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Leiden vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-72
18-13 20-16 19-16 30-27
Position#22
Record6-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.0
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#21
Record6-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3
European cup2018
Meetings · Leiden v Kataja
09 Jan 2019
LEI87
KAT72
17 Dec 2013
LEI72
KAT58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#10
W
100-73
100
73
+27
H24/11
DBL
LWD Basket
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
A08/12
DBL
Bakken Bears
#2
L
71-111
71
111
-40
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#6
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H15/12
DBL
Haarlem
#11
W
81-54
81
54
+27
A16/12
NBB Cup
Saratov
#5
L
72-97
72
97
-25
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H22/12
DBL
Rotterdam
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A31/12
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H03/01
DBL
Zwolle
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A06/01
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
32-18
20-19
18-17
29-15
26-23
20-23
20-20
22-27
13-18
21-26
15-40
26-16
17-21
20-19
34-20
–
–
–
–
15-16
13-31
19-25
25-25
20-17
21-22
18-12
13-16
27-30
22-21
15-10
27-19
24-20
23-26
18-17
18-14
23-12
20-12
14-25
24-22
163.0Avg total
84.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.079.0154.0-4.060%
Season at home (5)78.880.4159.2-1.660%
Season away (5)71.277.6148.8-6.460%
Last 10 (10)84.378.7163.0+5.680%
Last 5 (5)79.878.4158.2+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.483.8155.2-12.322%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.176.1158.3+6.086%
vs Weaker (12)87.969.2157.1+18.8100%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauhajoen Karhu
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A05/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
L
93-109
93
109
-16
A07/12
Korisliiga
Saratov
#5
L
57-98
57
98
-41
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
97-87
97
87
+10
A15/12
Korisliiga
Bakken Bears
#2
L
89-104
89
104
-15
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A21/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#9
L
95-97
95
97
-2
A28/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#6
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A03/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A04/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
18-25
21-17
28-24
17-31
27-26
23-28
26-24
9-27
20-23
12-23
16-25
31-21
24-25
18-21
24-20
15-27
17-26
26-18
31-33
13-24
23-15
24-19
17-21
24-26
26-31
23-17
22-23
16-18
18-18
25-24
24-21
17-23
6-6
22-27
16-19
25-18
18-16
26-14
16-15
170.9Avg total
82.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.984.1165.0-3.250%
Season at home (6)91.386.3177.7+5.067%
Season away (6)70.581.8152.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)82.788.2170.9-5.540%
Last 5 (5)80.279.0159.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.391.6176.9-6.244%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.587.1166.5-7.627%
vs Weaker (10)86.681.3167.9+5.370%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
LeidenKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#10
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H24/11
DBL
LWD Basket
#9
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A08/12
DBL
Bakken Bears
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H15/12
DBL
Saratov
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H22/12
DBL
Rotterdam
#8
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A31/12
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/01
DBL
Zwolle
#2
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A06/01
DBL
85.2Avg total
44.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.836.977.6+3.972%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.379.1+2.580%-
Last 30 away (14)40.735.476.1+5.464%-
Last 10 (9)44.840.485.2+4.367%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.483.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.035.768.7-2.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.737.180.9+6.6100%-
vs Weaker (12)44.637.782.2+6.975%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauhajoen Karhu
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A05/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A07/12
Korisliiga
Saratov
#5
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A15/12
Korisliiga
Bakken Bears
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A28/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#6
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A03/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A04/01
Korisliiga
83.6Avg total
38.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.483.2-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.841.181.9-0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)40.843.284.0-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.983.6-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.076.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.347.289.6-4.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.039.976.9-2.936%-
vs Weaker (10)43.640.784.3+2.950%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
1
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
17/12/13Leiden v Kataja72-58
19/11/13Kataja v Leiden77-63
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19AZwolle81-71
03/01/19HDonar Groningen83-77
31/12/18ARotterdam91-80
22/12/18HDen Bosch72-67
19/12/18HSaratov72-97
16/12/18AHaarlem81-54
15/12/18HDen Helder97-76
12/12/18ABakken Bears71-111
08/12/18ALWD Basket95-81
24/11/18HBAL Weert100-73
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/19AHelsinki Seagulls85-63
03/01/19AKouvot Kouvola61-75
30/12/18HHelsinki Seagulls83-81
28/12/18ABC Nokia95-97
21/12/18AKTP Kotka Basket77-79
19/12/18HBakken Bears89-104
15/12/18ASalon Vilpas97-87
12/12/18ASaratov57-98
07/12/18APyrinto Tampere93-109
05/12/18AKauhajoen Karhu90-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL60%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game75.078.871.2
Allowed / game79.080.477.6
Point differential-4.0-1.6-6.4
Avg total154.0159.2148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Kataja
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.991.370.5
Allowed / game84.186.381.8
Point differential-3.2+5.0-11.3
Avg total165.0177.7152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears98189%100.976.1+24.8
2 Saratov98189%93.878.9+14.9
3 Varese98189%88.273.3+14.9
4 Sassari119282%93.778.5+15.3
5 s.Oliver Wurzburg97278%85.974.6+11.3
6 Alba Fehervar118373%85.478.9+6.5
7 Nes Ziona139469%90.882.6+8.2
8 Karsiyaka96367%84.276.4+7.8
9 Donar Groningen96367%77.372.6+4.8
10 Balkan117464%79.575.9+3.5
11 Leiden106460%75.079.0-4.0
12 Lukoil Levski95456%80.281.4-1.2
13 Szolnoki Olaj95456%80.783.0-2.3
14 Z-Mobile Prishtina95456%83.287.9-4.7
15 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
16 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
17 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
18 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
19 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
20 Kataja126650%80.984.1-3.2
21 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
22 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
23 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
24 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
25 AEK Larnaca94544%74.282.6-8.3
26 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1820193087
Kataja1316162772
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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