
55
64
-9
40avg 68
H25/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
W
68-45
68
45
+23
61avg 68
A27/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
76avg 68
H29/05
DBL
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A05/06
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
71-58
71
58
+13
no box
H07/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
A09/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
H11/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A13/06
BNXT League
Zwolle
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
no box
H17/09
Supercup
Den Helder
#20
W
100-65
100
65
+35
109avg 68
A23/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
13-21
15-10
11-15
23-8
11-14
17-13
17-10
14-20
14-16
22-24
32-21
21-14
18-19
17-19
30-15
19-18
19-16
22-13
11-11
28-21
16-20
23-13
12-12
14-15
10-15
19-22
20-24
22-19
30-24
13-23
26-14
13-14
19-16
10-9
20-18
23-15
25-19
23-17
29-14
141.6Avg total
75.7Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.065.0165.0+35.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)100.065.0165.0+35.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.765.9141.6+9.880%
Last 5 (5)79.068.8147.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)73.374.1147.4-0.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.970.5152.4+11.387%
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUtd
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
83-97
83
97
-14
no box
A08/04
BNXT League
Liege
#13
W
101-71
101
71
+30
no box
H16/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
82-64
82
64
+18
no box
A19/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H23/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#16
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A28/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
54avg 60
A03/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 60
H04/05
DBL
Belfius Mons
#11
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
A12/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
no box
H14/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 60
H24/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
23-21
21-25
12-25
28-24
25-16
27-13
21-18
11-19
20-8
28-14
23-23
21-18
13-25
30-21
15-21
14-26
19-26
24-17
27-20
18-23
14-24
16-17
17-11
17-18
22-28
17-22
16-21
13-21
23-16
13-20
26-29
21-25
16-16
31-19
23-22
27-25
22-18
16-28
14-15
163.5Avg total
81.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.086.0165.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)79.086.0165.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.182.4163.5-1.330%
Last 5 (5)76.483.6160.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.784.7158.5-11.018%
vs Similar (12)80.982.8163.8-1.933%
vs Weaker (6)91.276.5167.7+14.783%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
LeidenQSTA Utd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H25/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A27/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/05
DBL
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/06
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H11/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A13/06
BNXT League
Zwolle
#2
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H17/09
Supercup
Den Helder
#20
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A23/09
BNXT League
71.0Avg total
36.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.271.5+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.634.570.1+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.135.973.0+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.271.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.675.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)34.435.269.6-0.843%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.535.573.9+3.073%-
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A08/04
BNXT League
Liege
#13
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H16/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A19/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#16
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A28/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A03/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H04/05
DBL
Belfius Mons
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/09
BNXT League
81.7Avg total
39.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.682.4-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.442.683.9-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.680.6-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.381.7-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.881.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.544.380.7-7.818%-
vs Similar (12)41.242.984.2-1.750%-
vs Weaker (6)42.738.881.5+3.850%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.5%
52.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.6
32.5%
33.1%19.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.1
71.4%
71.4%13.1
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
QSTA Utdtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

QSTA Utd: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.715.7
45.2%
52.2%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.0
33.0%
33.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws12.010.0
83.3%
71.4%10.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/3 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WWWLWWWWWL
QSTA Utd
LWLLLLLWWL
#5
League position
#19
+8.9
Net rating
-14.8
100.4
Offensive rating
98.9
91.5
Defensive rating
113.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
47.2%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
21.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.18
32.5%
3-point %
33.0%
61.7%
Assist %
36.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 98.9Defence91.5 · 113.7Shooting51.2% · 47.2%3-point %32.5% · 33.0%Ball care21.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 31.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Leiden   ■ QSTA Utd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leiden wins
1
QSTA Utd wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Leiden v QSTA Utd72-80
21/10/22QSTA Utd v Leiden68-79
17/02/22QSTA Utd v Leiden82-88
26/09/21Leiden v QSTA Utd104-82
07/03/21QSTA Utd v Leiden72-87
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23ADen Helder100-65
17/09/23HZwolle62-57
13/06/23AOostende91-80
11/06/23HOostende63-76
09/06/23AOostende79-66
07/06/23HSpirou Charleroi71-58
05/06/23ASpirou Charleroi86-67
29/05/23HDonar Groningen82-81
27/05/23ADonar Groningen68-45
25/05/23HDonar Groningen55-64
QSTA Utdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/23HBAL Weert79-86
14/05/23HBelfius Mons91-82
12/05/23ABelfius Mons75-86
04/05/23HDonar Groningen72-89
03/05/23ADonar Groningen65-75
28/04/23ACircus Brussels84-89
23/04/23HOkapi Aalst79-85
19/04/23ABelfius Mons82-64
16/04/23HLiege101-71
08/04/23AOkapi Aalst83-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game100.0-100.0
Allowed / game65.0-65.0
Point differential+35.0-+35.0
Avg total165.0-165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
QSTA Utd
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden110100%100.065.0+35.0
2 Zwolle110100%93.060.0+33.0
3 Oostende110100%85.063.0+22.0
4 BAL Weert110100%86.079.0+7.0
5 Spirou Charleroi220100%84.577.5+7.0
6 Kortrijk220100%93.587.5+6.0
7 Antwerp Giants110100%82.078.0+4.0
8 Feyenoord110100%73.070.0+3.0
9 Donar Groningen21150%72.068.0+4.0
10 Liege21150%77.074.0+3.0
11 Leuven Bears1010%78.082.0-4.0
12 Mechelen1010%84.090.0-6.0
13 QSTA Utd1010%79.086.0-7.0
14 Circus Brussels1010%86.094.0-8.0
15 Den Bosch1010%63.074.0-11.0
16 Okapi Aalst2020%76.089.0-13.0
17 Belfius Mons1010%69.083.0-14.0
18 LWD Basket1010%60.093.0-33.0
19 Den Helder1010%65.0100.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden27283116102
QSTA Utd189171458
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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